Purpose: Alterations in the RAS-RAF-MAP2K (MEK)-MAPK signaling pathway are major drivers in colorectal carcinogenesis. In colorectal cancer, BRAF mutation is associated with microsatellite instability (MSI), and typically predicts inferior prognosis. We examined the effect of BRAF mutation on survival and treatment efficacy in patients with stage III colon cancer.

Methods: We assessed status of BRAF c.1799T>A (p.V600E) mutation and MSI in 506 stage III colon cancer patients enrolled in a randomized adjuvant chemotherapy trial [5-fluorouracil and leucovorin (FU/LV) vs. irinotecan (CPT11), FU and LV (IFL); CALGB 89803]. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the prognostic role of BRAF mutation, adjusting for clinical features, adjuvant chemotherapy arm, and MSI status.

Results: Compared with 431 BRAF wild-type patients, 75 BRAF-mutated patients experienced significantly worse overall survival [OS; log-rank P = 0.015; multivariate HR = 1.66; 95% CI: 1.05–2.63]. By assessing combined status of BRAF and MSI, it seemed that BRAF-mutated MSS (microsatellite stable) tumor was an unfavorable subtype, whereas BRAF wild-type MSI-high tumor was a favorable subtype, and BRAF-mutated MSI-high tumor and BRAF wild-type MSS tumor were intermediate subtypes. Among patients with BRAF-mutated tumors, a nonsignificant trend toward improved OS was observed for IFL versus FU/LV arm (multivariate HR = 0.52; 95% CI: 0.25–1.10). Among patients with BRAF wild-type cancer, IFL conferred no suggestion of benefit beyond FU/LV alone (multivariate HR = 1.02; 95% CI: 0.72–1.46).

Conclusions:BRAF mutation is associated with inferior survival in stage III colon cancer. Additional studies are necessary to assess whether there is any predictive role of BRAF mutation for irinotecan-based therapy. Clin Cancer Res; 18(3); 890–900. ©2011 AACR.

Translational Relevance

BRAF mutation is associated with microsatellite instability (MSI) in colon cancer. Thus, the prognostic role of BRAF mutation or MSI in colon cancer can only be properly assessed when these markers are simultaneously determined. We examined BRAF mutation status in stage III colon cancer patients who enrolled in a phase III trial CALGB 89803, which randomized patients to either a combination of irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil, and leucovorin (IFL) or 5-fluorouracil, and leucovorin (FU/LV). We found that BRAF mutation was independently associated with inferior overall survival. We also observed a nonsignificant trend toward an improved overall survival of patients randomized to IFL (vs. FU/LV) among BRAF-mutated patients, but not among BRAF wild-type patients. Our findings provide important data on the prognostic role of BRAF mutation. Whether BRAF status has any predictive role for irinotecan-based chemotherapy needs to be examined by additional studies.

BRAF is a part of the RAS-RAF-MAP2K (MEK)-MAPK signaling pathway. BRAF mutations are observed in 10% to 20% of colon cancers in population-based studies (1–9). In colon cancer, BRAF mutation is associated with proximal tumor location and microsatellite instability (MSI; refs. 1, 3, 10–13), and with significantly worse patient survival in most (1, 6, 14–22), though not all studies (2). In contrast, MSI-high colon cancers have been associated with a significantly improved survival (1, 2, 6, 16, 23), and several studies have suggested the prognostic impact of BRAF mutation status may vary according to the concurrent presence or absence of MSI-high (1, 14, 21). Thus, investigation of the prognostic impact of BRAF mutation or MSI in colon cancer may be most informative when these markers are simultaneously assessed.

The predictive role of BRAF mutation in colon cancer remains less clear. Few studies have examined the impact of BRAF mutation on the efficacy of available chemotherapy regimens (24, 25). A recent analysis of stage III colon cancer patients enrolled in a randomized trial comparing 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) and leucovorin (FU/LV) to irinotecan (CPT11), 5-FU and leucovorin (IFL; CALGB 89803) suggested that, among patients with MSI-high cancer, IFL conferred a superior disease-free survival when compared with FU/LV (23). In light of the association between BRAF mutation and MSI, we hypothesized that BRAF mutation in colon cancer may similarly influence the efficacy of irinotecan-based chemotherapy in this setting.

We therefore examined prognostic and predictive roles of BRAF mutation among stage III colon cancer patients enrolled in this National Cancer Institute (NCI)-sponsored randomized clinical trial comparing postoperative adjuvant FU/LV to IFL (CALGB 89803; ref. 26). Because data on pathologic stage, performance status, postoperative treatment, follow-up, and tumor molecular features such as KRAS and MSI status were carefully recorded in this trial, the simultaneous impact of disease characteristics and the use of adjuvant therapy could be assessed to control for potential confounding. Moreover, the simultaneous impact of BRAF mutational status and MSI on patient outcome could be explored.

Study population

Patients in this study were participants in the NCI-sponsored Cancer and Leukemia Group B (CALGB) adjuvant therapy trial for stage III colon cancer comparing therapy with the weekly Roswell Park regimen of 5-FU and leucovorin (FU/LV) to weekly bolus regimen of irinotecan, 5-FU, and leucovorin (IFL; CALGB 89803; ref. 26). Between April 1999 and May 2001, 1,264 patients were enrolled on the treatment trial. Patients in the treatment trial (and thus this companion study) were eligible if they underwent a complete surgical resection of the primary tumor within 56 days prior to study entry, and had regional lymph node metastases (stage III colon cancer) but no evidence of distant metastases. Moreover, patients were required to have a baseline Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status of 0 to 2 (ambulatory) and have adequate bone marrow, renal and hepatic function. Data on family history of colorectal cancer in first-degree relatives were obtained by questionnaire at diagnosis (26). The current analysis was limited to 506 patients for whom archived formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor tissue and BRAF sequencing data were available. All patients signed informed consent, approved by each site's Institutional Review Board.

We compared baseline characteristics of the patients who were included in this study (with available BRAF data, N = 506) with those who were excluded from this study due to unavailability of tissue data (N = 758). We did not detect any significant or substantial difference between these 2 groups in terms of age, sex, body mass index (BMI), family history, tumor location, pT stage, pN stage, performance status, bowel perforation, bowel obstruction, or treatment arm (all P > 0.08). In addition, recurrence-free and disease-free survival did not significantly differ in subjects with available BRAF data as compared with those without BRAF data (multivariate HR = 0.96; 95% CI: 0.79–1.18; and multivariate HR = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.78–1.15, respectively).

As part of the quality assurance program of the CALGB, members of the Audit Committee visit all participating institutions at least once every 3 years to review source documents. The auditors verify compliance with federal regulations and protocol requirements, including those pertaining to eligibility, treatment, adverse events, tumor response, and outcome in a sample of protocols at each institution. Such on-site review of medical records was carried out for a subgroup of 328 patients (26%) of the 1,264 patients included in this study.

Definitions of study endpoints

The study endpoints were; (i) recurrence-free survival (RFS), defined as the time from the study enrollment to tumor recurrence or occurrence of a new primary colon tumor; (ii) disease-free survival (DFS), defined as time from the study enrollment to tumor recurrence, occurrence of a new primary colon tumor, or death from any cause; and (iii) overall survival (OS), defined as the time from the study enrollment to death from any cause. For RFS, patients who died without known tumor recurrence were censored at last documented evaluation by a treating provider.

DNA extraction from tumor, BRAF and KRAS sequencing, and MSI, MLH1, and MSH2 analyses

Tumor molecular analyses were carried out blinded to patient and outcome data. DNA was extracted from paraffin-embedded colon cancer tissue (27). We marked tumor areas on H&E slide, and dissected tumor tissue by a sterile needle. PCR and Pyrosequencing spanning BRAF codon 600 (28), and KRAS codons 12 and 13 were carried out as previously described (27) in the laboratory at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Our previous study (27) has shown that Pyrosequencing assay is more sensitive than Sanger sequencing (29), and can detect approximately 5% to 10% of mutant allele among a mixture of mutant and normal alleles. MSI was assessed by PCR for 10 markers, and MLH1 and MSH2 expression was examined by immunohistochemistry (IHC) as previously described (23). Tumors with instability in ≥50% of the loci were classified as MSI-high, and those with instability in 0% to 40% of the loci as microsatellite stable (MSS), and the concordance between MSI testing and IHC for MLH1 or MSH2 loss was 97% (23). For 28 cases without PCR MSI results, those with loss of MLH1 or MSH2 were classified as MSI-high, and those with intact expression of MLH1 and MSH2 as MSS. All tumor tissue analyses were carried out completely blinded to patient identity, clinical, and outcome data.

Statistical analyses

The goal of this correlative study was to determine whether tumor BRAF mutation status was associated with clinical outcome for patients with stage III colon cancer. Patient registration and clinical data collection were managed by the CALGB Statistical Center, and analyses were conducted collaboratively between the CALGB Statistical Center and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. All analyses were based on the study database frozen on November 9, 2009, except for the tumor BRAF data. All analyses used SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute) and all P values were 2-sided.

The Kaplan–Meier method was used to estimate the distribution of survival time according to BRAF status, and the log-rank test was used to compare survival between subgroups. We used the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to estimate survival HR by tumor BRAF status. The following variables were considered in the multivariable analysis: age at study entry (continuous), sex, baseline BMI (≥30 vs. <30 kg/m2), family history of colorectal cancer in first-degree relatives (present vs. absent), baseline performance status (0 vs. 1–2), presence of bowel perforation or obstruction at time of surgery, treatment arm, tumor location (proximal vs. distal), pT stage (pT1-2 vs. pT3 vs. pT4 vs. unknown), pN stage (pN1 vs. pN2), KRAS (wild-type vs. codon 12 mutation vs. codon 13 mutation), and MSI status (high vs. MSS). A backward stepwise elimination with a threshold of P = 0.20 was conducted to select covariates in the final model. pT stage was used as a stratifying variable using the strata option in the SAS “proc phreg” command. No collinearity was evident among the variables studied. Although KRAS and BRAF mutations were almost mutually exclusive (Table 1) and KRAS mutation overall did not influence outcome in this dataset (30), we included KRAS codon 12 and 13 mutations separately in the model, to examine codon-specific effects of KRAS mutation. The proportionality of hazards assumption was assessed using standard survival plots and by evaluating a time-dependent variable, which was the cross-product of BRAF and survival time (P = 0.011 for RFS; P = 0.22 for DFS; P = 0.26 for OS). Data were missing on family history in 1% of patients, tumor location in 1% of patients, pN stage in 0.6% of patients, perforation status in 1.8% of patients, obstruction status in 0.6% of patients, and MSI status in 0.2% of patients; those were included in a majority category in multivariable Cox models to maximize the efficiency of multivariable analyses. To assess the potential differential effect of treatment arm according to BRAF status (or combined BRAF and MSI status), we carried out a single multivariate Cox regression analysis, in which we could estimate the effect of treatment arm simultaneously in 2 strata of BRAF status (or in 4 strata of combined BRAF and MSI status) using a reparameterization of the interaction term(s) (3). Interaction was also assessed by including the cross-product of BRAF and another variable of interest (without data-missing cases) in a multivariate model, using the Wald test.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics according to BRAF mutational status in stage III colon cancer

Clinical or molecular featureNo. of casesBRAFP
Wild typeMutant (c.1799T>A, p.V600E)
Total N 506 431 75  
Sex    0.0044 
 Male 274 (54%) 245 (57%) 29 (39%)  
 Female 232 (46%) 186 (43%) 46 (61%)  
Age (y)    <0.0001 
 <50 99 (20%) 97 (23%) 2 (2.7%)  
 50–59 131 (26%) 121 (28%) 10 (13%)  
 60–69 156 (31%) 125 (29%) 31 (41%)  
 ≥70 120 (24%) 88 (20%) 32 (43%)  
 Mean age ± SD 59.7 ± 11.5 58.6 ± 11.7 66.5 ± 8.0 <0.0001 
BMI (kg/m2   0.77 
 <25 164 (32%) 137 (32%) 27 (36%)  
 25–29 185 (37%) 159 (37%) 26 (35%)  
 ≥30 157 (31%) 135 (31%) 22 (29%)  
Family history of colorectal cancer in any first-degree relative 0.11 
 (−) 419 (84%) 361 (85%) 58 (77%)  
 (+) 82 (16%) 65 (15%) 17 (23%)  
Tumor location    <0.0001 
 Proximal (cecum to transverse colon) 287 (57%) 219 (51%) 68 (92%)  
 Distal (splenic flexure to sigmoid) 214 (43%) 208 (49%) 6 (8.1%)  
pT stage    0.29 
 pT1–pT2 58 (12%) 50 (12%) 8 (11%)  
 pT3 409 (82%) 351 (82%) 58 (78%)  
 pT4 33 (6.6%) 25 (5.9%) 8 (11%)  
pN stage    0.13 
 pN1 318 (63%) 277 (65%) 41 (55%)  
 pN2 185 (37%) 152 (35%) 33 (45%)  
AJCC tumor stage    0.51 
 IIIA 48 (9%) 42 (10%) 6 (8%)  
 IIIB 268 (53%) 233 (54%) 35 (47%)  
 IIIC 185 (36%) 152 (35%) 33 (44%)  
 III, unknown substage 5 (1%) 4 (1%) 1 (1%)  
Performance status score    0.11 
 0 387 (76%) 335 (78%) 52 (69%)  
 1–2 119 (24%) 96 (22%) 23 (31%)  
Clinical bowel perforation    0.10 
 (−) 475 (96%) 407 (96%) 68 (92%)  
 (+) 22 (4%) 16 (4%) 6 (8%)  
Clinical bowel obstruction    0.91 
 (−) 390 (78%) 333 (78%) 57 (77%)  
 (+) 113 (22%) 96 (22%) 17 (23%)  
MSI statusa    <0.0001 
 MSS 428 (85%) 387 (90%) 41 (55%)  
 MSI-high 77 (15%) 43 (10%) 34 (45%)  
KRAS mutation status    <0.0001 
 Wild type 330 (65%) 256 (59%) 74 (99%)  
 Mutant 176 (35%) 175 (41%) 1 (1.3%)  
Treatment arm    0.10 
 FU/LV 267 (53%) 234 (54%) 33 (44%)  
 IFL 239 (47%) 197 (46%) 42 (56%)  
Clinical or molecular featureNo. of casesBRAFP
Wild typeMutant (c.1799T>A, p.V600E)
Total N 506 431 75  
Sex    0.0044 
 Male 274 (54%) 245 (57%) 29 (39%)  
 Female 232 (46%) 186 (43%) 46 (61%)  
Age (y)    <0.0001 
 <50 99 (20%) 97 (23%) 2 (2.7%)  
 50–59 131 (26%) 121 (28%) 10 (13%)  
 60–69 156 (31%) 125 (29%) 31 (41%)  
 ≥70 120 (24%) 88 (20%) 32 (43%)  
 Mean age ± SD 59.7 ± 11.5 58.6 ± 11.7 66.5 ± 8.0 <0.0001 
BMI (kg/m2   0.77 
 <25 164 (32%) 137 (32%) 27 (36%)  
 25–29 185 (37%) 159 (37%) 26 (35%)  
 ≥30 157 (31%) 135 (31%) 22 (29%)  
Family history of colorectal cancer in any first-degree relative 0.11 
 (−) 419 (84%) 361 (85%) 58 (77%)  
 (+) 82 (16%) 65 (15%) 17 (23%)  
Tumor location    <0.0001 
 Proximal (cecum to transverse colon) 287 (57%) 219 (51%) 68 (92%)  
 Distal (splenic flexure to sigmoid) 214 (43%) 208 (49%) 6 (8.1%)  
pT stage    0.29 
 pT1–pT2 58 (12%) 50 (12%) 8 (11%)  
 pT3 409 (82%) 351 (82%) 58 (78%)  
 pT4 33 (6.6%) 25 (5.9%) 8 (11%)  
pN stage    0.13 
 pN1 318 (63%) 277 (65%) 41 (55%)  
 pN2 185 (37%) 152 (35%) 33 (45%)  
AJCC tumor stage    0.51 
 IIIA 48 (9%) 42 (10%) 6 (8%)  
 IIIB 268 (53%) 233 (54%) 35 (47%)  
 IIIC 185 (36%) 152 (35%) 33 (44%)  
 III, unknown substage 5 (1%) 4 (1%) 1 (1%)  
Performance status score    0.11 
 0 387 (76%) 335 (78%) 52 (69%)  
 1–2 119 (24%) 96 (22%) 23 (31%)  
Clinical bowel perforation    0.10 
 (−) 475 (96%) 407 (96%) 68 (92%)  
 (+) 22 (4%) 16 (4%) 6 (8%)  
Clinical bowel obstruction    0.91 
 (−) 390 (78%) 333 (78%) 57 (77%)  
 (+) 113 (22%) 96 (22%) 17 (23%)  
MSI statusa    <0.0001 
 MSS 428 (85%) 387 (90%) 41 (55%)  
 MSI-high 77 (15%) 43 (10%) 34 (45%)  
KRAS mutation status    <0.0001 
 Wild type 330 (65%) 256 (59%) 74 (99%)  
 Mutant 176 (35%) 175 (41%) 1 (1.3%)  
Treatment arm    0.10 
 FU/LV 267 (53%) 234 (54%) 33 (44%)  
 IFL 239 (47%) 197 (46%) 42 (56%)  

NOTE: (%) indicates the proportion of tumors with a specific clinical or molecular feature in BRAF wild-type tumors (or BRAF-mutated tumors). There were cases with missing value/status for some of the variables.

aFor 28 cases without MSI results by PCR, those with loss of MLH1 or MSH2 were classified as MSI-high, and those with intact expression of MLH1 and MSH2 as MSS, because concordance between MSI PCR and IHC for MLH1 and MSH2 was very high (97%) among cases with both results available (23).

Abbreviation: AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer.

BRAF mutation in stage III colon cancer

Study participants were drawn from a multicenter study of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in stage III colon cancer patients who underwent a curative-intent surgical resection (CALGB 89803 protocol; ref. 26). We included 506 cases in the current study based on availability of tumor tissue for BRAF sequencing, which detected c.1799T>A (p.V600E) mutation in 75 (15%) patients. This BRAF mutation frequency is comparable with data in the previous large population-based studies in the United States (1, 16). Table 1 summarizes baseline characteristics according to BRAF mutation status. BRAF mutation was significantly associated with female sex, older age, proximal tumor location, MSI-high, and wild-type KRAS (all P < 0.0045; a P value for significance was adjusted to P = 0.0045 by Bonferroni correction).

Prognostic role of BRAF mutation

With median follow-up of 7.6 years among survivors, there were 183 events for RFS analysis, 202 events for DFS analysis, and 160 events for OS analysis. In a Kaplan–Meier analysis (Fig. 1), BRAF-mutated cases experienced a nonsignificant trend toward inferior RFS and DFS. For BRAF-mutated versus wild-type cases, 5-year RFS was 60% versus 65%, and 5-year DFS was 55% versus 64%, respectively. BRAF mutation was associated a statistically significant reduction in OS (5-year OS: 63% in BRAF mutant vs. 75% in BRAF wild-type; log-rank P = 0.015).

Figure 1.

BRAF mutation and clinical outcome in colon cancer. A–C, Kaplan–Meier curves according to BRAF mutation in 506 stage III colon cancers for RFS (A), DFS (B), and OS (C). The y axis indicates the survival probability. D–F, Kaplan–Meier curves for RFS (D), DFS (E), and OS (F) according to treatment arm and BRAF mutation status. G, proposed strategy for prognostication of colon cancer by MSI and BRAF tests. DFS, disease-free survival; FU/LV, 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin; IFL, irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil, and leucovorin; MSI, microsatellite instability; MSS, microsatellite stable; Mut, mutant; OS, overall survival; RFS, recurrence-free survival; WT, wild-type.

Figure 1.

BRAF mutation and clinical outcome in colon cancer. A–C, Kaplan–Meier curves according to BRAF mutation in 506 stage III colon cancers for RFS (A), DFS (B), and OS (C). The y axis indicates the survival probability. D–F, Kaplan–Meier curves for RFS (D), DFS (E), and OS (F) according to treatment arm and BRAF mutation status. G, proposed strategy for prognostication of colon cancer by MSI and BRAF tests. DFS, disease-free survival; FU/LV, 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin; IFL, irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil, and leucovorin; MSI, microsatellite instability; MSS, microsatellite stable; Mut, mutant; OS, overall survival; RFS, recurrence-free survival; WT, wild-type.

Close modal

In multivariate Cox regression analysis, we examined the prognostic association of BRAF mutation adjusting for other predictors of patient survival (Table 2). Compared with BRAF wild-type cases, BRAF-mutated cases experienced a significantly worse OS (multivariate HR = 1.66; 95% CI: 1.05–2.63), adjusting for other factors including MSI and KRAS mutational status. For RFS and DFS analyses, trends were similar in direction, but not statistically significant.

Table 2.

BRAF c.1799T>A (p.V600E), KRAS and MSI status, and clinical outcome in stage III colon cancer

No.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival prob-abilityUnivariate HR (95% CI)Multivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival prob-abilityUnivariate HR (95% CI)Multivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival prob-abilityUnivariate HR (95% CI)Multivariate HR (95% CI)
BRAF status 
 Wild type 431 0.65 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.64 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.75 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 
 Mutant 75 0.60 1.27 (0.86–1.87) 1.38 (0.88–2.16) 0.55 1.30 (0.90–1.88) 1.48 (0.96–2.27) 0.63 1.61 (1.09–2.37) 1.66 (1.05–2.63) 
KRAS status 
 Wild-type 330 0.66 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.64 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.74 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 
 Codon 12 mutation 123 0.64 1.03 (0.73–1.44) 1.06 (0.74–1.52) 0.61 1.04 (0.75–1.44) 1.09 (0.78–1.54) 0.76 0.89 (0.61–1.30) 0.98 (0.66–1.47) 
 Codon 13 mutation 53 0.67 0.81 (0.49–1.34) 0.81 (0.47–1.37) 0.66 0.82 (0.51–1.33) 0.82 (0.50–1.36) 0.75 0.83 (0.49–1.43) 0.80 (0.46–1.42) 
MSI status 
 MSS 428 0.64 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.62 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.74 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 
 MSI-high 77 0.71 0.70 (0.46–1.08) 0.56 (0.35–0.89) 0.69 0.71 (0.48–1.07) 0.57 (0.37–0.88) 0.74 0.86 (0.56–1.33) 0.61 (0.38–0.97) 
No.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival prob-abilityUnivariate HR (95% CI)Multivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival prob-abilityUnivariate HR (95% CI)Multivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival prob-abilityUnivariate HR (95% CI)Multivariate HR (95% CI)
BRAF status 
 Wild type 431 0.65 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.64 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.75 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 
 Mutant 75 0.60 1.27 (0.86–1.87) 1.38 (0.88–2.16) 0.55 1.30 (0.90–1.88) 1.48 (0.96–2.27) 0.63 1.61 (1.09–2.37) 1.66 (1.05–2.63) 
KRAS status 
 Wild-type 330 0.66 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.64 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.74 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 
 Codon 12 mutation 123 0.64 1.03 (0.73–1.44) 1.06 (0.74–1.52) 0.61 1.04 (0.75–1.44) 1.09 (0.78–1.54) 0.76 0.89 (0.61–1.30) 0.98 (0.66–1.47) 
 Codon 13 mutation 53 0.67 0.81 (0.49–1.34) 0.81 (0.47–1.37) 0.66 0.82 (0.51–1.33) 0.82 (0.50–1.36) 0.75 0.83 (0.49–1.43) 0.80 (0.46–1.42) 
MSI status 
 MSS 428 0.64 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.62 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.74 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 
 MSI-high 77 0.71 0.70 (0.46–1.08) 0.56 (0.35–0.89) 0.69 0.71 (0.48–1.07) 0.57 (0.37–0.88) 0.74 0.86 (0.56–1.33) 0.61 (0.38–0.97) 

We also examined the associations of MSI and KRAS mutation with patient outcome. Although MSI-high tumors were independently associated with an improved OS (multivariate HR = 0.61; 95% CI: 0.38–0.97), adjusting for other factors including BRAF and KRAS mutational status, KRAS mutations in either codon 12 or codon 13 were not associated with patient outcome.

Combined BRAF and MSI status and prognosis

We further categorized patients according to both BRAF and MSI status to assess the joint effect on patient outcome (Table 3). Compared with patients whose tumors were both BRAF wild-type and MSS, those with BRAF-mutated and MSS tumors experienced a trend toward an inferior OS (multivariate HR = 1.61; 95% CI: 0.96–2.69). In contrast, compared with BRAF wild-type MSS patients, those with BRAF wild-type MSI-high tumors showed consistent trends toward superior RFS, DFS, and OS. Finally, patients with BRAF-mutated MSI-high cancers experienced no significant difference in outcome when compared with BRAF wild-type MSS patients (multivariate HR = 1.02; 95% CI: 0.54–1.93), suggesting opposing prognostic effects of BRAF mutation and MSI high.

Table 3.

Combined BRAF mutation and MSI status and clinical outcome in stage III colon cancer

BRAF mutation and MSI statusNo.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)
BRAF wild-type MSS 387 0.65 1 (referent) 0.63 1 (referent) 0.75 1 (referent) 
BRAF wild-type MSI-high 43 0.74 0.57 (0.31–1.07) 0.74 0.51 (0.27–0.95) 0.79 0.54 (0.27–1.08) 
BRAF-mutant MSS 41 0.48 1.38 (0.84–2.26) 0.45 1.38 (0.85–2.25) 0.61 1.61 (0.96–2.69) 
BRAF-mutant MSI-high 34 0.74 0.63 (0.32–1.28) 0.67 0.81 (0.44–1.51) 0.66 1.02 (0.54–1.93) 
BRAF mutation and MSI statusNo.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)
BRAF wild-type MSS 387 0.65 1 (referent) 0.63 1 (referent) 0.75 1 (referent) 
BRAF wild-type MSI-high 43 0.74 0.57 (0.31–1.07) 0.74 0.51 (0.27–0.95) 0.79 0.54 (0.27–1.08) 
BRAF-mutant MSS 41 0.48 1.38 (0.84–2.26) 0.45 1.38 (0.85–2.25) 0.61 1.61 (0.96–2.69) 
BRAF-mutant MSI-high 34 0.74 0.63 (0.32–1.28) 0.67 0.81 (0.44–1.51) 0.66 1.02 (0.54–1.93) 

Predictive role of BRAF mutation for irinotecan-based therapy

We assessed the prognostic role of BRAF mutation within each treatment arm and the effect of treatment according to BRAF status. Among patients treated with FU/LV, the presence of BRAF mutation was associated with a significantly reduced DFS and OS (multivariate OS HR = 2.43; 95% CI: 1.34–4.40) when compared BRAF wild-type tumors (Table 4). In contrast, among subjects treated with IFL, BRAF mutation was not significantly associated with patient outcome (multivariate OS HR = 1.24; 95% CI: 0.67–2.31; vs. BRAF wild type).

Table 4.

Stage III colon cancer and clinical outcome according to treatment arm and BRAF mutation status

No.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)
FU/LV 
BRAF wild type 234 0.68 1 (referent) 0.65 1 (referent) 0.76 1 (referent) 
BRAF mutant 33 0.54 1.82 (0.99–3.36) 0.51 1.83 (1.03–3.26) 0.54 2.43 (1.34–4.40) 
IFL 
BRAF wild type 197 0.63 1 (referent) 0.63 1 (referent) 0.74 1 (referent) 
BRAF mutant 42 0.64 1.03 (0.57–1.87) 0.59 1.19 (0.68–2.11) 0.71 1.24 (0.67–2.31) 
BRAF wild type 
 FU/LV 234 0.68 1 (referent) 0.65 1 (referent) 0.76 1 (referent) 
 IFL 197 0.63 1.10 (0.79–1.52) 0.63 1.00 (0.73–1.37) 0.74 1.02 (0.71–1.46) 
BRAF mutant 
 FU/LV 33 0.54 1 (referent) 0.51 1 (referent) 0.54 1 (referent) 
 IFL 42 0.64 0.62 (0.29–1.32) 0.59 0.65 (0.32–1.33) 0.71 0.52 (0.25–1.10) 
No.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)
FU/LV 
BRAF wild type 234 0.68 1 (referent) 0.65 1 (referent) 0.76 1 (referent) 
BRAF mutant 33 0.54 1.82 (0.99–3.36) 0.51 1.83 (1.03–3.26) 0.54 2.43 (1.34–4.40) 
IFL 
BRAF wild type 197 0.63 1 (referent) 0.63 1 (referent) 0.74 1 (referent) 
BRAF mutant 42 0.64 1.03 (0.57–1.87) 0.59 1.19 (0.68–2.11) 0.71 1.24 (0.67–2.31) 
BRAF wild type 
 FU/LV 234 0.68 1 (referent) 0.65 1 (referent) 0.76 1 (referent) 
 IFL 197 0.63 1.10 (0.79–1.52) 0.63 1.00 (0.73–1.37) 0.74 1.02 (0.71–1.46) 
BRAF mutant 
 FU/LV 33 0.54 1 (referent) 0.51 1 (referent) 0.54 1 (referent) 
 IFL 42 0.64 0.62 (0.29–1.32) 0.59 0.65 (0.32–1.33) 0.71 0.52 (0.25–1.10) 

NOTE: The multivariate Cox regression model included the same set of covariates which were selected in the final models of the analyses in Table 2.

Among patients with BRAF-mutated tumors, we observed a nonsignificant trend toward improved RFS, DFS, and OS for subjects treated with IFL when compared with FU/LV (Table 4); however, statistical power was limited and results should be interpreted with caution. Among patients with BRAF wild-type cancer, IFL was associated with no benefit when compared with FU/LV alone.

In a Kaplan–Meier analysis by treatment arm and BRAF status (Fig. 1), BRAF-mutated cases treated with FU/LV experienced a significantly worse OS compared with BRAF-mutated cases treated with IFL or to BRAF wild-type cases in either treatment arm (log-rank P = 0.030).

Predictive role of combined BRAF and MSI subtyping for irinotecan-based therapy

We examined the predictive role of combined BRAF and MSI status on adjuvant treatment efficacy (Table 5). Among subjects with either BRAF wild-type MSS tumors or BRAF-mutated MSI-high tumors, IFL was not associated with any improvement in patient outcome. Although statistical power was limited, among patients with either BRAF wild-type MSI-high tumors or BRAF-mutated MSS tumors, IFL seemed to confer a consistent trend toward improved RFS, DFS, and OS when compared with FU/LV-treated subjects. In contrast, there seemed to be no appreciable benefit of IFL (compared with FU/LV) among BRAF-mutated MSI-high or BRAF wild-type MSS patients.

Table 5.

Effect of treatment arm on stage III colon cancer outcome, according to combined BRAF and MSI status

No.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)
BRAF wild-type MSS 
 FU/LV 212 0.68 1 (referent) 0.65 1 (referent) 0.77 1 (referent) 
 IFL 175 0.60 1.21 (0.86–1.70) 0.60 1.09 (0.79–1.51) 0.72 1.11 (0.77–1.61) 
BRAF wild-type MSI-high 
 FU/LV 22 0.59 1 (referent) 0.59 1 (referent) 0.72 1 (referent) 
 IFL 21 0.91 0.24 (0.05–1.10) 0.90 0.24 (0.05–1.10) 0.90 0.30 (0.06–1.43) 
BRAF-mutant MSS 
 FU/LV 16 0.30 1 (referent) 0.30 1 (referent) 0.36 1 (referent) 
 IFL 25 0.59 0.44 (0.18–1.08) 0.55 0.52 (0.22–1.25) 0.76 0.38 (0.15–0.97) 
BRAF-mutant MSI-high 
 FU/LV 17 0.76 1 (referent) 0.70 1 (referent) 0.70 1 (referent) 
 IFL 17 0.71 1.19 (0.31–4.53) 0.65 0.97 (0.31–3.08) 0.65 0.86 (0.27–2.76) 
No.RFSDFSOS
Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)Five-year survival probabilityMultivariate HR (95% CI)
BRAF wild-type MSS 
 FU/LV 212 0.68 1 (referent) 0.65 1 (referent) 0.77 1 (referent) 
 IFL 175 0.60 1.21 (0.86–1.70) 0.60 1.09 (0.79–1.51) 0.72 1.11 (0.77–1.61) 
BRAF wild-type MSI-high 
 FU/LV 22 0.59 1 (referent) 0.59 1 (referent) 0.72 1 (referent) 
 IFL 21 0.91 0.24 (0.05–1.10) 0.90 0.24 (0.05–1.10) 0.90 0.30 (0.06–1.43) 
BRAF-mutant MSS 
 FU/LV 16 0.30 1 (referent) 0.30 1 (referent) 0.36 1 (referent) 
 IFL 25 0.59 0.44 (0.18–1.08) 0.55 0.52 (0.22–1.25) 0.76 0.38 (0.15–0.97) 
BRAF-mutant MSI-high 
 FU/LV 17 0.76 1 (referent) 0.70 1 (referent) 0.70 1 (referent) 
 IFL 17 0.71 1.19 (0.31–4.53) 0.65 0.97 (0.31–3.08) 0.65 0.86 (0.27–2.76) 

NOTE: The multivariate Cox regression model included the same set of covariates which were selected in the final models of the analyses in Table 2.

We also carried out analyses for response to IFL (vs. FU/LV) according to MSI status (Supplementary Table S1, Supplementary Fig. S2) in the current dataset. There might be a possible beneficial effect of IFL in MSI-high patients, similar to the previous analysis in the CALGB 89803 trial (23).

Finally, we examined treatment effects according to status of BRAF mutation and MLH1 and MSH2 by IHC with available IHC data. There were 4 cases with MSH2 loss, and all those 4 cases were BRAF wild-type and likely Lynch syndrome cases. There were 37 cases of MLH1 loss. Among those 37 cases, 17 cases were BRAF wild-type and included Lynch syndrome cases. Among the 4 cases with MSH2 loss, 2 cases received IFL with no RFS, DFS, or OS event (follow-time, 8.1 and 8.5 years). Among the other 2 cases with MSH2 loss in the FU/LV arm, 1 case experienced a RFS/DFS/OS event at 3.5 years, and the other case was censored at 6.7 years. We analyzed the effects of IFL (vs. FU/LV) in the 17 cases with MLH1 loss and wild-type BRAF, and multivariate HR (with 95% CI) for IFL treatment (vs. FU/LV) was 0.11 (0.011–1.08) for RFS; 0.11 (0.011–1.07) for DFS; 0.33 (0.021–5.40) for OS. These data were suggestive of good response of Lynch syndrome cases to IFL (vs. FU/LV), although statistical power was limited.

In this study of patients with stage III colon cancer participating in the randomized trial comparing postoperative IFL to FU/LV, somatic mutations in BRAF were associated with a statistically significant reduction in OS, with a nonsignificant trend toward an inferior RFS and DFS. These results persisted in multivariate analyses that adjusted for other predictors for patient outcome, supporting BRAF mutation as an independent prognostic marker in colon cancer. Furthermore, combined BRAF and MSI subtyping analysis suggests that BRAF-mutated MSS tumor is an unfavorable subtype, whereas BRAF wild-type MSI-high tumor is a favorable subtype, and BRAF-mutated MSI-high and BRAF wild-type MSS tumors are intermediate subtypes (Fig. 1G). The independent, opposing prognostic effects of BRAF mutation and MSI observed in the current study is also consistent with several previous studies (6, 16–20, 22).

Interestingly, the prognostic association of BRAF mutation seemed to be somewhat attenuated among patients treated with IFL, whereas BRAF mutation was associated with a significant increase in mortality among subjects treated with FU/LV. Among patients with BRAF-mutated colon cancer, IFL might be associated with a nonsignificant trend toward improved RFS, DFS, and OS compared with FU/LV, whereas there was no apparent benefit by IFL among BRAF wild-type cases. However, statistical power was quite limited and caution must be taken to interpret the results. Additional studies are needed to examine the predictive role of BRAF mutation in colon cancer.

Although a number of studies (31–34) have assessed potential predictive roles of various genetic or tumor biomarkers for irinotecan therapy [e.g., APTX expression (31), ABCB1 polymorphism (32), EGFR and ERCC1 mRNA expression (33)], none of these markers has yet been proven to be clinically useful. A previous analysis of patients in this clinical trial suggested that MSI-high might predict an improved patient outcome for treatment with IFL relative to FU/LV (23), although this finding was not observed in a concurrent trial conducted in Europe (35). Possibly, mismatch repair deficiency may cause DNA repair gene mutations, inhibit the DNA repair process for double strand breaks induced by irinotecan, and thereby potentiate tumor cell death (23).

Analysis of interactions between host factors (e.g., therapy) and tumor markers is increasingly important in cancer research (36, 37). A few previous studies have examined the influence of BRAF status on the effect of chemotherapy in colon cancer (24, 25). In the largest previous analysis, the QUASAR trial (25) observed no predictive role of BRAF mutation for 5-FU–based chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer. The MRC FOCUS trial (24) observed greater treatment effects with 5-FU plus oxaliplatin (vs. 5-FU alone) in advanced colorectal cancers with BRAF mutations, compared with smaller effects of 5-FU plus oxaliplatin (vs. 5-FU alone) in BRAF wild-type cases. In contrast, there was a greater treatment effects on progression-free survival (PFS) with 5-FU plus irinotecan (vs. 5-FU alone) in advanced colorectal cancer with wild-type BRAF, compared with smaller effects on PFS with 5-FU plus irinotecan (vs. 5-FU alone); however, there was no significant interaction between BRAF mutation and any of the treatment comparisons (24). Additional studies are necessary to assess efficacy of various treatment regimens in stage III or IV colorectal cancers. A number of studies have assessed a predictive role of BRAF status in targeted therapy against EGFR in stage IV colorectal cancer (38–41); BRAF mutation may have a predictive role for anti-EGFR therapy in monotherapy or in chemorefractory patients, but its predictive role for other settings remains to be fully determined.

Evidence suggests increased sensitivity of cells with defective mismatch repair to irinotecan (42, 43), and improved response of Lynch syndrome MSI-high cancers to 5-FU–based chemotherapy (44). On the other hand, mechanisms underlying the apparent improved outcome for patients with BRAF-mutated colon cancers treated with irinotecan remain speculative. BRAF mutation in colon cancer has been associated with high-level global DNA methylation (45) and widespread gene promoter methylation termed the CpG island methylator phenotype high (46–49). A recent laboratory analysis found that increasing levels of DNA methylation substantially increased sensitivity of cancer cells to camptothecin whereas widespread hypomethylation induced resistance to camptothecin (50). Thus, responsiveness of BRAF-mutated cells to irinotecan may reflect increased DNA methylation associated with BRAF mutation. Confirmation of our observations and elucidation of the exact mechanisms underlying potential responsiveness of BRAF-mutated cells to irinotecan await future studies.

There are several advantages in evaluating prognostic and predictive roles of molecular biomarkers in this NCI-sponsored clinical trial of adjuvant chemotherapy. All patients had stage III colon cancer, reducing the impact of heterogeneity by disease stage. Moreover, treatment and follow-up care were all standardized within the clinical trial, and the date and nature of recurrence were prospectively recorded. In addition, detailed information on other prognostic variables was routinely collected at study entry.

We recognize that patients who enroll in randomized trials may differ from the population-at-large. To participate, patients must meet eligibility criteria, be selected as an appropriate candidate, and be motivated to participate. In addition, patients were particularly selected for this study on the basis of availability of colon cancer tissue specimens. Nonetheless, demographic data of the patients in this study did not suggest considerable selection bias. Moreover, because the study included patients from both community and academic centers across North America, our findings should reflect the general population of stage III patients in North America. In addition, although data on BRAF mutational status were available on a subset of patients enrolled in the trial, baseline characteristics and patient survival did not substantially differ for patients with and without available archived tumor tissue in this trial. Finally, because BRAF status was not available on all patients, statistical power was attenuated. As such, confirmation of our findings is clearly needed.

In conclusion, we found that BRAF mutation was associated with an inferior prognosis in stage III colon cancer patients, supporting tumor BRAF mutation as an independent prognostic biomarker in colon cancer. Although BRAF mutation in stage III colon cancer may possibly predict improved response to irinotecan-based chemotherapy, the predictive role of BRAF mutation testing remains uncertain at this time, and additional trial studies are needed.

L.B. Saltz is a consultant to Genomic Health, Genzyme, Asuragen. R.Whittom received honorarium from speakers' bureau, Hoffmann-La Roche; and is a consultant to Eli-Lilly, Amgen, Novartis, Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim. A. Hantel is a member of Foundation Medicine Advisory Board. A.B. Benson received research funding from Pfizer, Imclone, Bristol Myer Squibb, Amgen, Sanofi Aventis; and is a scientific advisor for Pfizer, Imclone, Bristol Myer Squibb, Amgen, Sanofi Aventis. R.M. Goldberg received research funding from Abbot, Amgen, Bayer, Pfizer, Genentech, Myriad, Sanofi-Aventis; and is a consultant to Genentech, Amgen, Genomic Health, Jennerex, Sanofi-Aventis. C.S. Fuchs is a consultant to Sanofi-Aventis, Pfizer, Genentech, Roche, Bristol Myers Squibb, Amgen.

The sponsors did not participate in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript. Its contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the National Cancer Institute.

The authors thank the CALGB Pathology Coordinating Office at the Ohio State University for banking and preparing the materials for the study. The following institutions participated in this study:

Baptist Cancer Institute CCOP, Memphis, TN—Lee S. Schwartzberg, M.D., supported by CA71323.

Christiana Care Health Services, Inc. CCOP, Wilmington, DE—Stephen Grubbs, M.D., supported by CA45418.

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA—Eric P. Winer, M.D., supported by CA32291.

Dartmouth Medical School—Norris Cotton Cancer Center, Lebanon, NH—Marc S. Ernstoff, M.D., supported by CA04326.

Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC—Jeffrey Crawford, M.D., supported by CA47577.

Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC—Minetta C. Liu, M.D., supported by CA77597.

Cancer Centers of the Carolinas, Greenville, SC—Jeffrey K. Giguere, M.D, supported by CA29165.

Hematology-Oncology Associates of Central New York CCOP, Syracuse, NY—Jeffrey Kirshner, M.D., supported by CA45389.

Long Island Jewish Medical Center, Lake Success, NY—Kanti R. Rai, M.D., supported by CA11028.

Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA—Jeffrey W. Clark, M.D., supported by CA12449.

Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY—Clifford A. Hudis, M.D., supported by CA77651.

Missouri Baptist Medical Center, St. Louis, MO—Alan P. Lyss, M.D., supported by CA114558-02.

Mount Sinai Medical Center, Miami, FL—Rogerio C. Lilenbaum, M.D., supported by CA45564.

Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY—Lewis R. Silverman, M.D., supported by CA04457.

Nevada Cancer Research Foundation CCOP, Las Vegas, NV—John A. Ellerton, M.D., supported by CA35421.

North Shore-Long Island Jewish Health System, New Hyde Park, NY—Daniel Budman, MD, supported by CA35279.

Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI—William Sikov, M.D., supported by CA08025.

Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, NY—Ellis Levine, M.D., supported by CA02599.

Southeast Cancer Control Consortium Inc. CCOP, Goldsboro, NC—James N. Atkins, M.D., supported by CA45808.

State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY—Stephen L. Graziano, M.D., supported by CA21060.

The Ohio State University Medical Center, Columbus, OH—Clara D. Bloomfield, M.D., supported by CA77658.

University of California at San Diego, San Diego, CA—Barbara A. Parker, M.D., supported by CA11789.

University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, CA—Alan P. Venook, M.D., supported by CA60138.

University of Chicago, Chicago, IL—Gini Fleming, M.D., supported by CA41287.

University of Illinois MBCCOP, Chicago, IL—Lawrence E. Feldman, M.D., supported by CA74811.

University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA—Daniel A. Vaena, M.D., supported by CA47642.

University of Maryland Greenebaum Cancer Center, Baltimore, MD—Martin Edelman, M.D., supported by CA31983.

University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, MA—William V. Walsh, M.D., supported by CA37135.

University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN—Bruce A Peterson, M.D., supported by CA16450.

University of Missouri/Ellis Fischel Cancer Center, Columbia, MO—Michael C Perry, M.D., supported by CA12046.

University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE—Anne Kessinger, M.D., supported by CA77298.

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC—Thomas C. Shea, M.D., supported by CA47559.

University of Tennessee Memphis, Memphis, TN–Harvey B. Niell, M.D., supported by CA47555.

University of Vermont, Burlington, VT—Hyman B. Muss, M.D., supported by CA77406.

Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC—David D Hurd, M.D., supported by CA03927.

Walter Reed Army Medical Center, Washington, DC—Thomas Reid, M.D., supported by CA26806.

Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO—Nancy Bartlett, M.D., supported by CA77440.

Weill Medical College of Cornell University, New York, NY—John Leonard, M.D., supported by CA07968.

The research for CALGB 89803 was supported, in part, by grants from the National Cancer Institute (CA31946) to the Cancer and Leukemia Group B (currently, Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology; Monica M. Bertagnolli) and to the CALGB Statistical Center (Stephen George, PhD, CA33601), and support from Pharmacia & Upjohn Company, now Pfizer Oncology. S. Ogino, J.A. Meyerhardt, and C.S. Fuchs were supported in part by R01 awards from the National Cancer Institute (R01 CA151993 to S. Ogino; R01 CA149222 to J.A. Meyerhardt; R01 CA118553 to C.S. Fuchs), and K. Ng was supported in part by K07 award from the National Cancer Institute (K07 CA148894). S. Ogino, J.A. Meyerhardt, K. Ng, and C.S. Fuchs were supported in part by the SPORE grant (P50 CA127003 to C.S. Fuchs). The study was also supported by the following grants: CA33601 (D. Hollis); CA77651 (L.B. Saltz); CA35415 (P. Schaefer); CO15 (R. Whittom); CA38926, CA32101, CA46282 (A. Hantel); CA23318 (Al B. Benson III); and CA47559 (R.M. Goldberg).

The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

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