Purpose: In breast cancer, the TP53 gene is frequently mutated and the mutations have been associated with poor prognosis. The prognostic impact of the different types of TP53 mutations across the different molecular subtypes is still poorly understood. Here, we characterize the spectrum and prognostic significance of TP53 mutations with respect to the PAM50 subtypes and integrative clusters (IC).

Experimental Design:TP53 mutation status was obtained for 1,420 tumor samples from the METABRIC cohort by sequencing all coding exons using the Sanger method.

Results:TP53 mutations were found in 28.3% of the tumors, conferring a worse overall and breast cancer-specific survival [HR = 2.03; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.65–2.48, P < 0.001], and were also found to be an independent marker of poor prognosis in estrogen receptor-positive cases (HR = 1.86; 95% CI, 1.39–2.49, P < 0.001). The mutation spectrum of TP53 varied between the breast cancer subtypes, and individual alterations showed subtype-specific association. TP53 mutations were associated with increased mortality in patients with luminal B, HER2-enriched, and normal-like tumors, but not in patients with luminal A and basal-like tumors. Similar observations were made in ICs, where mutation associated with poorer outcome in IC1, IC4, and IC5. The combined effect of TP53 mutation, TP53 LOH, and MDM2 amplification on mortality was additive.

Conclusion: This study reveals that TP53 mutations have different clinical relevance in molecular subtypes of breast cancer, and suggests diverse roles for TP53 in the biology underlying breast cancer development. Clin Cancer Res; 20(13); 3569–80. ©2014 AACR.

Translational Relevance

Somatic mutation in the TP53 gene is a strong prognostic marker in breast cancer, but the clinical and biologic impact in subtypes has not been clear due to small patient cohorts, suboptimal methods to assess mutation status, and lack of subtyping by molecular profiling. The current study presents analyses of somatic TP53 mutations in 1,420 patients with breast cancer from the METABRIC (Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium) cohort (1), and is the largest to date exploring the effect of TP53 mutations in a subtype-specific manner. The study shows that the TP53 mutational spectrum and the prognostic implications indeed are subtype specific. This knowledge is crucial with respect to the potential clinical application of TP53 as a prognostic and predictive marker, for optimal design of clinical trials, and in further development of TP53-targeted therapies.

Three decades of research on TP53 have documented its fundamental role as a regulator of key cellular processes involved in controlling proliferation and in maintaining the integrity and stability of the genome (2–4). The TP53 tumor suppressor protein is activated in response to a variety of stress signals and suppresses cellular transformation by triggering cell-cycle arrest, DNA repair, and apoptosis. In addition, a role for TP53 in processes such as metabolism, fertility, angiogenesis, immune responses, and stem cell maintenance has been shown (4).

The importance of TP53 in tumor progression is evidenced by the high mutation frequency found in many cancer types, including breast cancer. Point mutations are the most common somatic aberration, followed by small insertions and deletions. The mutations are mostly missense and are predominantly located in exons 5–8, spanning the DNA-binding domain of the protein (5). Mutations may cause complete or partial loss of protein function, acquisition of dominant negative effect, or gain of function (GOF; refs. 6, 7). In addition to mutations, the TP53 pathway may also be disrupted by allelic deletions (Loss of heterozygosity; LOH) of TP53 or amplification of the TP53 regulator MDM2.

On the basis of differential gene expression, breast cancer can be classified into five subgroups (luminal A, luminal B, basal-like, HER2-enriched, and normal-like) with distinct biology and clinical outcome (8, 9). These subtypes (PAM50) have been reproduced in several independent studies (10–12). An important development in clinical implementation is the recent recognition of the relevance of subtypes, as implemented in the St. Gallen International Breast Cancer Guidelines, and the development of single sample predictors to classify individual tumors (Nanostring Technologies; ref. 13). As clinical outcome even within subtypes is variable, a more refined taxonomy of breast cancer is still needed. Recently, copy number and gene expression data from 2,000 patients with breast cancer from the METABRIC (Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium) cohort were published (1). Integrative clustering of the top 1,000 cis-driven genes identified ten subtypes (integrative clusters; IC) with distinct genomic drivers and clinical outcome (14).

Around 30% of breast cancers have been reported to harbor a somatic mutation in the TP53 gene. TP53 mutation status is a strong marker of prognosis, while its predictive value is debated (15, 16). Small clinical cohorts, suboptimal methods used to assess TP53 mutations status, and lack of consistency in how the mutations are classified, have hindered a robust correlation with clinical features (15–18). The frequency and type of mutations vary across the PAM50 subtypes, but the clinical impact is unclear (11, 19, 20). Investigating the association of TP53 mutations both with PAM50 and the recently described ICs is therefore important.

Here, we report somatic TP53 mutations in 1,420 patients with breast cancer from the METABRIC cohort and show that both mutational spectrum and prognostic associations are subtype specific. The differences are discussed in relation to important biologic features, such as TP53 LOH, MDM2 amplification, genomic instability, mutational process, and evolutionary selection in the tumor. The overall aim of the study was to create a more solid fundament for clinical trial design and for future implementation of TP53 as a biomarker.

Patient material

TP53 mutation status was successfully obtained for 1,420 tumor samples from the METABRIC cohort (1). Detailed inclusion/exclusion criteria are shown in the patient flow diagram (Supplementary Fig. S1). The fresh-frozen specimens from primary invasive breast carcinomas before adjuvant treatment were collected from five different sites in the United Kingdom and Canada after ethical committee approval (Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Guy's Hospital, London; Nottingham; Vancouver; Manitoba), along with clinical and pathologic annotation. The mean age was 60.5 years at the time of diagnosis/surgery (range 21.9–96.3 years) and mean follow-up was 7.6 years (range 0.1–24.5 years). The Kaplan–Meier plots were truncated at 15 years.

Sequencing analysis

Extraction of nucleic acids was performed as previously described (1). TP53 mutation status was assessed by sequencing the entire coding region (exons 2–11), including splice junctions. The sequencing was performed according to the manufacturer's procedures using BigDye Terminator v1.1 Cycle Sequencing Kit (Life Technologies), which applies the Sanger sequencing chemistry. The samples were run on the 3730 DNA Analyzer (Life Technologies), a capillary electrophoresis-based automated DNA sequencer.

The sequences had been previously analyzed automatically, which underestimated mutation calls (1). Therefore, here the electropherograms were inspected manually, assisted by the SeqScape v2.5 software (Life Technologies), by two experienced operators. Any discrepancies in mutation calls were resolved by resequencing the samples.

The probability of occurrence of a mutation was estimated for each exon separately in samples with all exons successfully sequenced. Samples with one or more exons unsuccessfully sequenced and no mutations detected were excluded from analysis if the probability of having a mutation was >5% (n = 22). Patients with double mutations (n = 7) were excluded from the statistical analyses due to the uncertain contribution of each mutation. These 29 samples were not included in the final 1,420 dataset. Survival analysis included 1,404 patients due to patients lost to follow-up (n = 16).

Mutation classification

The mutations were classified according to predicted effect on the protein (16); missense in DNA-binding motif (DBM), missense outside DBM, and nonmissense mutations (including splice, inframe, frameshift, and nonsense mutations).

Molecular subclassification and genomic instability scoring

Subtype assignment (PAM50 and IC) was done as described previously (1). Copy number (Affymetrix SNP 6.0) and expression data (Illumina HT 12_v3) are deposited at the European Genome-Phenome Archive (EGA, http://www.ebi.ac.uk/ega/) under accession number EGAS00000000083.

Scoring of genomic instability from SNP6 data was performed using different approaches. The Complex Arm Aberration Index (CAAI) captures short genomic regions with highly complex rearrangements such as firestorms (21). Genomic Instability Index (GII) is the proportion of amplified or deleted genomic loci (22). TP53 and APOBEC3B expression levels were measured using the ILMN_1779356 and ILMN_2219466 probes, respectively. Allele-specific copy number analysis of tumors, which corrects for tumor percentage and ploidy, was used to score allele-specific copy number of TP53 and MDM2 (23).

Lymphocyte infiltration and TP53 IHC scoring

The degree of lymphocytic infiltration was assessed in samples with adequate morphology on hematoxylin and eosin-stained fresh-frozen tissue sections (1,105/1,420 samples). The tumors were classified as “absent” (no infiltration), “mild” (light scattering of lymphoid cells), or “severe” (dense infiltration of lymphoid cells forming confluent sheets).

TP53 immunostaining was performed using a monoclonal antibody (clone DO-7, dilution 1:100; Dako) on 4-μm thick formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue microarray (TMA) sections. The labeling index value was evaluated by discretizing the percentage (1%–100%) of positive nuclei within the invasive portion of each core of the TMA. A total of 869 cases had intact cores with sufficient tumor cells for TP53 scoring.

Statistical analysis

All statistical analysis were performed using R (24) with the package “rms” (25) and SPSS 18.0 software (SPSS Inc.,). Pearson's chi-squared (χ2), Fisher's exact test, t-test, or Kruskal–Wallis test were used when appropriate to test association between different variables. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS), defined as the time of diagnosis to the time of a breast cancer-related death, and overall survival (OS), defined as the time of diagnosis to the time of death from any cause, were used for the survival analyses. The Kaplan–Meier estimator with log-rank test for significance and Cox proportional hazard (PH) models were used for the survival analysis. Inspection of standard log–log plots and tests based on correlation between time and Schoenfeld's partial residuals was used to evaluate violations of the assumption of PH in the multivariate models (26).

Characterization of TP53 mutations

TP53 was mutated in 28.3% (n = 402) of 1,420 cases (Supplementary Table S1). The majority of the mutations were single base substitutions (n = 295, 73.4%), followed by small deletions (n = 75, 18.7%) and insertions (n = 21, 5.2%). Complex mutations, comprising both deletions and insertions, (n = 8, 2.0%) and tandem mutations (n = 3, 0.7%) were uncommon. Eight (2.7%) of the base substitutions were silent/synonymous and were considered wild-type in further analyses, giving a total mutation frequency of 27.7% (n = 394). The single base substitutions (n = 287; silent excluded) were predominantly G:C>A:T transitions (n = 142, 49.5%), frequently at CpG sites (88/142, 62%), and A:T>T:A transversions were least common (n = 13, 4.5%). The proportion of G:C>A:T at CpG sites was highest in tumors with basal-like phenotype (Supplementary Fig. S2).

The distribution of the mutations was nonuniform across the gene with 81% of the mutations clustering in exons 5–8, mostly spanning the DNA-binding domain of the protein. Exons 4 and 10 also harbored a substantial number of mutations, with 9.6% and 6.5% of the total count, respectively. Only 2% of the mutations were in exon 9, and the remaining 1% was in exons 2, 3, and 11 (Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table S1). Alterations at putative splice sites (defined here as two nucleotides before and after an exon) were detected in 17 cases, and the majority resided between exons 5 and 8. Mutational hotspots (5) were observed in codons 175, 179, 196, 213, 245, 248, 273, 278, 285, and 306. The mutations were mostly G:C>A:T transitions, which in codons 196, 213, and 306 resulted in nonsense codons due to the specific sequence context.

Figure 1.

TP53 mutation spectrum in breast cancer. A, distribution of mutation type across the gene. B, pie chart showing the fraction of each mutation category. C, conserved and functional domains of TP53.

Figure 1.

TP53 mutation spectrum in breast cancer. A, distribution of mutation type across the gene. B, pie chart showing the fraction of each mutation category. C, conserved and functional domains of TP53.

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Interestingly, frameshift mutations were evenly distributed along the gene with no hotspots, whereas missense, nonsense (both with several hotspots), inframe, and splice mutations were mainly located in the DNA-binding domain (Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table S1). Several types of mutations, including a cluster of missense mutations, hit the oligomerization domain; these potentially prevent the formation of tetramers. Nonsense and missense mutations were nearly mutually exclusive with respect to hotspot mutational sites. This observation cannot solely be explained by codon context. The high mutability of C to T, likely followed by selection may explain this pattern.

A systematic overview of the consequences of different types of TP53 mutations on both mRNA and protein expression in a large cohort of breast cancer is currently not available. Hence, we stratified the tumors by mutation status, and found a high correlation between TP53 mRNA levels and protein expression, but only in mutated tumors (P < 0.001, Kruskal–Wallis test; Supplementary Fig. S3B). Tumors with missense mutations were predominantly IHC positive and had higher mRNA levels, whereas frameshift and nonsense mutations were predominantly IHC negative with lower mRNA levels (Supplementary Fig. S3A and S3B). Half of the wild-type tumors also showed positive IHC, but the staining intensity was relatively weak and not correlated with mRNA levels. These results show that IHC is an inadequate surrogate method for mutation screening.

Spectrum of TP53 mutations in molecular subtypes

TP53 mutations were differentially distributed in PAM50 subtypes (P < 0.001, χ2 test; Table 1), which confirms previous reports (11, 19). The subtypes with high mutation frequency, basal-like (65%), and HER2-enriched (53%) showed enrichment of nonmissense mutations, whereas the luminal B type showed a high proportion of missense mutations, of which the majority affected the DBM (P = 0.061, χ2 test; Fig. 2A, 2C, and 2D).

Figure 2.

TP53 mutation spectrum in molecular subtypes. A, PAM50 and (B) IC subtypes. C, pie chart showing fraction of mutation type in each subtype. D, conserved and functional domains of TP53.

Figure 2.

TP53 mutation spectrum in molecular subtypes. A, PAM50 and (B) IC subtypes. C, pie chart showing fraction of mutation type in each subtype. D, conserved and functional domains of TP53.

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Table 1.

Association between TP53 mutation status and clinicopathological characteristics (n = 1,420)

wt TP53mut TP53
CharacteristicsNo. (%)No. (%)P valuea
Age (years) ≤55 320 (65.7) 167 (34.3) <0.001 
 >55 706 (75.7) 227 (24.3)  
 Missing   
Type Ductal 748 (67.8) 356 (32.2) <0.001 
 Lobular 99 (92.5) 8 (7.5)  
 IDC + ILC 64 (86.5) 10 (13.5)  
 Tubular 59 (92.2) 5 (7.8)  
 Mucinous 37 (97.4) 1 (2.6)  
 Medullary 10 (47.6) 11 (52.4)  
 Other invasive 9 (75.0) 3 (25.0)  
 Missing   
Tumor size T1 (≤2 cm) 456 (75.4) 149 (24.6) 0.06 
 T2 (>2–≤5 cm) 515 (69.7) 224 (30.3)  
 T3 (>5 cm), T4 51 (73.9) 18 (26.0)  
 Missing   
Node status Neg (pN0) 539 (75.3) 177 (24.7) 0.011 
 Pos (pN1–pN3) 483 (69.1) 216 (30.9)  
 Missing   
Grade 119 (95.2) 6 (4.8) <0.001 
 479 (88.7) 61 (11.3)  
 383 (54.5) 320 (45.5)  
 Missing 52   
Estrogen receptor Pos 906 (82.3) 195 (17.7) <0.001 
 Neg 120 (37.6) 199 (62.4)  
 Missing   
Progesteron receptorb Pos 627 (84.4) 116 (15.6) <0.001 
 Neg 399 (58.9) 278 (41.1)  
 Missing   
HER2b Gain 184 (57.9) 134 (42.1) <0.001 
 Loss/balanced 840 (76.6) 257 (23.4)  
 Missing   
TP53 LOHc Yes 403 (56.4) 312 (43.6) <0.001 
 No 611 (89.2) 74 (10.8)  
 Missing 20   
MDM2 amplificationc Yes 311 (61.6) 194 (38.4) <0.001 
 No 693 (80.4) 169 (19.6)  
 Missing 53   
PAM50 Basal-like 82 (35.0) 152 (65.0) <0.001 
 HER2-enriched 75 (46.6) 86 (53.4)  
 Luminal B 285 (75.2) 94 (24.8)  
 Luminal A 460 (90.7) 47 (9.3)  
 Normal-like 121 (89.0) 15 (11.0)  
 Missing   
IC10 IC1 83 (77.6) 24 (22.4) <0.001 
 IC2 43 (79.6) 11 (20.4)  
 IC3 192 (93.7) 13 (6.3)  
 IC4 207 (83.1) 42 (16.9)  
 IC5 64 (46.4) 74 (53.6)  
 IC6 41 (63.1) 24 (36.9)  
 IC7 114 (87.0) 17 (13.0)  
 IC8 191 (93.2) 14 (6.8)  
 IC9 52 (52.0) 48 (48.0)  
 IC10 39 (23.5) 127 (76.5)  
 Missing   
Adjuvant therapy CT 9 (29.0) 22 (71.0) <0.001 
 CT/RT 45 (34.4) 86 (65.6)  
 CT/HT/RT 99 (69.7) 43 (30.3)  
 CT/HT 19 (73.1) 7 (26.9)  
 HT 245 (81.4) 56 (18.6)  
 HT/RT 375 (78.9) 100 (21.1)  
 RT 110 (71.9) 43 (28.1)  
 None 124 (77.0) 37 (23.0)  
 Missing   
wt TP53mut TP53
CharacteristicsNo. (%)No. (%)P valuea
Age (years) ≤55 320 (65.7) 167 (34.3) <0.001 
 >55 706 (75.7) 227 (24.3)  
 Missing   
Type Ductal 748 (67.8) 356 (32.2) <0.001 
 Lobular 99 (92.5) 8 (7.5)  
 IDC + ILC 64 (86.5) 10 (13.5)  
 Tubular 59 (92.2) 5 (7.8)  
 Mucinous 37 (97.4) 1 (2.6)  
 Medullary 10 (47.6) 11 (52.4)  
 Other invasive 9 (75.0) 3 (25.0)  
 Missing   
Tumor size T1 (≤2 cm) 456 (75.4) 149 (24.6) 0.06 
 T2 (>2–≤5 cm) 515 (69.7) 224 (30.3)  
 T3 (>5 cm), T4 51 (73.9) 18 (26.0)  
 Missing   
Node status Neg (pN0) 539 (75.3) 177 (24.7) 0.011 
 Pos (pN1–pN3) 483 (69.1) 216 (30.9)  
 Missing   
Grade 119 (95.2) 6 (4.8) <0.001 
 479 (88.7) 61 (11.3)  
 383 (54.5) 320 (45.5)  
 Missing 52   
Estrogen receptor Pos 906 (82.3) 195 (17.7) <0.001 
 Neg 120 (37.6) 199 (62.4)  
 Missing   
Progesteron receptorb Pos 627 (84.4) 116 (15.6) <0.001 
 Neg 399 (58.9) 278 (41.1)  
 Missing   
HER2b Gain 184 (57.9) 134 (42.1) <0.001 
 Loss/balanced 840 (76.6) 257 (23.4)  
 Missing   
TP53 LOHc Yes 403 (56.4) 312 (43.6) <0.001 
 No 611 (89.2) 74 (10.8)  
 Missing 20   
MDM2 amplificationc Yes 311 (61.6) 194 (38.4) <0.001 
 No 693 (80.4) 169 (19.6)  
 Missing 53   
PAM50 Basal-like 82 (35.0) 152 (65.0) <0.001 
 HER2-enriched 75 (46.6) 86 (53.4)  
 Luminal B 285 (75.2) 94 (24.8)  
 Luminal A 460 (90.7) 47 (9.3)  
 Normal-like 121 (89.0) 15 (11.0)  
 Missing   
IC10 IC1 83 (77.6) 24 (22.4) <0.001 
 IC2 43 (79.6) 11 (20.4)  
 IC3 192 (93.7) 13 (6.3)  
 IC4 207 (83.1) 42 (16.9)  
 IC5 64 (46.4) 74 (53.6)  
 IC6 41 (63.1) 24 (36.9)  
 IC7 114 (87.0) 17 (13.0)  
 IC8 191 (93.2) 14 (6.8)  
 IC9 52 (52.0) 48 (48.0)  
 IC10 39 (23.5) 127 (76.5)  
 Missing   
Adjuvant therapy CT 9 (29.0) 22 (71.0) <0.001 
 CT/RT 45 (34.4) 86 (65.6)  
 CT/HT/RT 99 (69.7) 43 (30.3)  
 CT/HT 19 (73.1) 7 (26.9)  
 HT 245 (81.4) 56 (18.6)  
 HT/RT 375 (78.9) 100 (21.1)  
 RT 110 (71.9) 43 (28.1)  
 None 124 (77.0) 37 (23.0)  
 Missing   

aPearson's χ2 or Fisher's exact test (two-tailed) when 2 × 2.

bProgesteron status defined by gene expression data. HER2 status defined by SNP6 data.

cTP53 LOH and MDM2 gain defined by SNP6 data (not corrected for ploidy).

A notable difference of mutational hotspots was observed between subtypes. The basal-like subtype was enriched for multiple hotspots, whereas luminal A tumors had a flat mutation profile. The most frequently mutated codon 248, was identified as a hotspot in luminal B, HER2-enriched, and basal-like tumors, whereas mutations in codon 175 and 273 were observed mostly in the basal-like subgroup. Interestingly, the nonsense mutation R213* was a hotspot in basal-like (seven out of nine samples; Fig. 2A and 2B). This intriguing finding is also observed in other cohorts, where 16 of 20 samples with the R213* mutation are basal-like (data not shown).

The distribution of TP53 mutations in the 10 ICs also revealed significant variation in frequency (P < 0.001, χ2 test; Table 1). IC10 had the highest mutation frequency (76.5%), and the mutational spectrum observed in basal-like tumors was recapitulated (Fig. 2B), suggesting association with the core basal-like subset (14). The proportion of IC9 tumors (48%) with TP53 mutations is noteworthy because this cluster primarily consists of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/HER2-negative cases. The distribution of TP53 mutations across the 10 clusters was validated in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) dataset by performing analysis of deviance. This confirmed IC9, an ER-positive/HER2-negative subtype, as frequently mutated (Supplementary Fig. S4).

We observed that high APOBEC3B expression level was associated with TP53 mutations (P < 0.001, t-test). Interestingly, this effect was strongest in the basal-like tumors (Supplementary Fig. S5), suggesting a subtype-related mechanism contributing to TP53 mutagenesis. The DNA cytosine deaminase APOBEC3B has recently been suggested as a driver of mutations, especially C-to-T and C-to-G substitutions at TC motifs with nonmethylated cytosines, and was shown to be overexpressed in TP53-mutated cell lines and tumors (27).

Prognostic implications of TP53 mutations in breast cancer

Patients with breast cancer with a somatic TP53 mutation had significantly inferior BCSS [HR = 2.03; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.65–2.48, P < 0.001, Cox Regression model; Fig. 3A and Supplementary Table S2] and OS (HR = 1.59; 95% CI, 1.34–1.89, P < 0.001; Supplementary Fig. S6A). TP53 mutations were associated with increased mortality also in the subset of patients that did not receive cytotoxic treatment (n = 1,078, HR = 2.20; 95% CI, 1.69–2.86, P < 0.001; Supplementary Fig. S6B), which suggests that the effect is not related to response of adjuvant chemotherapy. Importantly, stratification of cases showed that the prognostic effect of TP53 was limited to ER-positive disease (Fig. 3C and D). As ER-positive and -negative breast cancers are widely recognized as different biologic entities, separate multivariate survival analyses were performed. After correcting for other covariates, TP53 mutation status was an independent predictor of outcome in ER-positive patients only, both for BCSS (HR = 1.86; 95% CI, 1.39–2.49, P < 0.001; Supplementary Table S3) and for OS (HR = 1.49; 95% CI, 1.17–1.90, P < 0.001; Supplementary Table S4).

Figure 3.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing BCSS of TP53 mutation status in (A) the total cohort, (B) patients categorized according to TP53 mutation types, (C) ER-positive patients, and (D) ER-negative patients. Numbers at risk are listed below each chart (e = number of breast cancer–specific deaths).

Figure 3.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing BCSS of TP53 mutation status in (A) the total cohort, (B) patients categorized according to TP53 mutation types, (C) ER-positive patients, and (D) ER-negative patients. Numbers at risk are listed below each chart (e = number of breast cancer–specific deaths).

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The large number of cases allowed survival analysis stratified by molecular subtypes. TP53 mutations were associated with a worse outcome in luminal B (HR = 1.66; 95% CI, 1.14–2.42, P = 0.007), HER2-enriched (HR = 1.69; 95% CI, 1.04–2.73, P = 0.032), and normal-like subtypes (HR = 3.62; 95% CI, 1.67–7.88, P = 0.001), whereas no significant effect was observed in the basal-like and luminal A subtypes (Fig. 4). TP53 mutations conferred higher mortality in IC1 (HR = 2.00; 95% CI, 1.01–3.95, P = 0.045), IC4 (HR = 2.08; 95% CI, 1.19–3.63, P = 0.009), and IC5 (HR = 1.88; 95% CI, 1.13–3.14, P = 0.015), although the number of events limits the statistical robustness of these results (Supplementary Fig. S7). IC10 corresponds mostly to triple-negative cases from the basal-like subtype (1, 14), and no prognostic effect was observed in this highly TP53-mutated (76.5%) group. Taken together these novel observations indicate that the clinical significance of mutant TP53 varies across molecular subtypes of breast cancer.

Figure 4.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing BCSS of TP53 mutation status in PAM50 and IC10 breast cancer subtypes. A, luminal A. B, luminal B. C, HER2-enriched. D, normal-like. E, basal-like. F, IC10. Numbers at risk are listed below each chart (e = no. of breast cancer-specific deaths).

Figure 4.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing BCSS of TP53 mutation status in PAM50 and IC10 breast cancer subtypes. A, luminal A. B, luminal B. C, HER2-enriched. D, normal-like. E, basal-like. F, IC10. Numbers at risk are listed below each chart (e = no. of breast cancer-specific deaths).

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Survival differences could not be detected in patients harboring different types of TP53 mutations (Fig. 3B). Although patients with tumors bearing missense mutations in the DBM tended to have inferior outcome, this was not statistically significant.

TP53 and genomic instability

TP53 mutation is associated with genomic instability (28). TP53-mutated tumors had significantly higher rate of GII (P < 0.001, Kruskal–Wallis test), most distinct in basal-like cases. Focal complex alterations are believed to be associated with telomeric attrition and a result of breakage-fusion-bridge cycles, and suggest a different mechanism for instability of the genome (21, 29). Higher rates of these complex alterations (firestorms), measured by CAAI, were observed in mutated tumors (P < 0.001, χ2 test; predominantly in the basal-like and HER2-enriched subgroups).

We further investigated whether tumors acquire genomic instability through alternative mechanisms of theTP53 pathway deregulation (TP53 LOH and MDM2 amplification). Significantly higher frequencies of TP53 LOH and MDM2 amplification were observed in mutated versus wild-type tumors (P < 0.001, χ2 test; Table 1), with no clear association with the type of mutation. LOH was observed in 80.8% of the mutated tumors, independently of molecular subtype. However, in TP53 wild-type cases, the frequency of LOH varied across subtypes (P < 0.001, χ2 test); 52% in luminal B versus 24% in basal-like (Supplementary Fig. S8A). The difference was even more prominent across ICs; 80% in IC1 compared with 35% in IC10 (Supplementary Fig. S8A). These alternative mechanisms of the TP53 pathway deregulation increased the mortality in patients with wild-type tumors (LOH vs. no LOH: HR = 1.56; 95% CI, 1.20–2.02, P < 0.001; MDM2 amplification vs. no MDM2 amplification: HR = 1.86; 95% CI, 1.43–2.42, P < 0.001), but not in patients with mutated TP53 (Supplementary Fig. S8B). Interestingly, the combined influence of these events (TP53 mutation, TP53 LOH, or MDM2 amplification) conferred increasingly unfavorable prognosis (HR = 1.54; 95% CI, 1.39–1.70, P < 0.001; Fig. 5A) and tumors showed correspondingly higher genomic instability (P < 0.001, Kruskal–Wallis test; Fig. 5B).

Figure 5.

A, Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing BCSS of TP53 mutation status in combination with both TP53 LOH and MDM2 amplification. Numbers at risk are listed below each chart (e = number of breast cancer-specific deaths). B, relation between genomic instability and the TP53 pathway disrupting events (TP53 mutation, TP53 LOH, and MDM2 gain).

Figure 5.

A, Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing BCSS of TP53 mutation status in combination with both TP53 LOH and MDM2 amplification. Numbers at risk are listed below each chart (e = number of breast cancer-specific deaths). B, relation between genomic instability and the TP53 pathway disrupting events (TP53 mutation, TP53 LOH, and MDM2 gain).

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The current study presents analyses of somatic TP53 mutations in a large cohort of 1,420 breast cancer cases with extensive clinical and molecular annotation. Our previous study was of significant size (n = 1794), but a large proportion of the samples (64%) was only screened for mutations in exons 5–8 and molecular subtype information was not available (16). The TCGA dataset includes 826 samples with TP53 mutation status, but survival data are extremely limited (10). This makes METABRIC the largest cohort exploring the effect of TP53 mutations in breast cancer in a subtype-specific manner. The large sample size allowed FDR correction (data not presented) and the key results presented are therefore robust.

The distribution pattern of TP53 mutations was is in line with previous studies, with the majority of mutations localized in the DNA-binding domain (exons 5–8). Notably, almost 20% of the mutations were detected outside this domain, and the prognostic significance of these mutations was equivalent to those residing in the DNA-binding domain. This highlights the need to sequence all TP53 exons to explore its clinical impact.

The distribution of TP53 mutation types across its functional domains provides insight into the selection processes during tumorigenesis. Frameshift mutations, as opposed to other mutation types, were evenly distributed along the gene (Fig. 1). Thus, selective advantage of mutations in the DNA-binding domain, mirroring the functional importance of this region, does not extend to frameshift mutations. This suggests that frameshift mutations disrupt protein function independently of location.

The impact of the TP53 mutation types on outcome could be related to the predicted functional effect, although reports of this association have been inconsistent (16, 30–35). In this study, the prognostic impact was not significantly different between mutation types. Missense mutations predicted to have GOF (6, 36) were also not distinctly associated with outcome. The LOH events in TP53-mutated tumors were often accompanied by copy number gain (mostly duplication) of the retained allele. This occurred independently of mutation type, suggesting that allelic duplication does not enhance the effect of GOF-mutant proteins. Altogether, these observations question whether different mutation types, including GOF mutations, can be used as a prognostic tool in breast cancer.

The distinct TP53 mutation spectrum and clinical relevance across molecular subtypes suggest a diverse role for TP53. As seen in previous studies (10, 20), basal-like cancers were frequently mutated and enriched for frameshift and nonsense mutations, but TP53 mutation was not prognostic. In a recent study, TP53 function was found to be compromised in most of the basal-like tumors either through TP53 mutations or alterations in genes in the TP53 pathway (10). Thus, wild-type TP53 may not necessarily indicate an intact TP53 pathway and may explain this lack of prognostic value. Our interpretation is that abrogation of the TP53 pathway is an early, initiating, and required event in most basal-like tumors. In addition, inactivation of both TP53 alleles seems to be important in these tumors given the higher proportion of cases with both mutation and LOH (Supplementary Fig. S8A). In ER-negative disease, where both TP53 and other markers performed poorly in prognostication (Supplementary Table S2–S4), severe lymphocytic infiltration is associated with better outcome (37–39). We observed that ER-negative tumors with wild-type TP53 and severe lymphocytic infiltration are a subset with better prognosis (Supplementary Fig. S8C). Whether wild-type TP53 evokes an immune response in ER-negative tumors, or whether the immune response is only effective against wild-type TP53 tumors needs to be investigated.

Recurrently mutated codons (hotspots) were observed, particularly in basal-like/IC10 tumors. Hotspots probably arise due to a combination of a highly mutable sequence context and selective growth advantage provided by the specific mutation. One intriguing observation was the association of the nonsense mutation in codon 213 (C.R213*) with the basal-like subtype. Codon 213 (CGA/CGG) is a polymorphic site (rs1800372) with G as the minor allele (minor allele frequency = 0.007; ref. 40). The C>T mutation leading to a stop codon is possible only with the A allele (CGA>TGA), indicating a protective role of the G-allele.

Loss of one TP53 allele may be a sufficient driver in luminal B tumors as indicated by the higher fraction of wild-type tumors with LOH (Supplementary Fig. S8A). A less important role of TP53 mutation is suggested in luminal A tumors due to the low mutation frequency and lack of evident hotspots.

In conclusion, our integrated study provides an important insight into the significance of TP53 in breast cancer, clearly demonstrating that its role as a prognostic and predictive marker needs to be investigated in a subtype-specific manner. This knowledge is crucial with respect to the potential clinical application of TP53, including further development of TP53-targeted therapies.

No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

Conception and design: S. Aparicio, A.-L. Børresen-Dale, C. Caldas, A. Langerød

Development of methodology: L. Silwal-Pandit, A.-L. Børresen-Dale, C. Caldas, A. Langerød

Acquisition of data (provided animals, acquired and managed patients, provided facilities, etc.): S.-F. Chin, T. Osako, C. Caldas

Analysis and interpretation of data (e.g., statistical analysis, biostatistics, computational analysis): L. Silwal-Pandit, H.K. Moen Vollan, S.-F. Chin, O.M. Rueda, S.E. McKinney, D. Quigley, V.N. Kristensen, A.-L. Børresen-Dale, C. Caldas, A. Langerød

Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: L. Silwal-Pandit, H.K. Moen Vollan, S.-F. Chin, S.E. McKinney, D. Quigley, S. Aparicio, A.-L. Børresen-Dale, C. Caldas, A. Langerød

Administrative, technical, or material support (i.e., reporting or organizing data, constructing databases): L.Silwal-Pandit, S.E. McKinney, C. Caldas, A. Langerød

Study supervision: A.-L. Børresen-Dale, C. Caldas, A. Langerød

The authors thank the members of the METABRIC group list of members below) for sample collection and for providing the clinical and genomic data on 2,000 breast tumors, the patients who contributed to the study, and Phuong Vu, Anita Halvei, Inger Riise Bergheim, Anja Valen, Rita Halvorsen, Eldri Undlien Due, Jovana Jovanovic, and Shiferaw Dagim Tadele for the efforts to read the sequences of more than 4.2 million bases manually.

This work was supported by Norwegian Cancer Society (0332), South-Eastern Norway Regional Health Authority (2011079), The Research Council of Norway (163027/V40), The Norwegian Radium Hospital Foundation, EuroCan Platform FP7 (260791), The British Columbia Cancer Foundation, and Cancer Research UK.

The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

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Supplementary data