Background:

Radiotherapy is used to treat many adolescent and young adult (AYA) and childhood cancer patients and is a risk factor for secondary breast cancer. While premenopausal breast cancer is inherently more aggressive, no studies to date have evaluated the characteristics and breast cancer–specific survival (BCSS) of premenopausal secondary breast cancer after radiotherapy in AYA and childhood cancer survivors.

Methods:

Female patients ages 12 to 50 diagnosed with primary breast cancer from 1988 to 2014 (n = 107,751) were obtained from the California Cancer Registry and compared with similar aged patients with secondary breast cancer who were treated with radiotherapy for their primary tumor (n = 1,147) from ages 12 to 39. We examined BCSS using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results:

The secondary breast cancer cohort was more likely to be Hispanic or Black, be 35 to 45 years of age, have earlier stage tumors, be higher grade, have no lymph node involvement, and be hormone receptor negative. All women showed worse BCSS for large tumor size, lymph node involvement, and hormone receptor–negative status. BCSS was worse for women with secondary breast cancer both overall (hazard ratio, 1.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.77–2.23) and in all subgroups considered. Associations were most pronounced in Hispanics, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and younger women, as well as those with earlier stage, lymph node–negative, and hormone receptor–positive disease.

Conclusions:

BCSS is significantly decreased among all survivors of childhood and AYA cancer treated with radiotherapy that develop a secondary breast cancer, including women with good prognostic features.

Impact:

Therefore, we may need to consider alternative and even more aggressive treatment in what were considered low-risk populations previously.

In the adolescent and young adult (AYA) female population, breast cancer is the most common cause of cancer-related death (1). This is compounded when the breast cancer is a secondary malignancy (2). Multiple studies have shown that the AYA population has the highest absolute excess risk for secondary malignancies of any age group, including most commonly breast cancer (3, 4). Sadler and Goldfarb showed that within this demographic primary and secondary malignancies have different characteristics, including that secondary breast cancers present at earlier stages (5). However, even with improved stage, being diagnosed with a secondary breast cancer was an independent risk factor for worse overall survival in multivariate analysis.

Radiotherapy is integral to the multidisciplinary therapy used to treat common AYA and childhood cancers, such as Hodgkin lymphoma, sarcomas, and breast cancer. Even though radiation is central to the treatment of these malignancies, it is well-established that it is also a strong risk factor for a secondary breast malignancy, especially when used to treat patients with childhood or AYA cancer (3, 6). In addition, it has been shown that for women treated for a primary breast cancer prior to 40 years of age, this risk of secondary malignancy applies not only to the ipsilateral breast but also to the contralateral breast at a much higher rate than their older counterparts (7). These secondary breast malignancies after radiation are thought to have unique clinical characteristics, as well as distinct gene expression profiles (3, 8, 9). However, little is known about how much of these distinct features are because of being diagnosed while still being premenopausal versus the radiotherapy itself.

Therefore, we sought to better understand how radiation used to treat primary malignancies affects the clinical characteristics of secondary breast malignancies developed in the premenopausal setting. Using data from the large population-based California Cancer Registry (CCR), we examined demographic and clinical characteristics and breast cancer–specific survival (BCSS) in premenopausal patients with secondary breast malignancies compared with similar aged counterparts with primary breast cancer. The findings from this study will help us to better understand this unique group of secondary cancers, allowing us in future to better tailor treatments for this population.

Patients

Our data were extracted from the CCR, which is estimated to represent more than 99% of all invasive cancers diagnosed in California. We included in our analysis female residents of California diagnosed with an invasive first and only breast cancer or breast cancer as a second primary invasive cancer (hereafter referred to as secondary breast cancer) between 12 and 50 years of age during the period January 1, 1988, through December 31, 2014 [International Classification of Disease for Oncology, 3rd Edition, (ICD-O-3) site codes C50.0–50.9 (excluding codes for sarcoma, melanoma, neuroendocrine tumors, sweat gland tumors, and lymphoma)]. This age range was chosen to capture premenopausal breast cancer based on approximations of age at menarche and menopause (10). Women with secondary breast cancers were limited to those who had a known first primary cancer treated with radiation between the ages of 12–39 years to capture radiation exposure during breast development. Secondary breast cancers diagnosed within 2 months of the first primary cancer were excluded to remove what were likely multiple primary tumors. In addition, for women with two breast cancers, the secondary breast cancer had to have a different histology from the first primary, occur in the contralateral breast, or occur >5 years from the first primary (2, 11).

From the CCR database, we obtained information routinely recorded in the medical record at diagnosis for each patient with primary and secondary breast cancer including age at diagnosis, race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, Asian or Pacific Islander, and other/unknown), American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, tumor grade, histology, tumor size, lymph node involvement, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and HER2 tumor expression status, and sequence of primary cancer. The CCR has collected information on ER and PR since 1990 and on HER2 since 1999 (8, 12). Because of HER2 data completeness, we limited our analyses of HER2 data to women diagnosed after 2003. ER/PR was defined as positive if either ER or PR was reported as positive and triple negative was defined as ER, PR, and HER2 negative.

We also obtained registry information for each patient with primary and secondary breast cancer on initial course of treatment (both initial and subsequent if applicable), census-block group of residence at diagnosis [used to determine socioeconomic status (SES); refs. 12–14], and vital status (routinely determined by the CCR through hospital follow-up and database linkages, including the Social Security Administration) as of December 31, 2014, and, for the deceased, the underlying cause of death.

Of the 476,130 California females diagnosed with a first and only, or secondary, invasive breast cancer, we excluded patients with unknown date of diagnosis/follow-up and the noted above histology codes. The resulting study population of 12- to 50-year-old females included 107,751 women with a first and only breast cancer and 1,147 women with a secondary breast cancer after being treated between ages 12 and 39 years with radiation for their primary malignancy (Fig. 1). This study was approved by University of California, Davis Institutional Review Board (Sacramento, CA) and by the California Committee for the Protection of Human Subjects.

Figure 1.

Selection of primary and secondary breast cancer cohorts from the CCR (1988–2014). Exclusions are for the primary and secondary breast cancer diagnoses. Secondary exclusions are for women with secondary breast cancers.

Figure 1.

Selection of primary and secondary breast cancer cohorts from the CCR (1988–2014). Exclusions are for the primary and secondary breast cancer diagnoses. Secondary exclusions are for women with secondary breast cancers.

Close modal

Statistical analysis

Multivariate logistic regression was used to compare demographic (race/ethnicity, age) and clinical (grade, histology, tumor size, lymph node involvement, and ER, PR, and HER2 status) factors between women with secondary versus primary breast cancer. Results are presented as odds ratios (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate associations of demographic and clinical factors with BCSS for women with primary and secondary breast cancer separately. In addition, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models assessed the associations of secondary versus primary breast cancer on BCSS for all women and in subgroups defined by race/ethnicity, age, AJCC stage, lymph node involvement, and ER, PR, and HER2 status. Effect modification was assessed between secondary breast cancer and each subgroup by including interaction terms in the multivariate models. For deceased patients, survival time was measured from diagnosis date of the primary or secondary breast cancer to the date of death from breast cancer. Patients who died from other causes were censored at the time of death. Patients alive at the study end date (December 12, 2014) were censored at this date or at last known contact.

In all survival models, the proportional hazards assumption was assessed numerically based on cumulative sums of Martingale residuals and visually based on inspection of the survival curves [log (−log) of the survival distribution function by log (months)]; variables that violated this assumption were included as stratifying variables to allow for differing baseline hazards associated with these variables (chemotherapy, radiation, surgery, and regional lymph nodes examined). Sensitivity analyses of BCSS examined: (i) death from other causes as a competing risk and (ii) the impact of excluding patients who were unlikely to receive chest or total body radiation. Results are presented as hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS statistical software (version 9.4), and a two-sided P value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

A total of 1,147 females ages 12 to 50 were diagnosed with an invasive breast cancer as a secondary malignancy after being treated with radiation for their primary malignancy. When comparing this group with women of the same age who were diagnosed with primary breast cancer (n = 107,751), some differences were seen between the cohorts (Table 1). The secondary malignancy cohort was more likely of non-Hispanic Black (10.3% vs. 7.4%) or Hispanic (26.4% vs. 22.2%) race/ethnicity, between 35 and 45 years of age, have earlier stage tumors (stage I, 45.5% vs. 33.4%), be higher grade (grade III, 49.3% vs. 39.5%), have no lymph node involvement (65.7% vs. 53.4%), and be ER/PR negative (ER, 36.2% vs. 22.2%; PR, 41.8% vs. 26.8%). For treatment, the secondary malignancy cohort was less likely to be treated with chemotherapy (55.4% vs. 62.2%) or radiation (26.3% vs. 45.5%) but more likely get a mastectomy (63.0% vs. 50.2%).

Table 1.

Characteristics and treatment of patients with primary and secondary breast cancer from the CCR (1988–2014).

Only primary breast cancerSecondary breast cancer
N = 107,751N = 1,147
CharacteristicsN (%)N (%)
Race/ethnicity 
 Non-Hispanic White 59,430 (55.2) 588 (51.3) 
 Non-Hispanic Black 7,990 (7.4) 118 (10.3) 
 Hispanic 23,950 (22.2) 303 (26.4) 
 Asian/Pacific Islander 15,009 (13.9) 137 (11.9) 
 Other/unknown 1,372 (1.3) 1 (0.1) 
Age at diagnosis 
 12–24 320 (0.3) 5 (0.4) 
 25–29 2,041 (1.9) 19 (1.7) 
 30–34 6,915 (6.4) 78 (6.8) 
 35–39 15,468 (14.4) 268 (23.4) 
 40–44 30,333 (28.2) 430 (37.5) 
 45–50 52,674 (48.9) 347 (30.3) 
Year of diagnosis 
 1988–1994 21,639 (20.1) 62 (5.4) 
 1995–2001 26,914 (25.0) 251 (21.9) 
 2002–2008 31,180 (28.9) 412 (35.9) 
 2009–2014 28,018 (26.0) 422 (36.8) 
Neighborhood SES 
 Low SES 53,483 (49.6) 551 (48.0) 
 High SES 54,268 (50.4) 596 (52.0) 
AJCC stage 
 Stage I 35,991 (33.4) 522 (45.5) 
 Stage II 45,942 (42.6) 355 (31.0) 
 Stage III 12,886 (12.0) 117 (10.2) 
 Stage IV 4,555 (4.2) 85 (7.4) 
 Unknown 8,377 (7.8) 68 (5.9) 
Chemotherapy 
 Yes 66,975 (62.2) 635 (55.4) 
 No/unknown 40,776 (37.8) 512 (44.6) 
Radiotherapy 
 Yes 49,032 (45.5) 302 (26.3) 
 No/unknown 58,719 (54.5) 845 (73.7) 
Surgery 
 Lumpectomy 46,960 (43.6) 321 (28.0) 
 Mastectomy 54,092 (50.2) 723 (63.0) 
 None 5,960 (5.5) 99 (8.6) 
 Unknown 739 (0.7) 4 (0.3) 
Tumor grade 
 Grade I 13,390 (12.4) 112 (9.8) 
 Grade II 36,023 (33.4) 328 (28.6) 
 Grade III 42,538 (39.5) 566 (49.3) 
 Undifferentiated 2,349 (2.2) 33 (2.9) 
 Unknown 13,451 (12.5) 108 (9.4) 
Histology 
 Ductal 83,516 (77.5) 897 (78.2) 
 Lobular 14,644 (13.6) 142 (12.4) 
 Other 9,591 (8.9) 108 (9.4) 
Tumor size 
 T1a: ≤0.5 cm 5,925 (5.5) 112 (9.8) 
 T1b: >0.5–1 cm 11,763 (10.9) 179 (15.6) 
 T1c: >1–2 cm 33,970 (31.5) 359 (31.3) 
 T2: >2–5 cm 38,180 (35.4) 322 (28.1) 
 T3: >5.00 cm 9,421 (8.7) 70 (6.1) 
 Diffuse 1,725 (1.6) 18 (1.6) 
 Other 6,767 (6.3) 87 (7.6) 
Regional lymph node involvement  
 Positive 46,089 (42.8) 327 (28.5) 
 Negative 57,562 (53.4) 754 (65.7) 
 Unknown 4,100 (3.8) 66 (5.8) 
Regional nodes examined 
 Sentinel lymph node biopsy 31,986 (29.7) 413 (36.0) 
 Axillary lymph node dissection 65,484 (60.8) 418 (36.4) 
 No nodes examined/unknown 10,281 (9.5) 316 (27.6) 
ER status 
 Positive 63,749 (59.2) 583 (50.8) 
 Negative 23,926 (22.2) 415 (36.2) 
 Unknown 20,076 (18.6) 149 (13.0) 
PR status 
 Positive 57,160 (53.0) 510 (44.5) 
 Negative 28,884 (26.8) 479 (41.8) 
 Unknown 21,707 (20.1) 158 (13.8) 
HER2a 
 Positive 12,056 (21.9) 151 (19.1) 
 Negative 37,222 (67.6) 541 (68.6) 
 Unknown 5,800 (10.5) 97 (12.3) 
Vital status 
 Alive 83,346 (77.4) 799 (69.7) 
 Death from breast cancer 20,558 (19.1) 298 (26.0) 
 Death from other causes 3,847 (3.6) 50 (4.4) 
Only primary breast cancerSecondary breast cancer
N = 107,751N = 1,147
CharacteristicsN (%)N (%)
Race/ethnicity 
 Non-Hispanic White 59,430 (55.2) 588 (51.3) 
 Non-Hispanic Black 7,990 (7.4) 118 (10.3) 
 Hispanic 23,950 (22.2) 303 (26.4) 
 Asian/Pacific Islander 15,009 (13.9) 137 (11.9) 
 Other/unknown 1,372 (1.3) 1 (0.1) 
Age at diagnosis 
 12–24 320 (0.3) 5 (0.4) 
 25–29 2,041 (1.9) 19 (1.7) 
 30–34 6,915 (6.4) 78 (6.8) 
 35–39 15,468 (14.4) 268 (23.4) 
 40–44 30,333 (28.2) 430 (37.5) 
 45–50 52,674 (48.9) 347 (30.3) 
Year of diagnosis 
 1988–1994 21,639 (20.1) 62 (5.4) 
 1995–2001 26,914 (25.0) 251 (21.9) 
 2002–2008 31,180 (28.9) 412 (35.9) 
 2009–2014 28,018 (26.0) 422 (36.8) 
Neighborhood SES 
 Low SES 53,483 (49.6) 551 (48.0) 
 High SES 54,268 (50.4) 596 (52.0) 
AJCC stage 
 Stage I 35,991 (33.4) 522 (45.5) 
 Stage II 45,942 (42.6) 355 (31.0) 
 Stage III 12,886 (12.0) 117 (10.2) 
 Stage IV 4,555 (4.2) 85 (7.4) 
 Unknown 8,377 (7.8) 68 (5.9) 
Chemotherapy 
 Yes 66,975 (62.2) 635 (55.4) 
 No/unknown 40,776 (37.8) 512 (44.6) 
Radiotherapy 
 Yes 49,032 (45.5) 302 (26.3) 
 No/unknown 58,719 (54.5) 845 (73.7) 
Surgery 
 Lumpectomy 46,960 (43.6) 321 (28.0) 
 Mastectomy 54,092 (50.2) 723 (63.0) 
 None 5,960 (5.5) 99 (8.6) 
 Unknown 739 (0.7) 4 (0.3) 
Tumor grade 
 Grade I 13,390 (12.4) 112 (9.8) 
 Grade II 36,023 (33.4) 328 (28.6) 
 Grade III 42,538 (39.5) 566 (49.3) 
 Undifferentiated 2,349 (2.2) 33 (2.9) 
 Unknown 13,451 (12.5) 108 (9.4) 
Histology 
 Ductal 83,516 (77.5) 897 (78.2) 
 Lobular 14,644 (13.6) 142 (12.4) 
 Other 9,591 (8.9) 108 (9.4) 
Tumor size 
 T1a: ≤0.5 cm 5,925 (5.5) 112 (9.8) 
 T1b: >0.5–1 cm 11,763 (10.9) 179 (15.6) 
 T1c: >1–2 cm 33,970 (31.5) 359 (31.3) 
 T2: >2–5 cm 38,180 (35.4) 322 (28.1) 
 T3: >5.00 cm 9,421 (8.7) 70 (6.1) 
 Diffuse 1,725 (1.6) 18 (1.6) 
 Other 6,767 (6.3) 87 (7.6) 
Regional lymph node involvement  
 Positive 46,089 (42.8) 327 (28.5) 
 Negative 57,562 (53.4) 754 (65.7) 
 Unknown 4,100 (3.8) 66 (5.8) 
Regional nodes examined 
 Sentinel lymph node biopsy 31,986 (29.7) 413 (36.0) 
 Axillary lymph node dissection 65,484 (60.8) 418 (36.4) 
 No nodes examined/unknown 10,281 (9.5) 316 (27.6) 
ER status 
 Positive 63,749 (59.2) 583 (50.8) 
 Negative 23,926 (22.2) 415 (36.2) 
 Unknown 20,076 (18.6) 149 (13.0) 
PR status 
 Positive 57,160 (53.0) 510 (44.5) 
 Negative 28,884 (26.8) 479 (41.8) 
 Unknown 21,707 (20.1) 158 (13.8) 
HER2a 
 Positive 12,056 (21.9) 151 (19.1) 
 Negative 37,222 (67.6) 541 (68.6) 
 Unknown 5,800 (10.5) 97 (12.3) 
Vital status 
 Alive 83,346 (77.4) 799 (69.7) 
 Death from breast cancer 20,558 (19.1) 298 (26.0) 
 Death from other causes 3,847 (3.6) 50 (4.4) 

aHER2 data are limited to 2003+ diagnoses, N (only primary) = 55,078, N (secondary) = 789.

In the multivariate logistic regression model, non-Hispanic Black women were more likely (OR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.11–1.66) and Asian/Pacific Islander women were less likely (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63–0.92) to have a secondary breast cancer than non-Hispanic White women (Table 2). In addition, secondary breast cancers were more likely to be diagnosed at an earlier tumor size (T3 vs. T1a, OR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.28–0.52) and without lymph node involvement (lymph node positive vs. negative, OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.51–0.67), but more likely to be ER/PR negative (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.52–2.03) and have a higher grade (grade III vs. I, OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.41–2.21). Differences by age and histology were not observed among young women with primary versus secondary breast cancer.

Table 2.

Adjusteda logistic regression model of factors associated with having secondary breast cancer compared with primary breast cancer.

CharacteristicsORs (95% CI)
Race/ethnicity 
 Non-Hispanic White Reference 
 Non-Hispanic Black 1.35 (1.11–1.66) 
 Hispanic 1.05 (0.91–1.21) 
 Asian/Pacific Islander 0.76 (0.63–0.92) 
Age (years) 
 12–24 Reference 
 25–29 0.62 (0.23–1.67) 
 30–34 0.79 (0.32–1.98) 
 35–39 1.23 (0.50–3.01) 
 40–44 0.96 (0.39–2.34) 
 45–50 0.42 (0.17–1.04) 
Year of diagnosis 
 1988–1994 Reference 
 1995–2001 3.47 (2.60–4.62) 
 2002–2008 5.34 (4.02–7.09) 
 2009–2014 6.56 (4.91–8.75) 
Tumor grade 
 Grade I Reference 
 Grade II 1.29 (1.03–1.60) 
 Grade III 1.76 (1.41–2.21) 
 Undifferentiated 1.82 (1.22–2.73) 
Histology 
 Ductal Reference 
 Lobular 1.16 (0.97–1.40) 
Tumor size 
 T1a: ≤0.5 cm Reference 
 T1b: >0.5–1 cm 0.97 (0.76–1.24) 
 T1c: >1–2 cm 0.61 (0.49–0.76) 
 T2: >2–5 cm 0.43 (0.34–0.55) 
 T3: >5.00 cm 0.38 (0.28–0.52) 
 Diffuse 0.58 (0.34–0.99) 
Regional lymph node involvement 
 Positive 0.58 (0.51–0.67) 
 Negative Reference 
ER and PR status 
 Positive Reference 
 Negative 1.76 (1.52–2.03) 
CharacteristicsORs (95% CI)
Race/ethnicity 
 Non-Hispanic White Reference 
 Non-Hispanic Black 1.35 (1.11–1.66) 
 Hispanic 1.05 (0.91–1.21) 
 Asian/Pacific Islander 0.76 (0.63–0.92) 
Age (years) 
 12–24 Reference 
 25–29 0.62 (0.23–1.67) 
 30–34 0.79 (0.32–1.98) 
 35–39 1.23 (0.50–3.01) 
 40–44 0.96 (0.39–2.34) 
 45–50 0.42 (0.17–1.04) 
Year of diagnosis 
 1988–1994 Reference 
 1995–2001 3.47 (2.60–4.62) 
 2002–2008 5.34 (4.02–7.09) 
 2009–2014 6.56 (4.91–8.75) 
Tumor grade 
 Grade I Reference 
 Grade II 1.29 (1.03–1.60) 
 Grade III 1.76 (1.41–2.21) 
 Undifferentiated 1.82 (1.22–2.73) 
Histology 
 Ductal Reference 
 Lobular 1.16 (0.97–1.40) 
Tumor size 
 T1a: ≤0.5 cm Reference 
 T1b: >0.5–1 cm 0.97 (0.76–1.24) 
 T1c: >1–2 cm 0.61 (0.49–0.76) 
 T2: >2–5 cm 0.43 (0.34–0.55) 
 T3: >5.00 cm 0.38 (0.28–0.52) 
 Diffuse 0.58 (0.34–0.99) 
Regional lymph node involvement 
 Positive 0.58 (0.51–0.67) 
 Negative Reference 
ER and PR status 
 Positive Reference 
 Negative 1.76 (1.52–2.03) 

Note: The estimates of ORs for unknown groups are not present.

aModels adjusted for all variables in the table.

Table 3 shows two separate multivariate Cox models for women with primary and secondary breast cancer. For primary breast cancer, non-Hispanic Black women (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.34–1.47) had worse BCSS, while non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.85–0.94) and Hispanic (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92–0.99) women had improved BCSS compared with non-Hispanic White women. However, among women with secondary breast cancer, Hispanic women experienced worse BCSS (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02–1.87) and Asian/Pacific Islander women had similar BCSS compared with non-Hispanic White women. The associations for non-Hispanic Black women were similar to primary breast cancers; however, the HR for non-Hispanic Black women with secondary breast cancer was not statistically significant possibly due to the much smaller size of the secondary breast cancer population. In both the models, larger tumor size and lymph node involvement demonstrated worse BCSS. In examining the effect of tumor markers on BCSS, ER/PR negative (when HER2 status was not clarified), and triple negative, tumors were found to have worse prognosis, whereas HER2 negativity worsened BCSS only for primary breast cancers (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.22–1.40). In addition, tumor grade made no difference on BCSS for secondary breast cancers.

Table 3.

Factors associated with BCSSa among patients with invasive breast cancer.

Only primarySecondary
CharacteristicsHR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)
Race/ethnicity 
 Non-Hispanic White Reference Reference 
 Non-Hispanic Black 1.41 (1.34–1.47) 1.33 (0.88–1.99) 
 Hispanic 0.96 (0.92–0.99) 1.38 (1.02–1.87) 
 Asian/Pacific Islander 0.89 (0.85–0.94) 1.22 (0.78–1.89) 
Age (years) 
 12–24 Reference Reference 
 25–29 1.19 (0.95–1.48) 0.87 (0.15–5.09) 
 30–34 1.08 (0.88–1.33) 0.63 (0.13–3.10) 
 35–39 1.05 (0.85–1.28) 0.90 (0.19–4.33) 
 40–44 0.92 (0.75–1.13) 0.49 (0.10–2.36) 
 45–50 0.92 (0.75–1.13) 0.27 (0.06–1.36) 
Year of diagnosis 
 1988–1994 Reference Reference 
 1995–2001 0.75 (0.72–0.77) 0.66 (0.43–1.02) 
 2002–2008 0.55 (0.53–0.58) 0.57 (0.36–0.90) 
 2009–2014 0.46 (0.43–0.49) 0.53 (0.31–0.90) 
Neighborhood SES 
 Low SES 1.22 (1.19–1.26) 1.42 (1.09–1.86) 
 High SES Reference Reference 
Tumor grade 
 Grade I Reference Reference 
 Grade II 2.04 (1.87–2.23) 1.77 (0.89–3.49) 
 Grade III 2.86 (2.61–3.12) 1.96 (0.99–3.85) 
 Undifferentiated 2.77 (2.47–3.11) 2.05 (0.79–5.34) 
Histology 
 Ductal Reference Reference 
 Lobular 1.02 (0.97–1.06) 2.09 (1.45–3.01) 
Tumor size 
 T1a: ≤0.5 cm Reference Reference 
 T1b: >0.5–1 cm 1.26 (1.08–1.47) 1.33 (0.62–2.87) 
 T1c: >1–2 cm 1.93 (1.68–2.22) 2.07 (1.04–4.10) 
 T2: >2–5 cm 2.89 (2.52–3.32) 2.92 (1.46–5.82) 
 T3: >5.00 cm 4.16 (3.61–4.79) 4.30 (1.99–9.33) 
 Diffuse 6.42 (5.51–7.48) 10.16 (3.74–27.59) 
Regional lymph node involvement 
 Positive 2.52 (2.43–2.61) 2.10 (1.50–2.95) 
 Negative Reference Reference 
ER and PR status  
 Positive Reference Reference 
 Negative 1.39 (1.34–1.44) 1.51 (1.11–2.07) 
HER2b 
 Positive Reference Reference 
 Negative 1.31 (1.22–1.40) 1.15 (0.68–1.93) 
Triple negativeb 
 Yes Reference Reference 
 No 0.51 (0.48–0.55) 0.42 (0.27–0.67) 
Only primarySecondary
CharacteristicsHR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)
Race/ethnicity 
 Non-Hispanic White Reference Reference 
 Non-Hispanic Black 1.41 (1.34–1.47) 1.33 (0.88–1.99) 
 Hispanic 0.96 (0.92–0.99) 1.38 (1.02–1.87) 
 Asian/Pacific Islander 0.89 (0.85–0.94) 1.22 (0.78–1.89) 
Age (years) 
 12–24 Reference Reference 
 25–29 1.19 (0.95–1.48) 0.87 (0.15–5.09) 
 30–34 1.08 (0.88–1.33) 0.63 (0.13–3.10) 
 35–39 1.05 (0.85–1.28) 0.90 (0.19–4.33) 
 40–44 0.92 (0.75–1.13) 0.49 (0.10–2.36) 
 45–50 0.92 (0.75–1.13) 0.27 (0.06–1.36) 
Year of diagnosis 
 1988–1994 Reference Reference 
 1995–2001 0.75 (0.72–0.77) 0.66 (0.43–1.02) 
 2002–2008 0.55 (0.53–0.58) 0.57 (0.36–0.90) 
 2009–2014 0.46 (0.43–0.49) 0.53 (0.31–0.90) 
Neighborhood SES 
 Low SES 1.22 (1.19–1.26) 1.42 (1.09–1.86) 
 High SES Reference Reference 
Tumor grade 
 Grade I Reference Reference 
 Grade II 2.04 (1.87–2.23) 1.77 (0.89–3.49) 
 Grade III 2.86 (2.61–3.12) 1.96 (0.99–3.85) 
 Undifferentiated 2.77 (2.47–3.11) 2.05 (0.79–5.34) 
Histology 
 Ductal Reference Reference 
 Lobular 1.02 (0.97–1.06) 2.09 (1.45–3.01) 
Tumor size 
 T1a: ≤0.5 cm Reference Reference 
 T1b: >0.5–1 cm 1.26 (1.08–1.47) 1.33 (0.62–2.87) 
 T1c: >1–2 cm 1.93 (1.68–2.22) 2.07 (1.04–4.10) 
 T2: >2–5 cm 2.89 (2.52–3.32) 2.92 (1.46–5.82) 
 T3: >5.00 cm 4.16 (3.61–4.79) 4.30 (1.99–9.33) 
 Diffuse 6.42 (5.51–7.48) 10.16 (3.74–27.59) 
Regional lymph node involvement 
 Positive 2.52 (2.43–2.61) 2.10 (1.50–2.95) 
 Negative Reference Reference 
ER and PR status  
 Positive Reference Reference 
 Negative 1.39 (1.34–1.44) 1.51 (1.11–2.07) 
HER2b 
 Positive Reference Reference 
 Negative 1.31 (1.22–1.40) 1.15 (0.68–1.93) 
Triple negativeb 
 Yes Reference Reference 
 No 0.51 (0.48–0.55) 0.42 (0.27–0.67) 

aAdjusted for all the variables in the table and stratified by chemotherapy, radiation, surgery, and regional nodes examined. The estimates of HRs for unknown groups are not present.

bHER2 and triple negative are limited to 2003+ diagnoses.

In multivariate survival models evaluating the impact of secondary versus primary breast cancer in demographic and clinical subgroups, we found that the hazard of breast cancer–related death was higher for women with secondary breast cancers both overall (HR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.77–2.23) and in all subgroups considered (Fig. 2). We observed significant interaction by race/ethnicity (P = 0.02), age group (P < 0.001), and stage at diagnosis (P < 0.001), with associations most pronounced in Hispanics, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and younger women (ages 12–39), as well as those with earlier AJCC stage. Although, not statistically significant, additional associations appeared to be more pronounced in women with lymph node–negative disease (P = 0.06).

Figure 2.

Adjusted BCSS associated with having secondary breast cancer compared with primary breast cancer by demographic and clinical patient subgroups. Each subgroup is evaluated in a separate model. Models adjusted for race/ethnicity, age at diagnosis, year of diagnosis, neighborhood SES, T stage, lymph node involvement, grade, ER and PR status, and histology and stratified by chemotherapy, radiation, surgery, and regional nodes examined. HER2 and triple negative are limited to 2003+ diagnoses. NH, non-Hispanic.

Figure 2.

Adjusted BCSS associated with having secondary breast cancer compared with primary breast cancer by demographic and clinical patient subgroups. Each subgroup is evaluated in a separate model. Models adjusted for race/ethnicity, age at diagnosis, year of diagnosis, neighborhood SES, T stage, lymph node involvement, grade, ER and PR status, and histology and stratified by chemotherapy, radiation, surgery, and regional nodes examined. HER2 and triple negative are limited to 2003+ diagnoses. NH, non-Hispanic.

Close modal

In sensitivity analyses considering non-breast cancer causes of death as a competing risk in our BCSS analyses, the findings were similar to those presented in Table 3 and Fig. 2, suggesting that competing risks were not impacting our findings. In addition, sensitivity analyses excluding 3.8% of patients who were unlikely to receive chest or total body radiation for their primary cancer (female genital system, eye and orbit, brain, oral, and colorectal; Table 4) did not change the findings presented in Table 3 and Fig. 2.

Table 4.

Primary cancer site among patients with a secondary breast cancer.

Primary cancer siteN (%)
Oral cavity and pharynx 9 (0.78) 
Gastrointestinal tract <5 
Bones and soft tissue 7 (0.61) 
Breast 927 (80.82) 
Female genital system 25 (2.18) 
Eye and orbit <5 
Brain and nervous system 14 (1.22) 
Endocrine (including thyroid) 77 (6.71) 
Hematologic malignancies 82 (7.15) 
Other <5 
Primary cancer siteN (%)
Oral cavity and pharynx 9 (0.78) 
Gastrointestinal tract <5 
Bones and soft tissue 7 (0.61) 
Breast 927 (80.82) 
Female genital system 25 (2.18) 
Eye and orbit <5 
Brain and nervous system 14 (1.22) 
Endocrine (including thyroid) 77 (6.71) 
Hematologic malignancies 82 (7.15) 
Other <5 

The use of radiation as cancer treatment has been shown in multiple studies to increase breast cancer risk if given to female patients during their formative years (15, 16). However, this is the first study, to our knowledge, that compares the unique breast cancers found in this population with their age-controlled counterparts without a prior cancer, looking at multiple aspects related to the subsequent breast cancer characteristics and outcomes. Consistent with prior work, we found that secondary breast cancers were more likely to be diagnosed at an earlier stage, be ER/PR negative, and be higher grade than primary breast cancers (5). However, we additionally identified that non-Hispanic Blacks were more likely and Asian/Pacific Islanders were less likely than non-Hispanic Whites to have a secondary breast cancer. While BCSS was significantly decreased among all survivors of childhood and AYA cancer treated with radiation that develop a secondary breast cancer, the negative impact of the secondary cancers was particularly strong in subgroups of patients that have superior survival after primary breast cancer. These factors included Asian/Pacific Islanders and those with earlier AJCC stage, lymph node–negative, and ER/PR-positive disease. Our findings suggest that we may need to consider alternative and even more aggressive treatment in subgroups of women with secondary breast cancers that were considered low-risk populations previously.

Many studies have shown differences in breast cancer rates and survival by race/ethnicity (1, 17–20). In particular, primary breast cancer in non-Hispanic Black women has been characterized by higher grade (21), later stage at diagnosis (21, 22), and worse survival after controlling for stage at diagnosis (17). Because our study data represents more than 99% of all cancers diagnosed in California, we include a very racially and ethnically diverse population. We found that non-Hispanic Black women are more likely to have a second breast cancer, and, while secondary breast cancer in this population is associated with worse survival than primary breast cancer, the negative impact of secondary breast cancer on survival in non-Hispanic Blacks is the smallest of all racial/ethnic groups. This is most likely due to non-Hispanic Black women having poorer survival after primary breast cancer compared with women of other race/ethnicities. Alternatively, Asian/Pacific Islanders and Hispanics have shown increased BCSS after primary breast cancers compared with non-Hispanic Whites (23–25). Although, we observe these associations in the primary breast cancer population, Asian/Pacific Islanders no longer experience increased BCSS and Hispanics experience worse BCSS than non-Hispanic White women after secondary breast cancer. This results in a greater than 2-fold increased hazard of breast cancer–related death among Asian/Pacific Islanders and Hispanics with secondary compared with primary breast cancer, which are the strongest associations of any racial/ethnic group. These data show that there is something innately different about secondary breast cancers that modifies the differences seen traditionally by race/ethnicity.

Certain tumor factors and characteristics of breast cancer are thought to provide improved survival, in so much that they serve as the foundation of the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual, Eighth Edition (26, 27). Small tumor size has been a long-standing correlate of better prognosis, as has been lymph node negativity (28, 29). Low histologic grade has also been shown to be a significantly beneficial prognostic factor when primary breast tumors have been examined (30, 31). In both the primary and secondary breast cancer cohorts, larger tumor size and lymph node involvement were associated with worse BCSS, but tumor grade was not associated with BCSS in women with secondary breast cancer (17). We hypothesize that grade, unlike in primary breast cancers, no longer adequately reflects intrinsic biological characteristics and clinical behavior of the secondary tumor (32, 33). In our subgroup analyses, the negative impact of secondary breast cancer was strongest among women with early AJCC stage and those without regional lymph node involvement. Multiple studies have also shown the lack of lymph node involvement and earlier stage at diagnosis in secondary breast cancer populations (11, 34); however, we are among the first to report an over 2-fold increased hazard of breast cancer–related death among women with secondary compared with primary breast cancer in these subgroups.

Tumor markers in the modern era of breast cancer care are predominant factors that contribute to prognosis and treatment (12). Hormone receptor (ER/PR)–positive tumors are thought to need less systemic treatment, be less overall aggressive at times leading to less local therapy, and ultimately have improved survival (35). Consistent with prior studies, ER/PR-negative disease was associated with worse BCSS in both primary and secondary breast cancer cohorts; however, the negative impact of secondary breast cancer on BCSS was stronger for women with ER/PR-positive disease, a significant finding given that secondary breast cancers in the childhood and AYA survivor population are more commonly ER and PR positive (11, 34). HER2-positive breast cancer treatment changed with introduction of trastuzumab (Herceptin; Genentech) in the late 1990s, which led to a dramatic improvement in survival in primary breast cancer (36). In prior studies, secondary breast cancers after radiotherapy have shown decreased frequency of HER2-positive tumors, which we also observed in our data (37). In our study, HER2 negativity was only associated with worse BCSS in women with primary breast cancer and the impact of secondary breast cancer on BCSS was similar across HER2 status, suggesting that regardless of phenotype of the tumor, breast cancers arising in patients treated prior with radiotherapy are more aggressive.

Overall, the data show that in secondary breast cancers after radiation, the negative impacts are most pronounced in subgroups of patients that have superior survival for primary breast cancer, which leads one to consider whether treatment should be changed as a result. Do smaller and lower stage secondary breast cancers need more aggressive treatment? Our data show that women with secondary breast cancers are having more aggressive surgical therapy but receiving less chemotherapy or radiation. The cause of this difference in treatment is not directly known, but consideration should be given to the treatments used for the primary cancer, such as chest radiation and prior anthracycline use, that may limit the ability to use them in the secondary setting. However, in recent randomized control trials, overall younger women have demonstrated more aggressive tumors and the need for more treatment (38). In addition, studies suggest that young age is an independent predictor of poorer survival after primary breast cancer, even after adjustment for sociodemographic and tumor characteristics (39–41). The negative survival impact of age is more pronounced in secondary breast cancer. In our study, women who were diagnosed with a secondary breast cancer between 12 and 39 years of age were 2.6 times more likely to die from their breast cancer than women with a primary breast cancer at this age. However, we postulate that the known poorer survival, even with intensive therapy, seen in primary breast cancers in women under 40 is compounded by both the nature of secondary breast cancers in this population and the decreased treatment.

Our dataset has limitations in that our knowledge of the treatment given for the primary tumor in our secondary breast cancer population is limited. Specifically, the radiation fields are not specified and chemotherapeutic agents are unknown. Similarly, we lack the specific, and at times full treatment details used for breast cancer treatment in both of our populations, leading us to not know the specific influence treatment has on our survival outcomes, an important area of future research. In a similar way, there is no genetic information or comorbidities gathered on the patient population, which we acknowledge can have an influence on treatment decisions and risk for secondary breast cancers, especially for patients found to have a BRCA mutation. In addition, due to the nature of the database there is no information about treatment failure, both for local regional as well as distant recurrence. Despite these limitations, this study includes a large number of patients from population-based registries, increasing the generalizability of our results.

In conclusion, we found that BCSS is significantly decreased among all survivors of childhood and AYA cancer treated with radiotherapy that develop a secondary breast cancer, even in the setting of early-stage breast cancer and other characteristics, including low histologic grade and ER positivity, which are considered good prognostic factors. Treating secondary breast cancers is likely complicated by the unique genetic make-up of the tumors and prior treatment regimens received. These factors should be evaluated in more depth to determine whether the differences seen in BCSS in the secondary breast cancer population should result in augmentation of the treatment algorithms in this specific population, such as possibly augmenting with novel treatments like PARP and CDK 4/6 inhibitors when able.

No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

The ideas and opinions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the State of California, Department of Public Health, NCI, and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or their contractors and subcontractors.

Conception and design: C.A.M. Sauder, F.J. Meyers, T.H.M. Keegan

Development of methodology: C.A.M. Sauder, F.J. Meyers

Acquisition of data (provided animals, acquired and managed patients, provided facilities, etc.): Q. Li, T.H.M. Keegan

Analysis and interpretation of data (e.g., statistical analysis, biostatistics, computational analysis): C.A.M. Sauder, Q. Li, F.J. Meyers, T.H.M. Keegan

Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: C.A.M. Sauder, M. Arora, R.J. Bold, F.J. Meyers, T.H.M. Keegan

Administrative, technical, or material support (i.e., reporting or organizing data, constructing databases): F.J. Meyers

Study supervision: F.J. Meyers, T.H.M. Keegan

Other (review, editing, and final approval): A. Othieno

Other (assisted with literature review): D. Cruz

Institutional support was provided by the University of California, Davis, and this work was supported by UC Davis Comprehensive Cancer Center support grant (P30CA093373-16). The collection of cancer incidence data used in this study was supported by the California Department of Public Health pursuant to California Health and Safety Code Section 103885; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Program of Cancer Registries under cooperative agreement 5NU58DP006344; and the NCI's SEER Program under contract HHSN261201800032I awarded to the University of California, San Francisco, contract HHSN261201800015I awarded to the University of Southern California, and contract HHSN261201800009I awarded to the Public Health Institute.

The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

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