Human papillomavirus genotype 16 (HPV16) is by far the genotype most strongly associated with cervical cancer; viral variant and/or viral load of HPV16 could modulate this association. The objective was to determine the association between the viral variant and viral load of HPV16 and the presence of cervical high-grade lesions. This cross-sectional study included all women in whom HPV infection was found by cervical smear during routine gynecologic health checks. Women with single or multiple HPV16 infections (n = 176) were selected for viral variant and viral load analysis. Smear results were classified using the Bethesda system. HPV types were classified according to the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Odds ratios (OR) with their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by logistic regression, adjusted for age, immigrant status, and coinfection with other high-risk genotypes. No statistically significant associations were found regarding the detected viral variants. A viral load above the median (>1,367.79 copies/cell) was associated with a significant risk of high-grade epithelial lesion or carcinoma, after adjusting for age, immigrant status, coinfections, and viral variant: (adjusted OR 7.89; 95% CI: 2.75–22.68). This relationship showed a statistically significant dose–response pattern after categorizing by viral load tertiles: adjusted OR for a viral load greater than the third tertile was 17.23 (95% CI: 4.20–70.65), with adjusted linear Ptrend = 0.001. In patients infected with HPV16, viral load is associated with high-grade intraepithelial lesions or cervical carcinoma. This could be useful as prognostic biomarker of neoplastic progression and as screening for cervical cancer.

Cervical cancer is the second most common cancer in women aged 15 to 44 years in the United States (1, 2) and Europe (3, 4). The association between human papillomavirus (HPV) and cervical cancer has been clearly established (5–7), with persistent infection by viral genotypes of high oncogenic risk having been identified as the most important risk factor (8, 9).

HPV genotypes 16 and 18 are high-risk genotypes that are associated with 70% of cervical cancer cases and an even higher proportion of HPV-associated cancers such as of the vulva, vagina, penis, anus, and oropharynx (10, 11) HPV 16 is by far the genotype most frequently associated with cases of cervical cancer (between 50%–70%; ref. 12). Thus, most knowledge about the relationship between HPV viral variant, viral load, and cervix cancer has been based on this viral type.

There are molecular factors related to HPV 16 that could specifically modulate this association. Among them, genetic variability within the same viral genotype (13–16) and HPV viral load stand out (17, 18).

The determination of the viral load became a methodologic challenge because it has been suggested that the high number of copies correlates with an increased risk of developing cervical lesions associated with HPV. The quantification of HPV DNA in the biological sample can be achieved by PCR-based methods or by the HC2 test (capture and hybridization) in a semiquantitative manner. Estimates of the number of viral copies depend directly on the total number of cells and, ultimately, on the amount of viral DNA. Therefore, the adjustment for cell loading is an absolute requirement that is frequently not met, as is the case of HC2 and some protocols based on PCR (19–24).

Previous studies have been conducted to determine the association between viral load and the persistence of infection (25, 26); as well as the relationship between the viral load and the severity, progression, and development of cervical lesions (17, 27). The results of these publications show that the amount of viral DNA increases proportionally to the severity of the lesions and is detectable even before the development of cervical lesions (26, 28–30); however, other studies did not show such association (31, 18).

With regard to the determination of papillomavirus viral subtypes, HPVs are known to mutate very slowly because they are double-stranded DNA viruses that utilize the excellent correction ability of their host DNA polymerase. However, nucleotide polymorphisms can occur through a random mutation and can be established in a population. This genetic drift has been observed among the variants of HPV 16, suggesting its coevolution with humanity (32).

The HPV subtypes have been identified by comparing the sequences of the E6 and L1 genes and the long control region (14, 33–34) with consensus sequences described previously (35) Most of the articles described refer to the amplification of the sequence of interest, either conventional PCR or nested PCR followed by sequencing for the determination of the viral variant (14). Some studies have performed hybridization with specific lineage probes against the L1, E6 regions (36). In the case of HPV 16, the E6 region is a short and conserved gene, frequently used because it contains enough information to identify all the subtypes and variants that have been described so far.

HPV16 variants have been classified into four major lineages based upon common phylogenetic patterns of single-nucleotide polymorphisms: European Asian, including the sublineages European (EUR), and Asian (As), African 1 (AFR1), African 2 (AFR2) and Asian American/North American (AA/NA), including the sublineages Asian American 1, Asian American 2, and North American (33, 37).

Non-European variants of HPV 16, particularly of the Asian-American (AA) lineage, have been shown to have a greater propensity for persistence (38); perhaps for this reason, they have a stronger association with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL; refs. 39, 40). A recent meta-analysis of worldwide HPV 16 lineage distribution data confirmed the association of certain lineages with increased risk of cervical disease; however, some geographical dependence of these associations was also noted (15). Within the European variant lineage, a T350G substitution in the E6 gene leads to an altered amino acid residue (L83V); this has been associated with persistence of HPV 16 (41) and cervical disease (42), although this association has not been found in all cases (43–45). Two meta-analyses demonstrated that the E350 codon is associated with cervical disease, and it is likely that this association is geographically dependent (15, 46).

The effect of HPV coinfections on the risk of developing cervical intraepithelial lesions and cervical cancer remains unclear (47–49). Some authors have showed strong associations of some high-risk HPV genotypes with coinfection or multiple infections (48–50). In contrast, other authors have found no association between coinfection and increased risk of intraepithelial lesions and cervical cancer (51, 52).

The aim of our study was to determine the association between viral variant, viral load, and the risk of high-grade lesions in women infected with HPV genotype 16 in Spain.

Study design

Cross-sectional study.

Patients

We included women who were attended for the first time at the Gynecology Department of the Hospital General Universitario de Elche in Spain for a routine gynecologic health check (in which an opportunistic screening of cervical cancer was carried out) and who tested positive for any HPV genotype by cervical smear between January 4, 2010 and December 30, 2011. The study population was 180 women with a single or multiple infections determined by genotype 16 of HPV. In 176 of these 180 women, it was possible to study the variant or the viral load of the HPV genotype 16 infection in depth. Data were available on HPV variant 16 in 135 women and on viral load in 144 women (all of them had available histopathology data).

Supplementary Figure S1 shows a flow diagram of the population and samples to be studied.

Data source

The HPV molecular study was initiated in August 2016, and the data of each patient were obtained from computerized hospital records of the gynecology and microbiology departments. The data were extracted from paper medical records and histopathology departments using CliniViewer when necessary.

Samples

All samples were tested for the presence of HPV DNA using the LINEAR ARRAY HPV genotyping test (Roche Molecular Diagnostics) protocol, which is capable of genotyping HPV 6, 11, 16, 18, 26, 31, 33, 35, 39, 40, 42, 45, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 58, 59, 61, 62, 64, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73 (MM9), 81, 82 (MM4), 83 (MM7), 84 (MM8), IS39, and CP6108. HPV types are classified according to the World Health Organization International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) Monographs Working Group assessment of the carcinogenicity of different HPV types (8, 53, 54): 13 genotypes are classified as high risk (16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, and 68) and 5 as probable high risk (53, 66, 70, 73 MM9, and 82 MM4). The presence of two or more genotypes (high-risk, likely high-risk HPV or low-risk genotypes) in the same woman was defined as multiple infection (49). The presence of two or more high-risk genotypes in the same patient was defined as coinfection (55).

Cells taken from the transformation zone were fixed on a slide for the cytology study. The Papanicolaou staining technique was used to check for the presence of cytologic abnormalities, and the results were classified according to the Bethesda 2014 system (56).

Molecular methods

Extraction of DNA from cervical specimens.

DNA extraction was performed after incubation overnight at 56°C with 50 μL proteinase K and 25 μL 10% SDS, using the NucliSENS easyMAG (Biomerieux) platform, following the manufacturer's instructions. The extracted DNA was quantified, and DNA purity was determined using a NanoDrop 1000 spectrophotometer (Thermo Fisher Scientific).

Quantification of HPV16.

A system was designed in our laboratory using the Primer Express 3.0 software package to amplify a fragment of the E6 gene of HPV16 (GenBank K02718.1) with the following primers: forward, 5′- CACAGGAGCGACCCAGAAA -3′; reverse, 5′- CACGTCGCAGTAACTGTTGCTT-3′; FAM-labeled probe, 5′- ACCACAGTTATGCACAGAGCTGCAAACAA -3′. The reaction was performed using a 7500 Real-Time PCR System (Applied Biosystems). This was determined using a standard curve made with six points 10-fold serial dilutions of a commercial papillomavirus DNA standard (AMPLIRUN PAPILLOMAVIRUS TYPE 16 DNA; Vircell). Each reaction was performed in a final volume of 20 μL, containing 10 μL of Taqman Universal Master Mix (Thermo Fisher Scientific) 7.6 μL sterile nuclease-free water (Thermo Fisher Scientific), 0.6 μL of each primer (12.5 pmol/L; Isogen Life Science), 0.2 μL of probe (4 pmol/L) Taqman, and 1 μL of total DNA from each sample. The PCR program consisted of three steps: 1st of 50°C for 2 minutes, 2nd of 95°C for 10 minutes and followed by 40 cycles of a denaturing temperature of 95°C for 15 seconds, and annealing and extension step at 60°C for 1 minute.

Adjustment of results according to the number of human cells in each cervical specimen.

The human albumin gene (GenBank AY728024.1) was amplified in all samples to verify DNA integrity and determine viral copy number per cell, using primers 5′-CTGCATTGCCGAAGTGGAA-3′ and 5′- CAAACATCCTTACTTTCAACAAAATCA-3′ plus the FAM-labeled probe 5′-TGCCTGCTGACTTGCCTTCATTAGCTG-3′. A standard curve for human cells was made from leukocytes extracted from peripheral blood using Histopaque (Sigma-Aldrich) and quantified using a CEL-DYN 3600 (Abbott Laboratories). A 10-fold serial-diluted standard curve was performed ranging from 1 million of cells to 10 cells per microliter and albumin PCR were run by triplicate for each standard curve point. A linear regression was performed with the data obtained from the albumin amplification representing for the Ct values versus the logarithm of the number of targets present at each point of the standard line. The results are expressed as the ratio between the number of HPV 16 and number of human cells in each cervical sample.

Viral variant.

The viral variant was detected by nested PCR. Primers were designed to target specific HPV16 genome E6 regions (Supplementary Table S1). All PCR mixtures contained the following: 5 μL 10× PCR buffer, 0.1 μL Taq Bioline DNA Polymerase, 1.5 μL MgCl2 (50 mmol/L), 0.1 μmol/L deoxynucleotide triphosphates 50 mmol/L (Thermo Fisher Scientific), 1 μL forward and reverse primer, 1 μL DNA solution for the first amplification and 5 μL for the second amplification, and nuclease-free water up to 50 μL final volume. PCR conditions were 94°C for 7 minutes; 40 cycles of 30 seconds at 94°C, 30 seconds at 54°C, 40 seconds at 72°C; plus a 7minute final extension at 72°C. PCR products were Sangersequenced in an external company (Macrogen Inc. Seul, https://dna.macrogen.com/eng/). The obtained sequences were aligned with the reference sequence NC_001526.2 (corresponding to an E6 350T sequence without mutations) using the CLC Sequence Viewer 6 program (Qiagen) and thus look for the key positions described for the genetic classification of the viral variant (35).

Statistical analysis

For the categorical and discrete variables, proportions were estimated using the Pearson χ2 test for comparisons and Fisher exact test when appropriate. Quantitative variables were expressed as mean and SD, using the Student t test for comparisons, after testing normality using the Shapiro–Wilk test.

Histologic lesions were classified as “no high-grade lesion” [smear negative for intraepithelial lesion, atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance/atypical glandular cells (ASC-US/AGC), atypical squamous cells–cannot exclude HSIL (ASC-H), or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) vs. “high-grade lesion” (HSIL, squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinoma in situ, or adenocarcinoma)], and treated as a dependent variable in the logistic regression models.

Variant and viral load were treated as independent variables. Viral load was categorized using tertiles as “cut-off” points into an ordinal variable (low, moderate, high viral load). To estimate the strength of association between variant and viral load and the risk of high-grade lesion, crude and adjusted odds ratios (OR) with their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by unconditional logistic regression. The following potential confounders were preestablished for inclusion in the models: age (continuous variable), immigrant status, and coinfection. We calculated tests for OR trends of viral load using logistic models that included categorical terms as a continuous variable.

The alpha error was set at 0.05 and all P values were two-sided. All statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics V22.0 (IBM Corp.).

The research protocol was approved by the Elche Clinical Research Ethics Committee and the data were anonymized prior to statistical analysis.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The research protocol was approved by the Elche clinical research ethics committee and data were anonymised prior to statistical analysis. Data were treated anonymously and confidentially under Spanish Organic Law 15/1999 of 13th December, on Personal Data Protection. The written human subject consent was not considered necessary by the Elche clinical research ethics committee. Our study was a cross-sectional study and we used secondary records of gynaecology and microbiology services.

One hundred and eighty women were included in the study, with mean age 34.34 years (SD = 11.35), and 88.51% were Spanish. Coinfection with HPV 16 and another high-risk genotype was present in 30.68% (n = 54) of the women. Coinfection with HPV 16 and two high oncological-risk genotypes was found in 10.23% of women.

More than half (51.14%) of women had at least one cytology smear showing a morphologic anomaly (ASC-US/ASC-H, LSIL, HSIL, or carcinoma). The prevalence of ASC-US/ASC-H was 7.39% (95% CI: 3.24–11.54), that of LSIL was 17.61% (95% CI: 11.70–23.53), and that of HSIL was 21.59% (95% CI: 15.23–27.95). The prevalence of cancerous lesions was 4.55% (95% CI: 1.18–7.91); see Table 1.

Table 1.

Sociodemographic variables, HPV coinfections, and histopathologic findings in women infected with HPV genotype 16

HPV 16 (n = 176)
N%a95% CI
Age, years; mean (SD) 34.34 (11.35)   
 Range: 17–76   
Nationality 
 Spanish 154 88.51 83.48–93.53 
 Immigrant 20 11.49 6.47–16.52 
 Missing   
No. of high-risk genotypes detectedb 
 Only 1 genotype (HPV 16) 92 52.27 44.61–59.94 
 2 genotypes 54 30.68 23.58–37.78 
 3 genotypes 18 10.23 5.47–14.99 
 4 genotypes 12 6.82 2.81–10.83 
No. of probable high-risk genotypes detected besides HPV 16b 
 No genotypes 140 79.55 73.30–85.79 
 1 genotype 30 17.05 11.21–22.89 
 2 genotypes 3.41 0.44–6.37 
No. of low-risk genotypes besides HPV 16b 
 No genotypes 119 67.61 60.42–74.81 
 1 genotype 37 21.02 14.72–27.33 
 2 genotypes 15 8.52 4.11–12.93 
 3 genotypes 2.27 0.62–5.72 
 4 genotypes 0.57 0.01–3.13 
Cytology resultsc 
 Negatived 49 27.84 20.94–34.75 
 Inflammation 28 15.91 10.22–21.60 
 ASC-US 13 7.39 3.24–11.54 
 LISL 31 17.61 11.70–23.53 
 HISL 38 21.59 15.23–27.95 
 Carcinoma in situ 4.55 1.18–7.91 
 Specimen not evaluable 5.11 1.58–8.65 
HPV 16 (n = 176)
N%a95% CI
Age, years; mean (SD) 34.34 (11.35)   
 Range: 17–76   
Nationality 
 Spanish 154 88.51 83.48–93.53 
 Immigrant 20 11.49 6.47–16.52 
 Missing   
No. of high-risk genotypes detectedb 
 Only 1 genotype (HPV 16) 92 52.27 44.61–59.94 
 2 genotypes 54 30.68 23.58–37.78 
 3 genotypes 18 10.23 5.47–14.99 
 4 genotypes 12 6.82 2.81–10.83 
No. of probable high-risk genotypes detected besides HPV 16b 
 No genotypes 140 79.55 73.30–85.79 
 1 genotype 30 17.05 11.21–22.89 
 2 genotypes 3.41 0.44–6.37 
No. of low-risk genotypes besides HPV 16b 
 No genotypes 119 67.61 60.42–74.81 
 1 genotype 37 21.02 14.72–27.33 
 2 genotypes 15 8.52 4.11–12.93 
 3 genotypes 2.27 0.62–5.72 
 4 genotypes 0.57 0.01–3.13 
Cytology resultsc 
 Negatived 49 27.84 20.94–34.75 
 Inflammation 28 15.91 10.22–21.60 
 ASC-US 13 7.39 3.24–11.54 
 LISL 31 17.61 11.70–23.53 
 HISL 38 21.59 15.23–27.95 
 Carcinoma in situ 4.55 1.18–7.91 
 Specimen not evaluable 5.11 1.58–8.65 

Abbreviations: ASC-US, atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance; LISL, low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion.

aPercentage valid with no unknown values.

bClassification of papillomavirus genotypes of high oncological risk according to the latest international guidelines (Muñoz N et al., 2003; IARC Group, 2007; Schiffman M et al., 2009).

cCytology results classified according to the Bethesda 2014 system (Nayar R et al., 2015).

dNegative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy.

Age and immigrant status were both independently associated with greater risk of a high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma. For each 10-year increase in age, the risk of a lesion was 2.35 times greater (95% CI: 1.40–3.94), regardless of the viral load or HPV 16 variant. Furthermore, being an immigrant was independently associated with a 4.31 times greater (95% CI: 1.06–17.51) risk of a lesion (Supplementary Table S2). Multiple infection or coinfection was not significantly associated with HSIL or carcinoma (Table 2).

Table 2.

Characteristics of HPV 16 infection and risk of high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma

No HSIL or carcinomaaHSIL or carcinomaa
(n = 121)(n = 46)
HPV 16 infection COR 95% CI AOR 95% CI 
 Only HPV 16 43 15   
 Multiple infectionb 78 31 1.14 0.55–2.34 1.42 0.64–3.13 
P   0.723  0.384  
 No coinfection 63 25   
 Coinfectionc 58 21 0.91 0.46–1.80 1.11 0.53–2.32 
P   0.792  0.775  
No HSIL or carcinomaaHSIL or carcinomaa
(n = 121)(n = 46)
HPV 16 infection COR 95% CI AOR 95% CI 
 Only HPV 16 43 15   
 Multiple infectionb 78 31 1.14 0.55–2.34 1.42 0.64–3.13 
P   0.723  0.384  
 No coinfection 63 25   
 Coinfectionc 58 21 0.91 0.46–1.80 1.11 0.53–2.32 
P   0.792  0.775  

Abbreviations: COR, crude odds ratio; AOR, odds ratio adjusted for age (continuous) and immigrant status.

aCytology results classified according to the Bethesda 2014 system (Nayar R et al., 2015).

bTwo or more genotypes in the same woman was defined as multiple infection (Goldman et al., 2013).

cTwo or more high-risk genotypes in the same woman was defined as coinfection (Trigo-Daporta et al., 2014).

More than one-third (34.7%) of women infected with HPV 16 had a single infection with this genotype. The most prevalent viral variants in single infections, as well as in multiple ones, were European E350G and European E350T, present in 42.1% and 33.5% of women, respectively. Regarding HPV viral load, the median was 1,367.78 copies/cell, with an interquartile range of 127.41–35,645.39 (Table 3).

Table 3.

Characteristics of HPV16 infection: single or multiple infection, HPV 16 variant, and HPV 16 viral load

HPV 16 (n = 176)N%95% CI
Infection 
 Only HPV 16 61 34.66 27.34–41.97 
 HPV 16 + other genotypesa 115 65.34 58.03–72.66 
 HPV 16 + other high-risk genotypesb 84 47.73 40.06–55.39 
HPV 16 variant    
 European (E350T) 59 33.52 26.26–40.78 
 European (E350G) 74 42.05 34.47–49.62 
 Asian-American (AA) 2.27 0.62–5.72 
 African lineage (Af1) 0.57 0.01–3.13 
 African lineage (Af2) 1.71 0.35–4.9 
 Missing 35 19.89 13.71–26.07 
HPV 16 viral load    
 First quartile (P25) 127.41   
 Second quartile (median) 1,367.78   
 Third quartile (P75) 35,645.39   
HPV 16 (n = 176)N%95% CI
Infection 
 Only HPV 16 61 34.66 27.34–41.97 
 HPV 16 + other genotypesa 115 65.34 58.03–72.66 
 HPV 16 + other high-risk genotypesb 84 47.73 40.06–55.39 
HPV 16 variant    
 European (E350T) 59 33.52 26.26–40.78 
 European (E350G) 74 42.05 34.47–49.62 
 Asian-American (AA) 2.27 0.62–5.72 
 African lineage (Af1) 0.57 0.01–3.13 
 African lineage (Af2) 1.71 0.35–4.9 
 Missing 35 19.89 13.71–26.07 
HPV 16 viral load    
 First quartile (P25) 127.41   
 Second quartile (median) 1,367.78   
 Third quartile (P75) 35,645.39   

aTwo or more genotypes in the same woman was defined as multiple infection (Goldman et al., 2013).

bTwo or more high-risk genotypes in the same woman was defined as coinfection (Trigo-Daporta et al., 2014).

None of the analyzed HPV 16 variants was specifically associated with a statistically significant increase in the risk of high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma. See Supplementary Table S3.

The box plot in Fig. 1 shows the viral load of HPV 16 on a logarithmic scale, according to whether there is high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma. The median, as well as the first and last tertiles, were higher in patients with a high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma than patients without high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma.

Figure 1.

Box plot of HPV 16 viral load (logarithmic scale), according to histopathology lesion.

Figure 1.

Box plot of HPV 16 viral load (logarithmic scale), according to histopathology lesion.

Close modal

Having a viral load above the median (>1,367.79 copies/cell) was associated with an unadjusted statistically significant increased risk of high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma: crude OR 8.17 (95% CI: 3.13–21.31). The viral load also showed a statistically significant dose–response pattern on categorizing the viral load ordinally based on tertiles, linear Ptrend < 0.001, last tertile crude OR 16.67 (95% CI: 4.55–61.03).

These associations were maintained after adjusting for age and immigrant status (adjusted ORs 7.35 and 16.34, respectively).

The association between viral load and risk of intraepithelial lesion was also independent of the HPV 16 variant (variant-adjusted ORs 8.43 and 17.25, respectively).

Finally, the associations of viral load were maintained after including all the covariates in the multivariate regression models, with an OR adjusted for age, immigrant status, HPV 16 variant, and coinfection for viral load greater than the median of 7.89 (95% CI: 2.75–22.68) and an adjusted OR for viral load greater than the third tertile (P75) of 17.23 (95% CI: 4.20–70.65); adjusted linear Ptrend < 0.001 (Table 4).

Table 4.

Associations between viral load in infection with HPV 16 and risk of high-grade intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma

No HSIL or carcinomaHSIL or carcinomaa
HPV 16(n = 108)(n = 36)COR95% CIAOR195% CIAOR295% CIAOR395% CI
Viral load 
 Median 
  ≤1,367.78 67     
  1,367.79+ 41 30 8.17 3.13–21.31 7.35 2.69–20.07 8.43 3.16–22.45 7.89 2.75–22.68 
P   <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  
 Tertiles 
  ≤305.30 46     
  305.31–11,792.11 39 3.15 0.78–2.68 2.74 0.65–11.60 3.22 0.79–13.20 2.54 0.58–11.11 
  11,792.12+ 23 25 16.67 4.55–61.03 16.34 4.21–63.49 17.25 4.60–64.74 17.23 4.20–70.65 
P   <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  
No HSIL or carcinomaHSIL or carcinomaa
HPV 16(n = 108)(n = 36)COR95% CIAOR195% CIAOR295% CIAOR395% CI
Viral load 
 Median 
  ≤1,367.78 67     
  1,367.79+ 41 30 8.17 3.13–21.31 7.35 2.69–20.07 8.43 3.16–22.45 7.89 2.75–22.68 
P   <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  
 Tertiles 
  ≤305.30 46     
  305.31–11,792.11 39 3.15 0.78–2.68 2.74 0.65–11.60 3.22 0.79–13.20 2.54 0.58–11.11 
  11,792.12+ 23 25 16.67 4.55–61.03 16.34 4.21–63.49 17.25 4.60–64.74 17.23 4.20–70.65 
P   <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  <0.001  

Abbreviations: COR, crude odds ratio; AOR1, odds ratio adjusted for age (continuous) and immigrant status; AOR2, odds ratio adjusted for viral variant; AOR3, odds ratio adjusted for age (continuous), immigrant status, and coinfection.

aCytology results classified according to the Bethesda 2014 system (Nayar R et al., 2015).

Regarding analysis of the European variants, some studies have shown an association between the E350G variant (which has an altered amino acid residue in gene E6) and cervical disease (42) Others found a higher association with persistence for the E350T variant (45). In our study, we did not find any association between cervical disease and the European variants E350T or E350G, which coincides with previously reported results (44–46).

Regarding an association between the AA variant of HPV genotype 16 and the presence of HSIL or cervical carcinoma, Xi and colleagues observed that the risk of developing HSIL in women infected with the HPV 16 AA variant was 3.1 times greater than women infected with European variants (39). The association reported by Xi and colleagues is similar to our crude OR of 2.93. However, our crude association was not statistically significant because it was based in very few cases of AA variants: 2 cases in the “No HSIL/Carcinoma” group and 2 cases in the “HSIL/Carcinoma” group. Moreover, our association did not maintain when adjusting for age, immigrant status, coinfection, or age, so we cannot claim an association. Some authors have pointed out that the differences observed in these associations might be geographically dependent (15). A meta-analysis on this topic could reach a conclusion with more precision.

The viral load of HPV genotype 16 was the most important independent predictor of a high-grade epithelial lesion or carcinoma in our study. We found that viral loads above 1,367 copies/cell (median) were associated with an 8 times higher risk of having a high-grade histopathologic lesion. In a cohort with 1,728 women followed-up for 9 years, Muñoz and colleagues (9) found that viral load was the main determining factor for persistence of HPV 16. High viral loads are associated with a greater risk of developing high-grade lesions, thus establishing that viral load is a determining factor for the persistence of infection.

Wu and colleagues (57) found a strong association between viral load and women with cancer of the cervix (OR 68; 95% CI: 17.8–259.7). They showed that a high viral load could predict future development of cervical cancer, and raised the possibility of using additional markers for the early identification of women at risk.

Our results show relatively lower values than the studies mentioned (9, 57), but we should point out that we focused on HPV genotype 16 and did not take into account the weight of other detected high oncological-risk genotypes.

Among studies that have used the RT-PCR technique, Ylitalo and colleagues (29) used a case–control design and found that cases had consistently higher viral loads for HPV 16 than controls; in addition, higher viral loads could be detected up to 13 years before the diagnosis of cervical cancer. In that study, women with high viral loads of HPV 16 had a 30 times greater risk of cervical cancer compared with women who were HPV negative, and this increased risk was consistent over time. A second study conducted in the same population showed that 20% of women with the highest HPV 16 viral loads had a 60 times higher risk of developing carcinoma in situ than those who were negative for HPV (30).

The relationship between HPV 16 viral load and risk of a cervical intraepithelial lesion showed a clear dose–response pattern in our study. After adjusting for age, immigrant status, coinfection, and detected viral variant, we found an OR of 17.23 for the last tertile (viral count greater than 11,792 copies/cell). Moberg and colleagues (58) also found a dose–response pattern, observing maximum ORs (OR = 51) in the higher viral load percentile.

In the literature, different cut-off points have been adopted for categorizing viral load. However, the different methods used (RT-PCR, Hybrid Capture II) for quantifying viral load precludes comparisons between studies. Marks and colleagues (59) categorized the cut-off point at 2,000 copies/104 cells, although they concluded that individual measurements of viral load were not useful. Saunier and colleagues (17) quantified viral load using the same method as in our study and proposed that a viral load of greater than 22,000 copies/103 cells could be used to identify women at greater risk of high-grade lesions. In one study evaluating the clinical correlation of HPV 16 and HPV 18, it was found that the highest predictive value for a grade 2 cervical epithelial lesion or higher was observed with a HPV 16 viral load cutoff of 3.0 × 10 6 copies per million cells (60). Taking the aforementioned information into account, with the aim of ensuring the quality of the analysis and a higher statistical power, the viral load in our study was categorized according to the median and the distribution in tertiles.

The results obtained corresponded to a single evaluation of HPV viral load. As our design is cross-sectional and there is no follow-up, our study cannot analyze the association between a higher viral load and an increased viral persistence supported by longitudinal published studies (9, 27–30).

On the other hand, another caveat is that cervical lesion was performed on exfoliated cervical cells instead of biopsy samples with laser dissection, so we did not have confirmation of high-grade lesions by histologic study (biopsy). However, studies evaluating the category HSIL compared with biopsy as gold standard support a very high probability of an accurate diagnosis (61, 62).Therefore, several authors have used a methodology similar to ours, assessing the cervical lesion with cervical cytology (61).

In conclusion, in patients infected with HPV genotype 16, the viral load of this genotype was the most important independent predictor of high-grade intraepithelial lesion or cervical carcinoma. In addition, a strong dose–response pattern was observed. The viral load of genotype 16 was associated with higher grades of cervical intraepithelial lesion or carcinoma, especially when it was above 1,367 copies/cell. Higher HPV-16 viral loads may indicate viral persistence, progression to cervical dysplasia, and may even serve as a prognostic biomarker for screening tests of cervical cancer; however, longitudinal studies are needed to confirm these hypotheses.

No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

The funders were not involved in the study design, data collection, analysis, or manuscript writing nor in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Conception and design: L.Álvarez-Paredes, M.Santibañez, J.C. Rodríguez Díaz, J. Portilla-Sogorb, M. Paz-Zulueta

Development of methodology: L. Álvarez-Paredes, M.Santibañez, A. Galiana, J.C. Rodríguez Díaz, J.M. Rodríguez-Ingelmo, J. Portilla-Sogorb, M. Paz-Zulueta

Acquisition of data (provided animals, acquired and managed patients, provided facilities, etc.): L. Álvarez-Paredes, J.M. Rodríguez-Ingelmo

Analysis and interpretation of data (e.g., statistical analysis, biostatistics, computational analysis): M.Santibañez, A. Galiana, J.C. Rodríguez Díaz, P. Parás-Bravo, M. Paz-Zulueta

Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: L. Álvarez-Paredes, M. Santibañez, A. Galiana, P. Parás-Bravo, Mª Encarnación Andrada-Becerra, J.M. Rodríguez-Ingelmo, J. Portilla-Sogorb, M. Paz- Zulueta

Administrative, technical, or material support (i.e., reporting or organizing data, constructing databases): M. Santibañez, J.M. Rodríguez-Ingelmo, M. Paz-Zulueta

Study supervision: M. Santibañez, M.M. Ruiz García, J.M. Rodríguez-Ingelmo, J. Portilla-Sogorb, M. Paz-Zulueta

The authors would like to thank the study participants and the clinicians, nurses, and laboratory technicians of University General Hospital of Elche who were involved in the study. This work was supported by the “Fundación para la Investigación del Hospital Universitario de Elche” (FIBELX) and the private Fundación Navarro Tripodi.

The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.

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