Background:

Night shift work has been classified by the International Agency for Research on Cancer as a probable carcinogen in humans. Several studies have assessed night shift work in relation to breast cancer risk, with inconsistent results.

Methods:

In the prospective Sister Study cohort, current and past occupational history was collected for 48,451 participants. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate adjusted HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between baseline work schedule characteristics and incident breast cancer.

Results:

During follow-up (mean = 9.1 years), 3,191 incident cases were diagnosed. We observed little to no increase in risk associated with work schedule characteristics (ever working rotating shifts: HR = 1.04, 95% CI, 0.91–1.20; ever working rotating night shifts: HR = 1.08, 95% CI, 0.92–1.27; ever working at night: HR = 1.01, 95% CI, 0.94–1.10; and ever working irregular hours: HR = 0.98, 95% CI, 0.91–1.06). Although short-term night work (>0 to 5 years vs. never: HR = 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00–1.26) and rotating shift work at night (>0 to 5 years vs. never: HR = 1.30; 95% CI, 1.05–1.61) were associated with increased breast cancer risk, working nights for more than 5 years was not associated with risk.

Conclusions:

Overall, we observed little evidence that rotating shift work or work at night was associated with a higher risk of breast cancer, except possibly among those who participated in such work for short durations of time.

Impact:

This study indicates that if night shift work is associated with breast cancer, the increase in risk is small.

In 2019, the International Agency for Research on Cancer classified night shift work as a probable human carcinogen (1). Most evidence supporting higher breast cancer risk among night shift workers comes from case–control studies; cohort studies have observed largely null associations (2).

The Sister Study is a prospective cohort of 50,884 women (2003–2009), ages 35–74 who had a sister with breast cancer but were breast cancer free themselves (3). Baseline occupational questionnaires asked about current job and past jobs held for ≥2 years. For each job, women were asked if they worked regular hours (starting/stopping at the same time every day) and if they worked at night (≥1 hour between 12:00–2:00 AM). If they reported not working regular hours, they were asked if they worked rotating shifts (number of shifts and usual start/stop times for each shift) or irregular hours. Rotating shift work (N = 3,183) included women who reported ≥1 job with rotating shifts; rotating night shift work (N = 2,275) was a subset of those women who also reported night work for the same job. Working irregular hours (N = 15,895) could include women who reported night work for ≥1 job. Any work at night (N = 13,992) included all women, regardless of schedule type, who met our definition of night work for ≥1 job. Self-reported incident breast cancer, confirmed with medical records (3), was classified as invasive breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ. Women were followed through September 15, 2017 (data release 7.2). The final sample included 48,451 women who completed the occupational questionnaire and were not missing covariate data.

Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with age as the timescale. For each analysis, women who reported never having that work schedule were the referent. Confounders were selected a priori and included race/ethnicity, education, marital status, and parity. We explored whether the association differed by time-varying menopausal status, timing of starting work relative to first childbirth, or time since stopping shift work.

Over follow-up (average = 9.1 years), 3,191 incident breast cancers were diagnosed. Study population characteristics are available elsewhere (3). Although ever and never rotating night shift workers were similar, ever workers were more likely to have at least some college (92% vs. 84%), be nulliparous (21% vs. 18%), or have ever smoked (47% vs. 43%).

We observed little association between breast cancer and ever working shifts, night shifts, at night, or irregular hours (Table 1). However, compared with women who never worked rotating night shifts or at night, women who reported working night shifts (adjusted HR = 1.30; 95% CI, 1.05–1.61) and who reported any work at night (adjusted HR = 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00–1.26) for ≤5 years (“short-term”) had a greater risk of breast cancer. Associations were not seen for longer durations.

Table 1.

Associations between work schedule variablesa and breast cancer risk in the Sister Study.

Total (N = 48,451)Cases (N = 3,191)Person-years (N = 442,550)Age-adjusted HR (95% CI)Multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI)b
Rotating shift workc Never 43,771 2,883 400,318 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 3,183 214 29,042 1.04 (0.91–1.20) 1.04 (0.91–1.20) 
 >0–5 years 1,548 114 14,172 1.15 (0.95–1.39) 1.15 (0.95–1.38) 
 >5–10 years 768 48 7,020 0.97 (0.73–1.30) 0.98 (0.73–1.30) 
 >10 years 867 52 7,850 0.91 (0.69–1.19) 0.91 (0.69–1.20) 
       
Rotating night shift workc Never 44,688 2,937 408,668 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 2,275 160 20,784 1.08 (0.92–1.27) 1.08 (0.92–1.27) 
 >0–5 years 1,049 88 9,540 1.31 (1.06–1.62) 1.30 (1.05–1.61) 
 >5–10 years 571 30 5,271 0.81 (0.57–1.16) 0.81 (0.57–1.16) 
 >10 years 655 42 5,973 0.96 (0.71–1.30) 0.96 (0.71–1.31) 
       
Work at nightc Never 29,147 1,949 266,951 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 13,992 914 126,757 1.01 (0.94–1.10) 1.01 (0.94–1.10) 
 >0–5 years 4,744 334 42,938 1.12 (1.00–1.26) 1.12 (1.00–1.26) 
 >5–10 years 3,522 230 32,068 1.04 (0.90–1.19) 1.04 (0.90–1.19) 
 >10 years 5,726 350 51,751 0.92 (0.82–1.03) 0.92 (0.82–1.03) 
       
Worked irregular hoursc Never 31,312 2,066 285,414 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 15,895 1,047 146,278 0.99 (0.92–1.07) 0.98 (0.91–1.06) 
 >0–5 years 6,142 379 56,811 0.96 (0.86–1.07) 0.95 (0.85–1.06) 
 >5–10 years 3,816 232 35,116 0.93 (0.81–1.06) 0.92 (0.80–1.05) 
 >10 years 5,937 436 54,351 1.07 (0.96–1.18) 1.05 (0.95–1.17) 
Total (N = 48,451)Cases (N = 3,191)Person-years (N = 442,550)Age-adjusted HR (95% CI)Multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI)b
Rotating shift workc Never 43,771 2,883 400,318 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 3,183 214 29,042 1.04 (0.91–1.20) 1.04 (0.91–1.20) 
 >0–5 years 1,548 114 14,172 1.15 (0.95–1.39) 1.15 (0.95–1.38) 
 >5–10 years 768 48 7,020 0.97 (0.73–1.30) 0.98 (0.73–1.30) 
 >10 years 867 52 7,850 0.91 (0.69–1.19) 0.91 (0.69–1.20) 
       
Rotating night shift workc Never 44,688 2,937 408,668 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 2,275 160 20,784 1.08 (0.92–1.27) 1.08 (0.92–1.27) 
 >0–5 years 1,049 88 9,540 1.31 (1.06–1.62) 1.30 (1.05–1.61) 
 >5–10 years 571 30 5,271 0.81 (0.57–1.16) 0.81 (0.57–1.16) 
 >10 years 655 42 5,973 0.96 (0.71–1.30) 0.96 (0.71–1.31) 
       
Work at nightc Never 29,147 1,949 266,951 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 13,992 914 126,757 1.01 (0.94–1.10) 1.01 (0.94–1.10) 
 >0–5 years 4,744 334 42,938 1.12 (1.00–1.26) 1.12 (1.00–1.26) 
 >5–10 years 3,522 230 32,068 1.04 (0.90–1.19) 1.04 (0.90–1.19) 
 >10 years 5,726 350 51,751 0.92 (0.82–1.03) 0.92 (0.82–1.03) 
       
Worked irregular hoursc Never 31,312 2,066 285,414 1 (ref.) 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 15,895 1,047 146,278 0.99 (0.92–1.07) 0.98 (0.91–1.06) 
 >0–5 years 6,142 379 56,811 0.96 (0.86–1.07) 0.95 (0.85–1.06) 
 >5–10 years 3,816 232 35,116 0.93 (0.81–1.06) 0.92 (0.80–1.05) 
 >10 years 5,937 436 54,351 1.07 (0.96–1.18) 1.05 (0.95–1.17) 

aRotating shift work and working irregular hours were a specific question on the questionnaire; rotating night shift work is the subset of rotating shift workers who reported working nights as one of their shifts, and working at night was defined as working ≥1 hour between 12:00 and 2:00 AM, which includes all of the rotating night shift workers.

bMultivariable model adjusted for age, race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Hispanic, and other), education (high school diploma or equivalent, some college or technical school, and Bachelor's or higher degree), marital status (never married, married or living as married, and widowed/divorced/separated), and parity (nulliparous, 1 birth, 2 births, and 3+ births).

cSome women were missing information on work schedule: rotating shift work, n = 94 cases, n = 1,497 total women; rotating night shift work, n = 94 cases, n = 1,488 total women; work at night, n = 328 cases, n = 5,312 total women; and worked irregular hours, n = 78 cases, n = 1,244 total women.

The association between short-term work at night and breast cancer appeared stronger for premenopausal (adjusted HR = 1.29; 95% CI, 1.02–1.63) than for postmenopausal women (adjusted HR = 1.06; 95% CI, 0.93–1.22; Table 2). Similar associations were seen for shift and night shift work. These associations did not differ by age started working (before first childbirth) or time since stopping.

Table 2.

Work schedules and breast cancer risk, stratified by menopausal status at time of diagnosis (N = 48,451)a.

Premenopausal (N = 5,136)Postmenopausal (N = 43,179)
CasesMultivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI)bCasesMultivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI)b
Rotating shift work Never 494 1 (ref.) 2,378 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 36 0.99 (0.70–1.38) 175 1.04 (0.89–1.21) 
 >0–5 years 24 1.25 (0.83–1.88) 87 1.09 (0.88–1.35) 
 >5 years 12 0.70 (0.39–1.23) 88 0.99 (0.80–1.23) 
Rotating night shift work Never 507 1 (ref.) 2,419 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 23 0.92 (0.61–1.40) 134 1.09 (0.92–1.30) 
 >0–5 years 19 1.53 (0.97–2.42) 66 1.20 (0.94–1.53) 
 >5 years <5 NEc 68 1.01 (0.79–1.28) 
Work at night Never 320 1 (ref.) 1,622 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 173 1.02 (0.85–1.23) 734 1.00 (0.92–1.10) 
 >0–5 years 87 1.29 (1.02–1.63) 243 1.06 (0.93–1.22) 
 >5 years 86 0.84 (0.66–1.07) 491 0.98 (0.89–1.09) 
Worked irregular hours Never 356 1 (ref.) 1,699 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 176 0.95 (0.80–1.15) 868 0.99 (0.91–1.08) 
 >0–5 years 91 1.04 (0.83–1.31) 285 0.92 (0.81–1.04) 
 >5 years 85 0.88 (0.69–1.11) 583 1.03 (0.94–1.13) 
Premenopausal (N = 5,136)Postmenopausal (N = 43,179)
CasesMultivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI)bCasesMultivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI)b
Rotating shift work Never 494 1 (ref.) 2,378 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 36 0.99 (0.70–1.38) 175 1.04 (0.89–1.21) 
 >0–5 years 24 1.25 (0.83–1.88) 87 1.09 (0.88–1.35) 
 >5 years 12 0.70 (0.39–1.23) 88 0.99 (0.80–1.23) 
Rotating night shift work Never 507 1 (ref.) 2,419 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 23 0.92 (0.61–1.40) 134 1.09 (0.92–1.30) 
 >0–5 years 19 1.53 (0.97–2.42) 66 1.20 (0.94–1.53) 
 >5 years <5 NEc 68 1.01 (0.79–1.28) 
Work at night Never 320 1 (ref.) 1,622 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 173 1.02 (0.85–1.23) 734 1.00 (0.92–1.10) 
 >0–5 years 87 1.29 (1.02–1.63) 243 1.06 (0.93–1.22) 
 >5 years 86 0.84 (0.66–1.07) 491 0.98 (0.89–1.09) 
Worked irregular hours Never 356 1 (ref.) 1,699 1 (ref.) 
 Ever 176 0.95 (0.80–1.15) 868 0.99 (0.91–1.08) 
 >0–5 years 91 1.04 (0.83–1.31) 285 0.92 (0.81–1.04) 
 >5 years 85 0.88 (0.69–1.11) 583 1.03 (0.94–1.13) 

an = 136 women missing menopausal status.

bMultivariable model adjusted for age, race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Hispanic, and other), education (high school diploma or equivalent, some college or technical school, and Bachelor's or higher degree), marital status (never married, married or living as married, and widowed/divorced/separated), and parity (nulliparous, 1 birth, 2 births, and 3+ births).

cNE = Not estimated due to cell size <5.

Night shift work, classified as a probable carcinogen, is hypothesized to act via light at night–related circadian disruption, by decreasing levels of melatonin (2, 4). Melatonin suppresses estrogen production, functions as an antioxidant, and has apoptotic and antiproliferative effects in breast cancer cells (4). Other potential mechanisms include oxidative stress and chronic inflammation resulting from disrupted circadian rhythm (2).

Some, but not all, case–control studies have suggested that increasing duration and frequency of night shift work may be associated with an increased breast cancer risk (2). Although the Nurses’ Health Study II observed an increased risk for long-term (20+ years) rotating night shift work (5), results from other cohort studies have been mostly null (2), consistent with our findings. The discrepancy between study types is possibly due to more comprehensive lifetime exposure data in the case–control studies, although retrospective data collection is a limitation. Despite our comprehensive lifetime exposure assessment, we observed that only short-term night shift work and work at night were associated with breast cancer risk. Although we had a wide age distribution and most women (65%) were still working at baseline, we cannot dismiss the possibility of left-truncation or healthy worker bias in our study. While these could be chance findings, one possibility is that some women who worked shifts or at night short-term may have switched to a daytime schedule sooner because of difficulties adjusting to a rotating or night schedule. There is some evidence that individuals who are “night owls” tend to tolerate shift work better than those who are “early birds” (6) and that early-bird women who work at night short-term have higher odds of breast cancer (7). We did not assess chronotype in our study.

We observed little evidence that either night or shift work was associated with breast cancer risk, except in those who participated in night work for short durations.

No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

Conception and design: D.P. Sandler, A.J. White

Development of methodology: A.J. White

Acquisition of data (provided animals, acquired and managed patients, provided facilities, etc.): D.P. Sandler

Analysis and interpretation of data (e.g., statistical analysis, biostatistics, computational analysis): M.R. Sweeney, A.J. White

Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: M.R. Sweeney, D.P. Sandler, N.M. Niehoff, A.J. White

Study supervision: D.P. Sandler, A.J. White

This research was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (Z01-ES044005 to D.P. Sandler and Z01-ES103332-01 to A.J. White) and a National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences training grant to the University of North Carolina (5T32ES007018-43 to M.R. Sweeney).

The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

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