Background:

Male circumcision reduces the risk of human immunodeficiency virus infection in men. We assessed the effect of male circumcision on the incidence and natural history of human papillomavirus (HPV) in a randomized clinical trial in Kisumu, Kenya.

Methods:

Sexually active, 18- to 24-year-old men provided penile exfoliated cells for HPV DNA testing every 6 months for 2 years. HPV DNA was detected via GP5+/6+ PCR in glans/coronal sulcus and in shaft samples. HPV incidence and persistence were assessed by intent-to-treat analyses.

Results:

A total of 2,193 men participated (1,096 randomized to circumcision; 1,097 controls). HPV prevalence was 50% at baseline for both groups and dropped to 23.7% at 24 months in the circumcision group, and 41.0% in control group. Incident infection of any HPV type over 24 months was lower among men in the circumcision group than in the control group [HR = 0.61; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.52–0.72]. Clearance rate of any HPV infection over 24 months was higher in the circumcision group than in the control group (HR = 1.87; 95% CI, 1.49–2.34). Lower HPV point-prevalence, lower HPV incidence, and higher HPV clearance in the circumcision group were observed in glans but not in shaft samples.

Conclusion:

Male circumcision reduced the risk of HPV acquisition and reinfection, and increased HPV clearance in the glans.

Impact:

Providing voluntary, safe, and affordable male circumcision should help reduce HPV infections in men, and consequently, HPV-associated disease in their partners.

Infection with oncogenic types of human papillomavirus (HPV) is the major cause of invasive cervical cancer (1) and an important cause of oral, penile, and anal cancers (2, 3). Men play a crucial role in the etiology of cervical, vaginal, and vulvar cancers, given transmission of penile HPV infection to female sexual partners (4). Although prophylactic HPV vaccines are available for the prevention of high-risk HPV infections (5, 6), current generation HPV vaccines are not widely available in many geographic regions (7) and do not provide protection against all high-risk HPV types (8).

Male circumcision has been shown in randomized controlled trials (RCT) to reduce the risk of HIV acquisition (9–11). A second important potential benefit of male circumcision is protection against incident penile HPV infection (12, 13). Two RCTs, one in South Africa (11) and the other in Uganda (14) have shown a protective effect of male circumcision against HPV infection in HIV-negative men. However, data are needed on the effect of male circumcision on clearance of newly acquired (incident) penile HPV infections and the rate of HPV reinfections among men with previously documented HPV infections. Furthermore, information on the effect of male circumcision on anatomical site-specific infections (glans/coronal sulcus compared with shaft) over time within an RCT setting is limited. The male circumcision RCT in Rakai, Uganda, found that male circumcision reduced the 1-year HPV point prevalence in the glans/coronal sulcus and in the shaft, yet results were limited to a subset of approximately 100 participants at one cross-sectional time point (15). In an RCT setting in Kisumu, Kenya, we have previously found evidence that male circumcision was associated with a reduced hazard of acquiring high-viral load (>250 copies/scrape) HPV-16 and HPV-18 infections in the glans, but HPV viral load results for shaft samples were weaker and less precise (16).

On the basis of the same RCT study population in Kenya, we now present additional in-depth results of the effect of male circumcision on penile HPV incidence, clearance, and reinfection over 2 years of follow-up with penile samples collected separately from the glans/coronal sulcus and the shaft.

Study population, enrollment, and follow-up

Uncircumcised men were screened for eligibility between February 2002 and September 2005 to participate in an RCT of male circumcision (clinical trials registration number: NCT00059371; ref. 9). The main objective of this RCT was to assess the effect of male circumcision on HIV incidence. Enrollment criteria included being uncircumcised, age 18 to 24 years, HIV seronegative, sexually active, having blood hemoglobin ≥90 g/L, and providing signed informed consent. Participants were recruited from sexually transmitted infection (STI) clinics, workplaces, and community organizations and events in Kisumu, Kenya. Participants randomized to the intervention arm underwent male circumcision on the same day as RCT enrollment when the penile samples were collected, or as soon as possible after, mostly within a few days (9). The majority of male circumcisions were completed on the day of randomization (64%), 80% within 1 day, 85% within 2 days, 88% within 3 days, and 95% within 6 weeks of randomization (9). Analyses presented here are based on an ancillary HPV study nested within this male circumcision RCT. HPV testing was performed on participants consenting to collection of penile exfoliated cells, and who had a minimum of one follow-up visit.

Of 2,784 men enrolled in the main RCT (9), 2,299 (83%) men gave consent to provide penile swab samples and had an HPV result at baseline. Of those, 2,193 (95%) had both baseline and follow-up HPV results. Therefore, 2,193 men (uncircumcised at baseline) were included in analyses (1,096 randomized to male circumcision and 1,097 randomized to the control group). At baseline, standardized questionnaires on sociodemographic characteristics and sexual behavior were administered to participants by trained male interviewers. Penile cell, blood, and urine samples were collected for testing of HPV and other STIs at baseline, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Most participants attended their 6-month (91%), 12-month (89%), 18-month (87%), and 24-month (86%) follow-up visits.

The protocol was approved by Institutional Review Boards of the Universities of Illinois at Chicago, Manitoba, Nairobi, and North Carolina; by RTI International; and by the AmsterdamUMC, location VUmc, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Penile cell collection and processing

Penile exfoliated cells for HPV DNA detection were collected by a trained physician or clinical officer from two anatomical sites: (i) glans, coronal sulcus, and inner foreskin tissue (glans specimen); and (ii) shaft and external foreskin tissue (shaft specimen), using prewetted Type 3 Dacron swabs (17, 18). Swabs were placed in 15-mL centrifuge tubes containing 2 mL 0.01 mol/L Tris-HCl, 7.4 pH buffer, and processed on the collection day at the research laboratory by centrifugation at 3,000 × g for 10 minutes. Cell pellets were resuspended in 0.1 mL of Tris-HCl buffer and frozen at −75°C. Samples were shipped in liquid nitrogen to the Department of Pathology, AmsterdamUMC, location VUmc, for HPV testing.

Type-specific HPV DNA and STI testing

DNA was isolated from samples using the NucleoSpin 96 Tissue Kit (Macherey-Nagel) and Michrolab Star robotic system (Hamilton) according to manufacturers' instructions. Presence of human DNA was evaluated by β-globin PCR, followed by agarose gel electrophoresis. Overall, β-globin positivity in glans and/or shaft specimens was 63.1% at baseline, 66.7% at 6 months, 77.1% at 12 months, 68.4% at 18 months, and 80.3% at 24 months. The β-globin positivity in glans was 56.7% at baseline, 57.3% at 6 months, 67.0% at 12 months, 59.8% at 18 months, and 71.9% at 24 months. The β-globin positivity in shaft was 35.2% at baseline, 36.8% at 6 months, 46.5% at 12 months, 37.2% at 18 months, and 51.0% at 24 months. Results were similar when analyses were restricted to β-globin-positive samples; thus, analyses utilized HPV DNA data from all penile exfoliated cell specimens, regardless of β-globin positivity, unless otherwise stated.

HPV DNA positivity was assessed by GP5+/6+ PCR, followed by hybridisation of PCR products using an enzyme immunoassay readout with two HPV oligoprobe cocktails that, together, detect 44 HPV types. Subsequent genotyping was performed by reverse line blot hybridization (18–20). HPV16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, 66, and 68 were considered high-risk types. HPV types detected by enzyme immunoassay, but not by reverse line blot genotyping, were designated as HPVX, indicating a type, subtype, or variant not detectable by probes used in enzyme immunoassay.

At baseline, urine samples were tested for Neisseria gonorrhoeae (GC) and Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) by PCR (Roche Diagnostics) and Trichomonas vaginalis (TV) by culture (BioMed Diagnostics Inc.). If urethral discharge was present, urethral swab specimens were tested for GC and CT by PCR, and GC and TV by culture. If a genital ulcer was present, swabs of the ulcer were tested for Haemophilus ducreyi (HD) by PCR and culture. Serum was tested for herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) antibody (Kalon Biological Ltd.); and for HIV antibody using two rapid tests (Determine, Abbott Diagnostic Division, and Unigold; Trinity Biotech), and confirmed by double ELISA (Adaltis Inc.; Trinity Biotech) at the University of Nairobi as described previously (9). Positive serum Rapid Plasma Reagin (Becton, Dickinson and Company) tests for syphilis were confirmed by Treponema pallidum hemagglutination assay (Randox Laboratories Ltd.).

Statistical methods

At any fixed timepoint, men with multiple HPV type infections were considered to have high-risk HPV if one or more high-risk types were detected, and to have low-risk HPV if only low-risk types were detected. Men with untyped HPV infections (HPV-X) were excluded from analyses involving HPV-risk categorizations, unless they had a high-risk HPV type concurrently detected. Unadjusted prevalence risk ratios (PRR) between the circumcision and control arm were estimated at each study visit, separately by anatomical site, and then overall by combining results from both anatomical sampling sites for the same man. PRRs were calculated for HPV type groupings: any, high-risk, low-risk, single, and multiple infections. HPV analyses utilized data from all penile exfoliated cell specimens regardless of β-globin positivity; sensitivity analyses were conducted restricting analyses to β-globin positive results.

Analyses were conducted to determine the effect of male circumcision on HPV prevalence, incidence, and clearance, where all men were analyzed according to their randomization assignment (intention-to-treat analysis). As-treated analyses were also conducted, which entailed including in the survival models a time-dependent covariate for circumcision status at each follow-up visit to consider those individuals who did not adhere to their randomization assignment (9).

An incident, or acquired, infection was defined as detection of type-specific HPV infection during follow-up that was not present at baseline. Time to incident HPV infection was estimated by assuming that infections were acquired at the midpoint between the last HPV-negative result and first subsequent HPV-positive result. Men were censored at their last visit if they remained negative for that HPV type. Incidence rates for each HPV type or HPV grouping were estimated among participants negative for the given individual HPV type or groupings at baseline. Incidence rate analyses were conducted for the most common HPV types in the glans or shaft and for HPV type groupings, stratified by anatomical site and for the two sites combined. Nonparametric estimates of the cumulative probability of any HPV infection among men who were HPV-negative at baseline were obtained using the Kaplan–Meier method, allowing for interval censored infection times (21). Parametric survival models that allow for interval censored data were used to estimate HRs of the effect of male circumcision on time to newly acquired HPV infections.

HPV clearance was defined as a positive type-specific HPV result followed by at least one HPV-negative result for that specific HPV type. HPV clearance was considered to have occurred at the midpoint between dates of the last HPV-positive result and of the first subsequent HPV-negative result. Clearance analyses were conducted among HPV infections present at baseline. HPV infections were used as units of analysis to account for men with multiple-type infections. Nonparametric estimates of the cumulative probability of clearing an HPV infection were obtained using the Kaplan–Meier method allowing for interval censored clearance times. The effect of circumcision on HPV clearance was estimated using random effect parametric survival models that allowed for interval censored data and multiple infections per man.

Subanalyses were conducted to examine type-specific HPV reinfections rates among men who were positive for a given type at baseline, cleared the HPV infection, and then re-acquired the same HPV type; only first repeat infections were counted. Clearance of newly acquired (incident) penile HPV infections not present at baseline were also compared between the circumcision and control groups.

Of 2,193 participating men, the median age was 20 years [interquartile range (IQR) =19–22] at baseline. Most participants were of Luo ethnicity (98.5%), unmarried (94.1%), had secondary education (65.2%), and were unemployed (64.0%; Table 1). The percentage of men positive at baseline was 26.9% for HSV2, 4.6% for CT, 2.1% for TV, 2.2% for GC, 0.9% for syphilis, and 0% for HD (Table 1). Median age at first sexual intercourse was 16 years (IQR = 14–17) and median number of lifetime female partners was 4 (IQR = 3–7). Most (87.5%) subjects reported sexual intercourse in the last 6 months; of those, 52.7% used condoms inconsistently and 25.5% never. The two arms had similar demographic characteristics and sexual histories at baseline.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics.

Circumcision groupControl groupOverall
Demographic characteristics 
 Age (years)a 20 (19–22; 18–28; 1,096) 20 (19–22; 17–24; 1,097) 20 (19–22; 17–28; 2,193) 
 Ethnic group 
  Luo 1,076 (98.2) 1,085 (98.9) 2,161 (98.5) 
  Other 20 (1.8) 12 (1.1) 32 (1.5) 
 Education level 
  Less than secondary 372 (33.9) 391 (35.6) 763 (34.8) 
  Any secondary or above 724 (66.1) 706 (64.4) 1,430 (65.2) 
 Employment status 
  Employed and receiving a salary 94 (8.6) 98 (8.9) 192 (8.8) 
  Self-employed 303 (27.7) 294 (26.8) 597 (27.2) 
  Unemployed 699 (63.8) 705 (64.3) 1,404 (64.0) 
 Occupation 
  Professional/managerial 16 (1.5) 25 (2.3) 41 (1.9) 
  Skilled worker 108 (9.8) 87 (7.9) 195 (8.9) 
  Semi-skilled worker 73 (6.7) 74 (6.7) 147 (6.7) 
  Unskilled worker 565 (51.6) 606 (55.2) 1,171 (53.4) 
  Farm laborer/fisherman 80 (7.3) 70 (6.4) 150 (6.8) 
  Student 254 (23.2) 235 (21.4) 489 (22.3) 
 Marital status 
  Not married (no live-in partner) 1024 (93.8) 1,018 (93.2) 2,042 (93.5) 
  Not married (with live-in partner) 7 (0.6) 7 (0.6) 14 (0.6) 
  Married (not living with wife) 5 (0.5) 15 (1.4) 20 (0.9) 
  Married (living with wife) 56 (5.1) 52 (4.8) 108 (5.0) 
Physical and laboratory findings 
 Haemoglobin (g/L) 15.3 (14.2–16.3; 9.0–21.1; 1,086) 15.3 (14.2–16.3; 8.3–20.1; 1,085) 15.3 (14.2–16.3; 8.3–21.1; 2,171) 
 Herpes simplex virus 2 
  Positive 287 (27.3) 278 (26.5) 565 (26.9) 
  Negative 764 (72.7) 771 (73.5) 1,535 (73.1) 
 Syphilis 
  Positive 12 (1.1) 6 (0.6) 18 (0.9) 
  Negative 1,043 (98.9) 1,049 (99.4) 2,092 (99.2) 
Trichomonas vaginalis 
  Positive 21 (1.9) 24 (2.2) 45 (2.1) 
  Negative 1,064 (98.1) 1,059 (97.8) 2123 (97.9) 
Neisseria gonorrhoeae 
  Positive 30 (2.8) 17 (1.6) 47 (2.2) 
  Negative 1,053 (97.2) 1,066 (98.4) 2,119 (97.8) 
Chlamydia trachomatis 
  Positive 57 (5.3) 42 (3.9) 99 (4.6) 
  Negative 1,025 (94.7) 1,041 (96.1) 2,066 (95.4) 
Haemophilus ducreyi 
  Positive 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 
  Negative 17 (100.0) 8 (100.0) 25 (100.0) 
Sexual history with women 
Age at first sexual encounter (years) 16 (14–17; 5–22; 1,056) 16 (14–17; 6–24; 1,061) 16 (14–17; 5–24; 2,117) 
 Sexual intercourse with any partner in previous 6 months 
  Yes 956 (87.5) 957 (87.6) 1,913 (87.5) 
  No 137 (12.5) 136 (12.4) 273 (12.5) 
 Number of partners in previous 6 months 
  0 137 (12.5) 136 (12.4) 273 (12.5) 
  1 472 (43.2) 482 (44.1) 954 (43.6) 
  2+ 484 (44.3) 475 (43.5) 959 (43.9) 
 Number of partners over lifetime 4 (3–7; 1–120; 1,004) 4 (3–7; 1–86; 1,016) 4 (3–7; 1–120; 2,020) 
 Gave gifts or money to a woman for sexual intercourse in previous 6 months 
  Yes 152 (15.8) 180 (18.7) 332 (17.2) 
  No 809 (84.2) 784 (81.3) 1,593 (82.8) 
 Drank alcohol at last time of having sexual intercourse 
  Yes 117 (10.7) 124 (11.3) 241 (11.0) 
  No 978 (89.3) 969 (88.7) 1,947 (89.0) 
 Used a condom at last time of having vaginal sexual intercourse 
  Yes 555 (50.7) 525 (48.0) 1,080 (49.4) 
  No 540 (49.3) 568 (52.0) 1,108 (50.6) 
 Used a condom with sexual intercourse in previous 6 months 
  Always 210 (21.9) 208 (21.7) 418 (21.8) 
  Inconsistent 511 (53.3) 500 (52.1) 1,011 (52.7) 
  Never 238 (24.8) 251 (26.2) 489 (25.5) 
 Bathing frequency 
  Less than daily 23 (2.1) 22 (2.0) 45 (2.1) 
  Daily 1,063 (97.9) 1,062 (98.0) 2,125 (97.9) 
Circumcision groupControl groupOverall
Demographic characteristics 
 Age (years)a 20 (19–22; 18–28; 1,096) 20 (19–22; 17–24; 1,097) 20 (19–22; 17–28; 2,193) 
 Ethnic group 
  Luo 1,076 (98.2) 1,085 (98.9) 2,161 (98.5) 
  Other 20 (1.8) 12 (1.1) 32 (1.5) 
 Education level 
  Less than secondary 372 (33.9) 391 (35.6) 763 (34.8) 
  Any secondary or above 724 (66.1) 706 (64.4) 1,430 (65.2) 
 Employment status 
  Employed and receiving a salary 94 (8.6) 98 (8.9) 192 (8.8) 
  Self-employed 303 (27.7) 294 (26.8) 597 (27.2) 
  Unemployed 699 (63.8) 705 (64.3) 1,404 (64.0) 
 Occupation 
  Professional/managerial 16 (1.5) 25 (2.3) 41 (1.9) 
  Skilled worker 108 (9.8) 87 (7.9) 195 (8.9) 
  Semi-skilled worker 73 (6.7) 74 (6.7) 147 (6.7) 
  Unskilled worker 565 (51.6) 606 (55.2) 1,171 (53.4) 
  Farm laborer/fisherman 80 (7.3) 70 (6.4) 150 (6.8) 
  Student 254 (23.2) 235 (21.4) 489 (22.3) 
 Marital status 
  Not married (no live-in partner) 1024 (93.8) 1,018 (93.2) 2,042 (93.5) 
  Not married (with live-in partner) 7 (0.6) 7 (0.6) 14 (0.6) 
  Married (not living with wife) 5 (0.5) 15 (1.4) 20 (0.9) 
  Married (living with wife) 56 (5.1) 52 (4.8) 108 (5.0) 
Physical and laboratory findings 
 Haemoglobin (g/L) 15.3 (14.2–16.3; 9.0–21.1; 1,086) 15.3 (14.2–16.3; 8.3–20.1; 1,085) 15.3 (14.2–16.3; 8.3–21.1; 2,171) 
 Herpes simplex virus 2 
  Positive 287 (27.3) 278 (26.5) 565 (26.9) 
  Negative 764 (72.7) 771 (73.5) 1,535 (73.1) 
 Syphilis 
  Positive 12 (1.1) 6 (0.6) 18 (0.9) 
  Negative 1,043 (98.9) 1,049 (99.4) 2,092 (99.2) 
Trichomonas vaginalis 
  Positive 21 (1.9) 24 (2.2) 45 (2.1) 
  Negative 1,064 (98.1) 1,059 (97.8) 2123 (97.9) 
Neisseria gonorrhoeae 
  Positive 30 (2.8) 17 (1.6) 47 (2.2) 
  Negative 1,053 (97.2) 1,066 (98.4) 2,119 (97.8) 
Chlamydia trachomatis 
  Positive 57 (5.3) 42 (3.9) 99 (4.6) 
  Negative 1,025 (94.7) 1,041 (96.1) 2,066 (95.4) 
Haemophilus ducreyi 
  Positive 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 
  Negative 17 (100.0) 8 (100.0) 25 (100.0) 
Sexual history with women 
Age at first sexual encounter (years) 16 (14–17; 5–22; 1,056) 16 (14–17; 6–24; 1,061) 16 (14–17; 5–24; 2,117) 
 Sexual intercourse with any partner in previous 6 months 
  Yes 956 (87.5) 957 (87.6) 1,913 (87.5) 
  No 137 (12.5) 136 (12.4) 273 (12.5) 
 Number of partners in previous 6 months 
  0 137 (12.5) 136 (12.4) 273 (12.5) 
  1 472 (43.2) 482 (44.1) 954 (43.6) 
  2+ 484 (44.3) 475 (43.5) 959 (43.9) 
 Number of partners over lifetime 4 (3–7; 1–120; 1,004) 4 (3–7; 1–86; 1,016) 4 (3–7; 1–120; 2,020) 
 Gave gifts or money to a woman for sexual intercourse in previous 6 months 
  Yes 152 (15.8) 180 (18.7) 332 (17.2) 
  No 809 (84.2) 784 (81.3) 1,593 (82.8) 
 Drank alcohol at last time of having sexual intercourse 
  Yes 117 (10.7) 124 (11.3) 241 (11.0) 
  No 978 (89.3) 969 (88.7) 1,947 (89.0) 
 Used a condom at last time of having vaginal sexual intercourse 
  Yes 555 (50.7) 525 (48.0) 1,080 (49.4) 
  No 540 (49.3) 568 (52.0) 1,108 (50.6) 
 Used a condom with sexual intercourse in previous 6 months 
  Always 210 (21.9) 208 (21.7) 418 (21.8) 
  Inconsistent 511 (53.3) 500 (52.1) 1,011 (52.7) 
  Never 238 (24.8) 251 (26.2) 489 (25.5) 
 Bathing frequency 
  Less than daily 23 (2.1) 22 (2.0) 45 (2.1) 
  Daily 1,063 (97.9) 1,062 (98.0) 2,125 (97.9) 

Note: Sample sizes vary slightly from the number of randomized participants due to different data sources.

aData are median (IQR; range; n) for ordinal data, or n (%) for categorical data.

Prevalence of HPV infection

Baseline HPV prevalence was similar in men randomized to male circumcision (50.4%) and to control (49.7%; PRR = 1.01; 95% CI = 0.93–1.10 overall; 0.99 (0.89, 1.10) in β-globin positive samples; Table 2]. At 6 months, HPV prevalence in the circumcision group dropped to 29.8% versus 45.3% in the control group (PRR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.58–0.74). At 12 months, HPV prevalence was 26.6% and 48.4% in the circumcision and the control group, respectively [PRR = 0.55; 95% CI, 0.49–0.62 overall; 0.58 (0.51, 0.68) in β-globin positive samples]. At 24 months, HPV prevalence was 23.7% and 41.0% in the circumcision and the control group, respectively [PRR = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.50–0.66 overall; 0.57 [0.49, 0.670 in β-globin positive samples]. PRRs were similar for high-risk, low-risk, and multiple HPV infections, dropping from values near 1.0 at baseline to 0.61, 0.76, and 0.55, respectively, at 6 months and 0.55, 0.59, and 0.42, respectively, at 24 months.

Table 2.

Prevalence of HPV infection in the glans or the shaft over 24 months among 2,193 men participating in a randomized, controlled trial of male circumcision, stratified by treatment arm.

Circumcision group (N = 1,096)Control group (N = 1,097)
n (%)n (%)PRR (95% CI)
Baseline visitb 
 HPV DNA positive 552 (50.4) 545 (49.7) 1.01 (0.93–1.10)c 
 High-risk HPV positivea 371 (35.7) 385 (36.6) 0.98 (0.87–1.09) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 125 (12.0) 115 (11.0) 1.10 (0.87–1.40) 
 Single HPV infections 230 (21.0) 231 (21.1) 1.00 (0.85–1.17) 
 Multiple HPV infections 322 (29.4) 314 (28.6) 1.03 (0.90–1.17) 
6-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 287 (29.8) 440 (45.3) 0.66 (0.58–0.74) 
 High-risk HPV positive 174 (18.3) 290 (30.2) 0.61 (0.51–0.71) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 105 (11.0) 139 (14.5) 0.76 (0.60–0.97) 
 Single HPV infections 162 (16.8) 210 (21.6) 0.78 (0.65–0.94) 
 Multiple HPV infections 125 (13.0) 230 (23.7) 0.55 (0.45–0.67) 
12-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 262 (26.6) 479 (48.4) 0.55 (0.49–0.62)d 
 High-risk HPV positive 151 (15.7) 314 (32.7) 0.48 (0.40–0.57) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 89 (9.2) 136 (14.2) 0.65 (0.51–0.84) 
 Single HPV infections 173 (17.5) 226 (22.9) 0.77 (0.64–0.92) 
 Multiple HPV infections 89 (9.0) 253 (25.6) 0.35 (0.28–0.44) 
18-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 270 (28.4) 474 (49.1) 0.58 (0.51–0.65) 
 High-risk HPV positive 184 (19.8) 308 (32.3) 0.61 (0.52–0.72) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 65 (7.0) 155 (16.3) 0.43 (0.33–0.57) 
 Single HPV infections 170 (17.9) 222 (23.0) 0.78 (0.65–0.93) 
 Multiple HPV infections 100 (10.5) 252 (26.1) 0.40 (0.33–0.50) 
24-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 225 (23.7) 378 (41.0) 0.58 (0.50–0.66)e 
 High-risk HPV positive 139 (14.8) 244 (26.8) 0.55 (0.46–0.67) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 75 (8.0) 124 (13.6) 0.59 (0.45–0.77) 
 Single HPV infections 136 (14.3) 173 (18.8) 0.76 (0.62–0.94) 
 Multiple HPV infections 89 (9.4) 205 (22.2) 0.42 (0.33–0.53) 
Circumcision group (N = 1,096)Control group (N = 1,097)
n (%)n (%)PRR (95% CI)
Baseline visitb 
 HPV DNA positive 552 (50.4) 545 (49.7) 1.01 (0.93–1.10)c 
 High-risk HPV positivea 371 (35.7) 385 (36.6) 0.98 (0.87–1.09) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 125 (12.0) 115 (11.0) 1.10 (0.87–1.40) 
 Single HPV infections 230 (21.0) 231 (21.1) 1.00 (0.85–1.17) 
 Multiple HPV infections 322 (29.4) 314 (28.6) 1.03 (0.90–1.17) 
6-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 287 (29.8) 440 (45.3) 0.66 (0.58–0.74) 
 High-risk HPV positive 174 (18.3) 290 (30.2) 0.61 (0.51–0.71) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 105 (11.0) 139 (14.5) 0.76 (0.60–0.97) 
 Single HPV infections 162 (16.8) 210 (21.6) 0.78 (0.65–0.94) 
 Multiple HPV infections 125 (13.0) 230 (23.7) 0.55 (0.45–0.67) 
12-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 262 (26.6) 479 (48.4) 0.55 (0.49–0.62)d 
 High-risk HPV positive 151 (15.7) 314 (32.7) 0.48 (0.40–0.57) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 89 (9.2) 136 (14.2) 0.65 (0.51–0.84) 
 Single HPV infections 173 (17.5) 226 (22.9) 0.77 (0.64–0.92) 
 Multiple HPV infections 89 (9.0) 253 (25.6) 0.35 (0.28–0.44) 
18-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 270 (28.4) 474 (49.1) 0.58 (0.51–0.65) 
 High-risk HPV positive 184 (19.8) 308 (32.3) 0.61 (0.52–0.72) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 65 (7.0) 155 (16.3) 0.43 (0.33–0.57) 
 Single HPV infections 170 (17.9) 222 (23.0) 0.78 (0.65–0.93) 
 Multiple HPV infections 100 (10.5) 252 (26.1) 0.40 (0.33–0.50) 
24-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 225 (23.7) 378 (41.0) 0.58 (0.50–0.66)e 
 High-risk HPV positive 139 (14.8) 244 (26.8) 0.55 (0.46–0.67) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 75 (8.0) 124 (13.6) 0.59 (0.45–0.77) 
 Single HPV infections 136 (14.3) 173 (18.8) 0.76 (0.62–0.94) 
 Multiple HPV infections 89 (9.4) 205 (22.2) 0.42 (0.33–0.53) 

Note: n, number; %, percentage; PRR, prevalence risk ratio (circumcision vs. control arm); HR, high-risk; LR, low-risk.

Missing follow-up HPV result in circumcision arm: 6-month (n = 132); 12-month (n = 109); 18-month (n = 145); 24-month (n = 145).

Missing follow-up HPV result in uncircumcision arm: 6-month (n = 125); 12-month (n = 107); 18-month (n = 132); 24-month (n = 175).

aInfections with multiple HPV types were considered high-risk if one or more high-risk HPV types were detected. All other multiple infections were considered low-risk types unless they included HPVX.

bAll men were uncircumcised at the baseline visit.

c0.99 (0.89–1.10) in analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples.

d0.58 (0.51–0.68) in analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples.

e0.57 (0.49–0.67) in analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples.

Incidence of HPV infection

The incidence of infections of any HPV type in the glans or shaft specimens over 24 months was lower in the circumcision (50.3 per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 44.3–56.9) than the control group [75.5 per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 67.8–84.0; HR = 0.61; 95% CI, 0.52–0.72 overall; 0.56 (0.45, 0.70) in analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples] among those who were negative for a specific HPV type at baseline (Table 3). In this same group, rates of incident infections for high-risk HPV, low-risk HPV, HPV16/18, HPV16/18/6/11, single and multiple HPV types over 24 months were lower in the circumcision than the control group (HR = 0.46–0.77). This trend was consistent when restricted to individual HPV types, albeit to different degrees (HR = 0.37–0.70). Similarly, re-infection rates following baseline positivity and subsequent negativity of any HPV, high-risk HPV, single and multiple HPV types were lower in the circumcision group compared with the control group (HR = 0.46–0.69), a trend that was reflected, to various degrees, by individual HPV types (HR = 0.10–1.14). The HRs of reinfections of any type HPV were similar for analyses among all samples (HR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54–0.81) and those restricted to β-globin positive samples (HR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50–0.86; Table 3).

Table 3.

Incidence and reinfection of HPV infections in the glans or the shaft over 24 months: HRs and 95% CIs for the effect of male circumcision.

Incident infections in men negative for specific HPV type at baselineReinfections in men positive for specific HPV type at baselinea
Circumcision Arm (N = 1,096)Control Arm (N = 1,097)Circumcision Arm (N = 1,096)Control Arm (N = 1,097)
Incident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbIncident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbHR (95% CI)Incident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbIncident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbHR (95% CI)
Any HPV 252/544 501.2 344/552 455.4 0.61 (0.52–0.72)c 212/504 247.8 195/397 149.1 0.66 (0.54–0.81)d 
High-risk HPV 223/669 634.8 330/666 600.3 0.58 (0.49–0.69) 105/356 192.3 137/340 140.1 0.57 (0.44–0.74) 
Low-risk HPV 199/915 850.5 313/936 875.4 0.61 (0.51–0.73) 22/123 70.2 30/108 54.9 0.58 (0.33–1.02) 
HPV16/18 137/949 918.7 241/961 900.8 0.53 (0.43–0.66) 21/146 91.7 26/130 73.1 0.69 (0.38–1.23) 
HPV 16/18/6/11 186/892 850.4 294/919 853.6 0.60 (0.50–0.72) 38/201 124.7 44/166 91.4 0.66 (0.43–1.03) 
Single 365/866 794.8 437/866 766.4 0.77 (0.67–0.89) 72/225 124.1 98/224 120.4 0.67 (0.50–0.91) 
Multiple 159/774 740.6 308/738 718.3 0.46 (0.38–0.55) 70/315 184.4 99/279 122.8 0.46 (0.34–0.63) 
High-risk 
 HPV16 109/983 954.4 185/994 941.1 0.57 (0.45–0.72) 12/112 69.7 17/98 55.1 0.62 (0.29–1.33) 
 HPV56 69/1,037 1,001.3 122/1,027 982.2 0.54 (0.40–0.72) 8/57 35.6 12/67 35.3 0.76 (0.30–1.91) 
 HPV52 33/1,056 1,017.1 64/1,040 998.3 0.51 (0.33–0.77) 1/40 25.6 6/56 35.5 0.23 (0.03–1.94) 
 HPV66 52/1,040 1,008.7 91/1,047 1,000.0 0.56 (0.40–0.78) 3/54 30.4 7/50 30.3 0.40 (0.10–1.57) 
 HPV35 46/1,038 1,002.7 109/1,062 1,008.3 0.41 (0.29–0.58) 3/58 32.7 4/35 22.4 0.48 (0.10–2.18) 
 HPV31 31/1,053 1,024.3 57/1,057 1,012.6 0.53 (0.34–0.82) 1/43 26.8 1/39 20.7 — 
 HPV18 56/1,049 1,016.5 94/1,060 1,017.4 0.58 (0.42–0.81) 2/47 30.7 4/37 22.0 0.33 (0.06–1.87) 
Low-risk 
 HPV67 54/1,048 1,020.7 99/1,034 990.8 0.53 (0.38–0.74) 1/48 31.0 11/60 30.7 0.10 (0.01–0.78) 
 HPV42 39/1,045 1,013.4 102/1,044 993.7 0.37 (0.26–0.53) 4/51 29.7 4/51 28.2 0.95 (0.23–3.85) 
 HPVJC9710 47/1,047 1,001.9 119/1,050 1,003.3 0.38 (0.27–0.54) 7/49 29.7 5/43 24.2 1.14 (0.36–3.64) 
 HPV6 57/1,048 1,011.3 98/1,059 1,012.9 0.57 (0.41–0.79) 4/48 29.8 5/36 22.0 0.59 (0.16–2.24) 
 HPV40 41/1,047 1,019.4 76/1,055 1,013.1 0.53 (0.37–0.78) 6/49 31.1 8/42 18.9 0.57 (0.19–1.74) 
 HPV43 43/1,048 1,010.1 74/1,054 1,002.6 0.57 (0.39–0.83) 5/48 26.1 6/42 19.0 0.65 (0.19–2.16) 
 HPV11 36/1,074 1,036.2 51/1,076 1,028.1 0.70 (0.45–1.07) 0/22 14.9 2/21 13.4 — 
Incident infections in men negative for specific HPV type at baselineReinfections in men positive for specific HPV type at baselinea
Circumcision Arm (N = 1,096)Control Arm (N = 1,097)Circumcision Arm (N = 1,096)Control Arm (N = 1,097)
Incident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbIncident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbHR (95% CI)Incident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbIncident infections, n/NPerson-YearsbHR (95% CI)
Any HPV 252/544 501.2 344/552 455.4 0.61 (0.52–0.72)c 212/504 247.8 195/397 149.1 0.66 (0.54–0.81)d 
High-risk HPV 223/669 634.8 330/666 600.3 0.58 (0.49–0.69) 105/356 192.3 137/340 140.1 0.57 (0.44–0.74) 
Low-risk HPV 199/915 850.5 313/936 875.4 0.61 (0.51–0.73) 22/123 70.2 30/108 54.9 0.58 (0.33–1.02) 
HPV16/18 137/949 918.7 241/961 900.8 0.53 (0.43–0.66) 21/146 91.7 26/130 73.1 0.69 (0.38–1.23) 
HPV 16/18/6/11 186/892 850.4 294/919 853.6 0.60 (0.50–0.72) 38/201 124.7 44/166 91.4 0.66 (0.43–1.03) 
Single 365/866 794.8 437/866 766.4 0.77 (0.67–0.89) 72/225 124.1 98/224 120.4 0.67 (0.50–0.91) 
Multiple 159/774 740.6 308/738 718.3 0.46 (0.38–0.55) 70/315 184.4 99/279 122.8 0.46 (0.34–0.63) 
High-risk 
 HPV16 109/983 954.4 185/994 941.1 0.57 (0.45–0.72) 12/112 69.7 17/98 55.1 0.62 (0.29–1.33) 
 HPV56 69/1,037 1,001.3 122/1,027 982.2 0.54 (0.40–0.72) 8/57 35.6 12/67 35.3 0.76 (0.30–1.91) 
 HPV52 33/1,056 1,017.1 64/1,040 998.3 0.51 (0.33–0.77) 1/40 25.6 6/56 35.5 0.23 (0.03–1.94) 
 HPV66 52/1,040 1,008.7 91/1,047 1,000.0 0.56 (0.40–0.78) 3/54 30.4 7/50 30.3 0.40 (0.10–1.57) 
 HPV35 46/1,038 1,002.7 109/1,062 1,008.3 0.41 (0.29–0.58) 3/58 32.7 4/35 22.4 0.48 (0.10–2.18) 
 HPV31 31/1,053 1,024.3 57/1,057 1,012.6 0.53 (0.34–0.82) 1/43 26.8 1/39 20.7 — 
 HPV18 56/1,049 1,016.5 94/1,060 1,017.4 0.58 (0.42–0.81) 2/47 30.7 4/37 22.0 0.33 (0.06–1.87) 
Low-risk 
 HPV67 54/1,048 1,020.7 99/1,034 990.8 0.53 (0.38–0.74) 1/48 31.0 11/60 30.7 0.10 (0.01–0.78) 
 HPV42 39/1,045 1,013.4 102/1,044 993.7 0.37 (0.26–0.53) 4/51 29.7 4/51 28.2 0.95 (0.23–3.85) 
 HPVJC9710 47/1,047 1,001.9 119/1,050 1,003.3 0.38 (0.27–0.54) 7/49 29.7 5/43 24.2 1.14 (0.36–3.64) 
 HPV6 57/1,048 1,011.3 98/1,059 1,012.9 0.57 (0.41–0.79) 4/48 29.8 5/36 22.0 0.59 (0.16–2.24) 
 HPV40 41/1,047 1,019.4 76/1,055 1,013.1 0.53 (0.37–0.78) 6/49 31.1 8/42 18.9 0.57 (0.19–1.74) 
 HPV43 43/1,048 1,010.1 74/1,054 1,002.6 0.57 (0.39–0.83) 5/48 26.1 6/42 19.0 0.65 (0.19–2.16) 
 HPV11 36/1,074 1,036.2 51/1,076 1,028.1 0.70 (0.45–1.07) 0/22 14.9 2/21 13.4 — 

Abbreviations: n, number of men with a type-specific incident HPV infection; N, total number of men at risk for an incident infection of the specific HPV type; —, CI width >1,000.

aAnalyses among men positive for the specific HPV type at baseline, then negative for that type during follow up. Only newly acquired (repeat infections) of the specific HPV type were considered incident infections.

bPerson-years were estimated by assuming that the incident HPV infection was acquired at the midpoint between the last HPV-negative result and the first subsequent HPV-positive result.

c0.56 (0.45–0.70) in analyses restricted to beta-globin positive samples.

d0.66 (0.50–0.86) in analyses restricted to beta-globin positive samples.

Among men who were HPV negative at baseline, those in the circumcision group were less likely to have an incident HPV infection detected at follow-up compared with the control group (24-month cumulative incidence, 47.5%; 95% CI, 43.1%–51.9% vs. 62.5%; 95% CI, 58.4%–66.6%; P < 0.001; Fig. 1A).

Figure 1.

Kaplan–Meier curve of the cumulative incidence (A) and cumulative clearance (B) of penile HPV infections in the glans or shaft specimen, stratified by randomization arm in intention-to-treat analyses.

Figure 1.

Kaplan–Meier curve of the cumulative incidence (A) and cumulative clearance (B) of penile HPV infections in the glans or shaft specimen, stratified by randomization arm in intention-to-treat analyses.

Close modal

Clearance of HPV infection

The clearance rate of any HPV infection present at baseline over 24 months was higher in the circumcision group (272 per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 257–289) than in the control group (212 per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 200–225; HR = 1.87; 95% CI, 1.49–2.34 overall; HR = 1.98; 95% CI, 1.48–2.66 in β-globin positive samples; Table 4). In men with prevalent HPV infection at baseline, clearance rates of low-risk HPV, high-risk HPV, HPV16/18, HPV16/18/6/11, and multiple HPV types were all higher in the circumcision than the control group (HR = 1.50–1.89). This trend was reflected by common individual HPV types (except HPV35 and 6), albeit to different degrees (HR = 1.23–1.89).

Table 4.

Clearance of HPV infections in the glans or the shaft over 24 months: HRs and 95% CIs for the effect of male circumcision.

Prevalent Infection present at baselineIncident Infection not present at baseline
Circumcision arm (N = 1,096 men)Control arm (N = 1,097 men)Circumcision arm (N = 1,096 men)Control arm (N = 1,097 men)
Cleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaCleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaHR (95% CI)Cleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaCleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaHR (95% CI)
Any HPV 1,149/1,160 421.8 1,132/1,171 533.6 1.87 (1.49–2.34)b 814/1194 306.5 1,508/2,333 703.6 1.68 (1.39–2.02)c 
High-risk HPV 598/606 222.9 613/633 280.5 1.76 (1.29–2.39) 431/627 156.8 735/1,143 321.5 1.62 (1.25–2.10) 
Low-risk HPV 551/554 198.9 521/540 253.1 1.56 (1.21–2.00) 383/567 149.7 773/1,190 382.1 1.75 (1.33–2.31) 
HPV16/18 159/160 55.8 133/140 67.0 1.79 (1.29–2.50) 109/165 41.6 181/278 78.1 — 
HPV 16/18/6/11 229/230 83.3 189/198 88.8 1.53 (1.17–1.99) 170/258 65.1 276/427 124.5 1.48 (0.99–2.21) 
Single 179/180 69.4 184/193 90.4 1.50 (1.14–1.98) 423/606 161.2 763/1,133 338.2 1.50 (1.17–1.92) 
Multiple 970/980 352.3 950/980 443.2 1.89 (1.46–2.47) 364/554 148.8 788/1,277 384.7 1.48 (1.13–1.93) 
High-risk 
 HPV16 112/113 39.9 96/103 48.7 1.35 (0.87–2.08)d 73/109 28.2 118/184 51.3 1.31 (0.88–1.95) 
 HPV56 57/59 25.0 66/70 36.5 1.23 (0.77–1.94) 50/69 17.7 76/122 40.5 1.48 (0.90–2.42) 
 HPV52 40/40 14.4 56/57 23.5 1.23 (0.66–2.31) 23/32 8.2 36/64 11.2 — 
 HPV66 54/56 21.4 50/50 19.6 1.29 (0.67–2.49) 31/52 15.8 58/91 28.6 1.11 (0.64–1.94) 
 HPV35 58/58 24.3 35/35 12.9 0.94 (0.48–1.82) 30/46 12.2 68/108 37.8 2.22 (1.23–4.00) 
 HPV31 43/43 14.1 39/40 18.2 — 19/31 6.0 31/57 15.6 1.66 (0.71–3.86) 
 HPV18 47/47 15.9 37/37 18.3 1.89 (1.02–3.51) 36/56 13.4 63/94 26.7 1.40 (0.83–2.37) 
Low-risk 
 HPV67 48/48 15.2 60/63 34.5 1.76 (0.99–3.13) 29/54 10.2 55/99 38.9 1.95 (1.07–3.54) 
 HPV42 51/51 18.5 51/53 25.2 1.25 (0.71–2.20) 27/38 10.2 63/102 39.8 1.84 (1.01–3.36) 
 HPVJC9710 49/49 16.8 43/47 20.6 1.28 (0.67–2.46) 39/47 12.3 72/119 38.6 1.44 (0.87–2.39) 
 HPV6 48/48 20.3 36/38 14.5 0.65 (0.32–1.29) 40/57 14.3 59/98 31.9 0.95 (0.59–1.54) 
 HPV40 49/49 15.2 41/42 22.2 — 25/41 9.7 47/76 25.8 1.27 (0.71–2.26) 
 HPV43 48/48 21.5 42/43 26.1 1.25 (0.76–2.06) 33/43 11.9 47/74 26.4 1.35 (0.74–2.43) 
 HPV11 22/22 7.2 21/21 7.3 — 21/36 9.3 36/51 14.5 1.64 (0.76–3.54) 
Prevalent Infection present at baselineIncident Infection not present at baseline
Circumcision arm (N = 1,096 men)Control arm (N = 1,097 men)Circumcision arm (N = 1,096 men)Control arm (N = 1,097 men)
Cleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaCleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaHR (95% CI)Cleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaCleared infections, n/NPerson-YearsaHR (95% CI)
Any HPV 1,149/1,160 421.8 1,132/1,171 533.6 1.87 (1.49–2.34)b 814/1194 306.5 1,508/2,333 703.6 1.68 (1.39–2.02)c 
High-risk HPV 598/606 222.9 613/633 280.5 1.76 (1.29–2.39) 431/627 156.8 735/1,143 321.5 1.62 (1.25–2.10) 
Low-risk HPV 551/554 198.9 521/540 253.1 1.56 (1.21–2.00) 383/567 149.7 773/1,190 382.1 1.75 (1.33–2.31) 
HPV16/18 159/160 55.8 133/140 67.0 1.79 (1.29–2.50) 109/165 41.6 181/278 78.1 — 
HPV 16/18/6/11 229/230 83.3 189/198 88.8 1.53 (1.17–1.99) 170/258 65.1 276/427 124.5 1.48 (0.99–2.21) 
Single 179/180 69.4 184/193 90.4 1.50 (1.14–1.98) 423/606 161.2 763/1,133 338.2 1.50 (1.17–1.92) 
Multiple 970/980 352.3 950/980 443.2 1.89 (1.46–2.47) 364/554 148.8 788/1,277 384.7 1.48 (1.13–1.93) 
High-risk 
 HPV16 112/113 39.9 96/103 48.7 1.35 (0.87–2.08)d 73/109 28.2 118/184 51.3 1.31 (0.88–1.95) 
 HPV56 57/59 25.0 66/70 36.5 1.23 (0.77–1.94) 50/69 17.7 76/122 40.5 1.48 (0.90–2.42) 
 HPV52 40/40 14.4 56/57 23.5 1.23 (0.66–2.31) 23/32 8.2 36/64 11.2 — 
 HPV66 54/56 21.4 50/50 19.6 1.29 (0.67–2.49) 31/52 15.8 58/91 28.6 1.11 (0.64–1.94) 
 HPV35 58/58 24.3 35/35 12.9 0.94 (0.48–1.82) 30/46 12.2 68/108 37.8 2.22 (1.23–4.00) 
 HPV31 43/43 14.1 39/40 18.2 — 19/31 6.0 31/57 15.6 1.66 (0.71–3.86) 
 HPV18 47/47 15.9 37/37 18.3 1.89 (1.02–3.51) 36/56 13.4 63/94 26.7 1.40 (0.83–2.37) 
Low-risk 
 HPV67 48/48 15.2 60/63 34.5 1.76 (0.99–3.13) 29/54 10.2 55/99 38.9 1.95 (1.07–3.54) 
 HPV42 51/51 18.5 51/53 25.2 1.25 (0.71–2.20) 27/38 10.2 63/102 39.8 1.84 (1.01–3.36) 
 HPVJC9710 49/49 16.8 43/47 20.6 1.28 (0.67–2.46) 39/47 12.3 72/119 38.6 1.44 (0.87–2.39) 
 HPV6 48/48 20.3 36/38 14.5 0.65 (0.32–1.29) 40/57 14.3 59/98 31.9 0.95 (0.59–1.54) 
 HPV40 49/49 15.2 41/42 22.2 — 25/41 9.7 47/76 25.8 1.27 (0.71–2.26) 
 HPV43 48/48 21.5 42/43 26.1 1.25 (0.76–2.06) 33/43 11.9 47/74 26.4 1.35 (0.74–2.43) 
 HPV11 22/22 7.2 21/21 7.3 — 21/36 9.3 36/51 14.5 1.64 (0.76–3.54) 

Note. Clearance was defined as an HPV-positive result followed by an HPV-negative result for that type; n, number of cleared HPV infections; N, total number of HPV infections; —, CI width >1,000.

aPerson-years were estimated by assuming that an HPV infection was cleared at the midpoint between the last HPV-positive result and the first subsequent HPV-negative result.

b1.98 (1.48–2.66) in analyses restricted to beta-globin positive samples.

c1.63 (1.26–2.10) in analyses restricted to beta-globin positive samples.

d1.18 (0.69–2.01) in analyses restricted to beta-globin positive samples.

Similarly, in men without the specific HPV type infection at baseline, clearance rates of any HPV, high-risk HPV, low-risk HPV, and multiple incident HPV infection acquired after baseline were higher in the circumcision than the control group (HR = 1.48–1.75). This trend was reflected by common individual HPV types (except HPV6), albeit to different degrees (HR = 1.11–2.22). The HR of clearance of incident infections not present at baseline among all samples (HR = 1.68; 95% CI, 1.39–2.02) was similar to analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples (HR = 1.63; 95% CI, 1.26–2.10; Table 4).

Among HPV infections present at baseline, the estimated time to clearance was less among men in the circumcision arm (79.7% estimated probability of clearing infection by 6 months) compared with men in the control arm (51.5% estimated probability of clearing infection by 6 months; Fig. 1B).

HPV infection by anatomical site

HPV prevalence was consistently higher in the glans than shaft for all HPV groupings (e.g., overall HPV prevalence at baseline in controls: 46% in glans; 17% in shaft; Table 5). In the glans, HPV prevalence was lower in the circumcision than in the control arm at all post-baseline visits and for all HPV-type groupings post-baseline (PRRs, 0.31–0.72), whereas in the shaft, no differences were observed in HPV prevalence between the circumcision and the control arm.

Table 5.

Prevalence of HPV infection over 24 months among 2,193 men participating in a randomized, controlled trial of male circumcision, stratified by treatment arm and anatomical site.

GlansShaft
Circumcision Arma (N = 1,096)Control Armb (N = 1,097)PRR (95% CI)Circumcision Arma (N = 1,096)Control Armb (N = 1,097)PRR (95% CI)
n (%)n (%)n (%)n (%)
Baseline visitc 
 HPV DNA positive 495 (45.16) 502 (45.76) 0.99 (0.90–1.08)d 209 (19.07) 189 (17.23) 1.11 (0.93–1.32)e 
 High-risk HPV positive 316 (30.21) 351 (33.02) 0.92 (0.81–1.04) 129 (12.02) 125 (11.65) 1.03 (0.82–1.30) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 129 (12.33) 117 (11.01) 1.12 (0.89–1.42) 57 (5.31) 40 (3.73) 1.43 (0.96–2.12) 
 Single HPV infections 229 (20.89) 222 (20.24) 1.03 (0.88–1.22) 128 (11.68) 118 (10.76) 1.09 (0.86–1.37) 
 Multiple HPV infections 266 (24.27) 280 (25.52) 0.95 (0.82–1.10) 81 (7.39) 71 (6.47) 1.14 (0.84–1.55) 
6-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 236 (24.56) 409 (42.08) 0.58 (0.51–0.67) 154 (15.98) 128 (13.17) 1.21 (0.98–1.51) 
 High-risk HPV positive 140 (14.63) 263 (27.25) 0.54 (0.45–0.65) 91 (9.50) 80 (8.28) 1.15 (0.86–1.53) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 92 (9.61) 139 (14.40) 0.67 (0.52–0.86) 57 (5.95) 42 (4.35) 1.37 (0.93–2.02) 
 Single HPV infections 143 (14.88) 200 (20.58) 0.72 (0.60–0.88) 99 (10.27) 84 (8.64) 1.19 (0.90–1.57) 
 Multiple HPV infections 93 (9.68) 209 (21.50) 0.45 (0.36–0.57) 55 (5.71) 44 (4.53) 1.26 (0.86–1.85) 
12-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 211 (21.40) 431 (43.54) 0.49 (0.43–0.56) 139 (14.08) 159 (16.06) 0.88 (0.71–1.08) 
 High-risk HPV positive 123 (12.64) 279 (28.79) 0.44 (0.36–0.53) 77 (7.91) 88 (9.02) 0.88 (0.65–1.18) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 75 (7.71) 131 (13.52) 0.57 (0.44–0.75) 49 (5.03) 57 (5.84) 0.86 (0.59–1.25) 
 Single HPV infections 143 (14.50) 213 (21.52) 0.67 (0.56–0.82) 106 (10.74) 107 (10.81) 0.99 (0.77–1.28) 
 Multiple HPV infections 68 (6.90) 218 (22.02) 0.31 (0.24–0.41) 33 (3.34) 52 (5.25) 0.64 (0.42–0.98) 
18-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 191 (20.13) 430 (44.61) 0.45 (0.39–0.52) 153 (16.17) 175 (18.13) 0.89 (0.73–1.09) 
 High-risk HPV positive 121 (12.98) 263 (27.63) 0.47 (0.39–0.57) 105 (11.15) 110 (11.40) 0.98 (0.76–1.26) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 53 (5.69) 155 (16.28) 0.35 (0.26–0.47) 44 (4.67) 65 (6.74) 0.69 (0.48–1.01) 
 Single HPV infections 126 (13.28) 216 (22.14) 0.59 (0.49–0.72) 110 (11.63) 117 (12.12) 0.96 (0.75–1.22) 
 Multiple HPV infections 65 (6.85) 214 (22.20) 0.31 (0.24–0.40) 43 (4.55) 58 (6.01) 0.76 (0.52–1.11) 
24-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 175 (18.40) 356 (38.70) 0.48 (0.41–0.56) 137 (14.42) 127 (13.77) 1.05 (0.84–1.31) 
 High-risk HPV positive 107 (11.31) 222 (24.37) 0.46 (0.38–0.57) 86 (9.13) 70 (7.63) 1.20 (0.88–1.62) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 63 (6.66) 125 (13.72) 0.49 (0.36–0.65) 43 (4.56) 52 (5.67) 0.81 (0.54–1.19) 
 Single HPV infections 108 (11.36) 173 (18.80) 0.60 (0.48–0.75) 87 (9.16) 78 (8.46) 1.08 (0.81–1.45) 
 Multiple HPV infections 67 (7.05) 183 (19.89) 0.35 (0.27–0.46) 50 (5.26) 49 (5.31) 0.99 (0.67–1.45) 
GlansShaft
Circumcision Arma (N = 1,096)Control Armb (N = 1,097)PRR (95% CI)Circumcision Arma (N = 1,096)Control Armb (N = 1,097)PRR (95% CI)
n (%)n (%)n (%)n (%)
Baseline visitc 
 HPV DNA positive 495 (45.16) 502 (45.76) 0.99 (0.90–1.08)d 209 (19.07) 189 (17.23) 1.11 (0.93–1.32)e 
 High-risk HPV positive 316 (30.21) 351 (33.02) 0.92 (0.81–1.04) 129 (12.02) 125 (11.65) 1.03 (0.82–1.30) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 129 (12.33) 117 (11.01) 1.12 (0.89–1.42) 57 (5.31) 40 (3.73) 1.43 (0.96–2.12) 
 Single HPV infections 229 (20.89) 222 (20.24) 1.03 (0.88–1.22) 128 (11.68) 118 (10.76) 1.09 (0.86–1.37) 
 Multiple HPV infections 266 (24.27) 280 (25.52) 0.95 (0.82–1.10) 81 (7.39) 71 (6.47) 1.14 (0.84–1.55) 
6-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 236 (24.56) 409 (42.08) 0.58 (0.51–0.67) 154 (15.98) 128 (13.17) 1.21 (0.98–1.51) 
 High-risk HPV positive 140 (14.63) 263 (27.25) 0.54 (0.45–0.65) 91 (9.50) 80 (8.28) 1.15 (0.86–1.53) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 92 (9.61) 139 (14.40) 0.67 (0.52–0.86) 57 (5.95) 42 (4.35) 1.37 (0.93–2.02) 
 Single HPV infections 143 (14.88) 200 (20.58) 0.72 (0.60–0.88) 99 (10.27) 84 (8.64) 1.19 (0.90–1.57) 
 Multiple HPV infections 93 (9.68) 209 (21.50) 0.45 (0.36–0.57) 55 (5.71) 44 (4.53) 1.26 (0.86–1.85) 
12-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 211 (21.40) 431 (43.54) 0.49 (0.43–0.56) 139 (14.08) 159 (16.06) 0.88 (0.71–1.08) 
 High-risk HPV positive 123 (12.64) 279 (28.79) 0.44 (0.36–0.53) 77 (7.91) 88 (9.02) 0.88 (0.65–1.18) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 75 (7.71) 131 (13.52) 0.57 (0.44–0.75) 49 (5.03) 57 (5.84) 0.86 (0.59–1.25) 
 Single HPV infections 143 (14.50) 213 (21.52) 0.67 (0.56–0.82) 106 (10.74) 107 (10.81) 0.99 (0.77–1.28) 
 Multiple HPV infections 68 (6.90) 218 (22.02) 0.31 (0.24–0.41) 33 (3.34) 52 (5.25) 0.64 (0.42–0.98) 
18-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 191 (20.13) 430 (44.61) 0.45 (0.39–0.52) 153 (16.17) 175 (18.13) 0.89 (0.73–1.09) 
 High-risk HPV positive 121 (12.98) 263 (27.63) 0.47 (0.39–0.57) 105 (11.15) 110 (11.40) 0.98 (0.76–1.26) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 53 (5.69) 155 (16.28) 0.35 (0.26–0.47) 44 (4.67) 65 (6.74) 0.69 (0.48–1.01) 
 Single HPV infections 126 (13.28) 216 (22.14) 0.59 (0.49–0.72) 110 (11.63) 117 (12.12) 0.96 (0.75–1.22) 
 Multiple HPV infections 65 (6.85) 214 (22.20) 0.31 (0.24–0.40) 43 (4.55) 58 (6.01) 0.76 (0.52–1.11) 
24-month visit 
 HPV DNA positive 175 (18.40) 356 (38.70) 0.48 (0.41–0.56) 137 (14.42) 127 (13.77) 1.05 (0.84–1.31) 
 High-risk HPV positive 107 (11.31) 222 (24.37) 0.46 (0.38–0.57) 86 (9.13) 70 (7.63) 1.20 (0.88–1.62) 
 Low-risk HPV positive 63 (6.66) 125 (13.72) 0.49 (0.36–0.65) 43 (4.56) 52 (5.67) 0.81 (0.54–1.19) 
 Single HPV infections 108 (11.36) 173 (18.80) 0.60 (0.48–0.75) 87 (9.16) 78 (8.46) 1.08 (0.81–1.45) 
 Multiple HPV infections 67 (7.05) 183 (19.89) 0.35 (0.27–0.46) 50 (5.26) 49 (5.31) 0.99 (0.67–1.45) 

Note: Infections with multiple HPV types were considered high-risk if one or more high-risk HPV types were detected. All other multiple infections were considered low-risk types unless they included HPVX.

Abbreviations: n, number; %, percentage; PRR, prevalence risk ratio (circumcision vs. control arm): HR, high-risk; LR, low-risk.

aMissing follow-up HPV result in circumcision arm: 6-month (n = 132); 12-month (n = 109); 18-month (n = 145); 24-month (n = 145).

bMissing follow-up HPV result in uncircumcision arm: 6-month (n = 125); 12-month (n = 107); 18-month (n = 132); 24-month (n = 175).

cAll men were uncircumcised at the baseline visit.

d0.95 (0.85–1.07) in analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples.

e1.08 (0.84–1.40) in analyses restricted to β-globin positive samples.

Men in the circumcision group had lower incidence rates (Supplementary Table S1) and higher clearance rates (Supplementary Table S2) of HPV infection in glans samples, but not in shaft samples, although several point estimates were not reliable for individual types due to relatively small sample sizes within strata.

There were lower reinfection rates for all HPV type groupings in the circumcision compared with the control arm in the glans (HRs, 0.41 to 0.88); and for any HPV, high-risk HPV, and low-risk HPV (HR = 0.65–0.71) in the shaft (Supplementary Table S3). We also observed higher HPV clearance among men with new, incident HPV infections in the circumcision group for the glans (any HPV, high-risk HPV, low-risk HPV, HPV16, and HPV56; Supplementary Table S4). Associations were relatively imprecise for both of these subanalyses, particularly for individual HPV types.

As-treated analyses

Results for the as-treated analysis were similar to the intent to treat results. In particular, for incident infections of any HPV type over 24 months the hazard was lower when men were circumcised (HR = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.49–0.69). Likewise, the clearance rate of any HPV infection over 24 months was higher when men were circumcised (HR = 1.50; 95% CI, 1.39–1.62).

In this large RCT of male circumcision and HPV infection, men in the circumcision group had approximately 40% lower incidence and 35% lower HPV reinfection rate over 24 months than the control group. Men in the circumcision group had an approximately 40% lower prevalence of overall, high-risk, and low-risk HPV infections for combined glans and shaft specimens than the control group at all post-baseline visits, with prevalence decreasing notably from the baseline to the 6-month visit and remaining relatively stable over time from 12 to 24 months. Male circumcision was associated with at least 50% higher clearance of any, high-risk, and low-risk prevalent HPV infections over 24 months, and similar clearance of newly acquired HPV infections in combined glans/shaft specimens as compared with the control group. Male circumcision was most strongly associated with lower incidence and higher clearance rates of multiple HPV type infections, with similar findings for single-type infections. The protective effect of male circumcision was consistently observed in glans specimens, but not in shaft specimens.

The results of our study are remarkably similar to those of the two other RCTs of male circumcision reported previously (11, 22). Comparing point-prevalence in intention-to-treat analyses, our results for high-risk HPV comparing men in the circumcision to the control group at 24 months (PRR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.38–0.57 for glans/sulcus specimens) are not different from the PRR of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.51–0.86) observed using urethral sampling at 21 months in Orange Farm, South Africa (11), nor to the unadjusted risk ratio (RR) of 0.65 observed using glans/sulcus specimens at 24 months in Rakai (21). Estimates of HPV incidence or clearance are not available for Orange Farm (11). The RR of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.51–0.89) found in Rakai (14) for male circumcision on high-risk HPV incidence in intention-to-treat analyses is somewhat lower than our observed HR of 0.48 (95% CI, 0.40–0.57) in glans specimens. This modest difference may largely be driven by the higher incidence rate among our Kenyan control group (55.0 per 100 person-years) as compared with controls in Rakai (29.4 per 100 person-years), who were older and more likely to be married, and thus a lower risk population than the younger, mostly unmarried male participants from Kisumu.

Male circumcision had a protective effect on the incidence of multiple (HR = 0.46) and single-type (HR = 0.77) infections, in contrast to Rakai, which found a protective effect on incident high-risk multiple infections (RR glans = 0.45), but not on single-type infections (RR = 0.89; 95% CI, 0.60–1.30) in intention-to-treat analyses (14). Findings from Kisumu and Rakai showed increased high-risk HPV clearance in the circumcision group compared with the control group (HR Kisumu = 1.76; RR Rakai = 1.39; ref. 14). Both the Kisumu and Rakai results appear to differ somewhat from the observational HIM study of 4,033 men (23), which found that overall HPV incidence and persistence did not differ between circumcised and uncircumcised men; however, there were specific HPV types for which HPV incidence was lower, and clearance higher, in circumcised as compared with uncircumcised men, which is similar to our results. In the observational HIM study, associations between male circumcision and HPV incidence and clearance remained similar when the authors adjusted for sexual behavior of the participants. In our study, the effect of male circumcision on HPV incidence, clearance, and reinfection is also unlikely to be explained by changes in sexual behavior over time, as there was little difference in this aspect between the circumcision and the control group (9).

This study is unique in that it examined the effect of male circumcision separately for glans/coronal sulcus and penile shaft specimens over time in an RCT setting. Until now it has been unclear whether HPV incidence differs by anatomical site (15, 22, 24, 25). We found a strong protective effect of male circumcision on incident HPV glans infections over 24 months (HR = 0.51), but not on shaft infections (HR = 1.01; 95% CI, 0.87–1.17). This is biologically plausible, because the inner foreskin is less keratinized than the shaft and, therefore, potentially more susceptible to HPV infection (26). Furthermore, the foreskin likely creates a microenvironment that facilitates the persistence of penile HPV infection (26). Accordingly, we found more frequent clearance of HPV in the circumcision group and of reductions in HPV prevalence over the 24 months of follow-up. In light of our findings of a lack of an association between male circumcision on the incidence and clearance of HPV infections of the penile shaft, further understanding is needed of the differential transmissibility of penile HPV infections of the shaft as compared with the glans/coronal sulcus, including modelling of the likely effect of male circumcision on the transmission of HPV from men to women based on these study findings. Data from the Rakai RCT showed a protective effect of male circumcision on HPV transmission from participating men to their female partners among HIV-negative couples (27, 28).

As study strengths, we utilized a sensitive and validated GP5+/6+ assay ascertained 44 HPV types and allowed determination of the clearance of any HPV, including high- and low-risk HPV within an RCT. Furthermore, we present novel data on observed associations between male circumcision and the occurrence of HPV reinfections, as well as clearance of newly acquired HPV infections. Our study also has some limitations: In our results presentation, we have utilized the term ‘re-infection’ to refer to those type-specific infection groups which were observed following baseline positivity and subsequent negativity; however, these also could represent reactivation of latent viral infections (29). β-Globin positivity overall in glans and/or shaft samples ranged from 60% to 80% over study follow-up. However, we observed similar results when analyses were restricted to β-globin positive samples. The observed relatively low prevalence of β-globin positivity at baseline and follow-up are not unexpected among penile HPV exfoliated cell samples. A possible explanation is that penile cells, particularly in shaft samples, are more keratinized and anucleated than those in the cervix, and therefore may contain relatively less human DNA (18). A lower frequency of β-globin positivity in penile swab samples has also been documented in several studies of HPV in penile samples (14). Furthermore, we were not able to examine the effect of male circumcision among HIV-positive men, or among men over 26 and under 18 years of age, given study eligibility criteria.

In 2007, the WHO issued recommendations to promote male circumcision for HIV prevention (30). Since then, over 27 million voluntary medical male circumcisions have been performed in 15 target countries in Eastern and Southern African (31). Male circumcision may not be protective against Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Chlamydia trachomatis, and Trichomonas vaginalis infections (32). However, male circumcision is a valuable tool for HIV prevention (9–11), and can also reduce the risk of HPV incidence, re-infection, and increase HPV clearance. Given our results, male circumcision should be considered effective for preventing HPV infections and may thus synergistically with HPV vaccination programs contribute to the primary prevention of penile, anal, and cervical cancers.

J.S. Smith reports grants from NIH during the conduct of the study; nonfinancial support from Rovers and Arbor Vita, grants from BD Diagnostics and Hologic outside the submitted work. M.G. Hudgens reports grants from NIH during the conduct of the study. S. Moses reports grants from Canadian Institutes of Health Research during the conduct of the study. K. Agot reports grants from NIH during the conduct of the study. C.J. Meijer reports personal fees and other from self-screen BV, personal fees from QIAGEN, GSK, and SPMSD/Merck outside the submitted work; and has patents for an HPV assay issued and licensed to Self-Screen BV and for methylation markers pending, issued, and licensed to Self-Screen BV. R.C. Bailey reports grants from NIH during the conduct of the study. No disclosures were reported by the other authors.

J.S. Smith: Conceptualization, formal analysis, supervision, methodology, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing. D.M. Backes: Formal analysis, writing–review and editing. M.G. Hudgens: Conceptualization, formal analysis, methodology, writing–review and editing. W. Mei: Formal analysis, writing–review and editing. H. Chakraborty: Formal analysis, writing–review and editing. E. Rohner: Writing–review and editing. S. Moses: Writing–review and editing. K. Agot: Conceptualization, writing–review and editing. C.J.L.M. Meijer: Investigation, writing–review and editing. R.C. Bailey: Conceptualization, supervision, methodology, writing–review and editing.

This research was supported by the NCI, NIH (Grant No. R01 CA114773-04, to J.S. Smith) and the UNC Center for AIDS Research (Grant No. 5 P30 AI050410-13 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, to R. Swanstrom). The main RCT was supported by the Division of AIDS, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health (Grant No. AI50440, to R.C. Bailey), the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, and the Chicago Developmental Center for AIDS Research (D-CFAR), an NIH funded program (P30 AI 082151), which is supported by the following NIH Institutes and Centers (NIAID, NCI, NIMH, NIDA, NICHD, NHLBI, NCCAM). We would like to thank Chelu Mfalila, Corette Parker, and Norma Pugh for their assistance in database management, and all of the UNIM staff, especially the late Dr. Jeckoniah O. Ndinya-Achola for his leadership. We are grateful to Mary John for her contributions to the HPV testing, Martijn Boogaarts for his input in HPV analyses, and Dr. Virginia Senkomago for her assistance in reviewing the manuscript. We are also grateful to the late Prof. Peter J.F. Snijders for his contribution to the design of this study and the HPV testing of the penile swab samples.

The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

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